Raków Częstochowa vs Pogoń Szczecin: match statistics
Raków Częstochowa is showing solid home form with a record of 36% wins and just 36% losses at home, averaging 1 goal scored and 1 conceded per match. The hosts maintain high ball possession (54%) and an xG of 1.6 for vs 1.44 against, which highlights their dominance in home matches. Pogoń Szczecin has very poor away form – only 18% wins, as many as 64% losses, and a negative goal difference (-10), conceding an average of 1.73 goals per away match. Despite Pogoń's good recent overall form (3 wins in the last 5 matches), their away performances remain a concern with just one win in the last 11 matches. Considering Raków's home advantage and Pogoń's away weaknesses, the most likely scenario is a home win, although the balanced season record of both teams makes a draw also realistic.
Raków Częstochowa vs Pogoń Szczecin: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Raków Częstochowa played Pogoń Szczecin in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The match was played on 8 March 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Raków Częstochowa: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Pogoń Szczecin: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Raków Częstochowa scores 1.35 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Pogoń Szczecin scores 1.43 and concedes 1.52. League average: 2.77 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Raków Częstochowa 52%, Pogoń Szczecin 61%. Over 2.5: Raków Częstochowa 48%, Pogoń Szczecin 57%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Pogoń Szczecin has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.70. Raków Częstochowa: 14.1 shots per match, Pogoń Szczecin: 15.8.
Match halves
Raków Częstochowa: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.74. Pogoń Szczecin: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.70.
Goals by minute
Raków Częstochowa: 31-45+ (7 goals). Pogoń Szczecin: 31-45+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ekstraklasa: 2.77 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Raków Częstochowa is showing solid home form with a record of 36% wins and just 36% losses at home, averaging 1 goal scored and 1 conceded per match. The hosts maintain high ball possession (54%) and an xG of 1.6 for vs 1.44 against, which highlights their dominance in home matches. Pogoń Szczecin has very poor away form – only 18% wins, as many as 64% losses, and a negative goal difference (-10), conceding an average of 1.73 goals per away match. Despite Pogoń's good recent overall form (3 wins in the last 5 matches), their away performances remain a concern with just one win in the last 11 matches. Considering Raków's home advantage and Pogoń's away weaknesses, the most likely scenario is a home win, although the balanced season record of both teams makes a draw also realistic.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Raków Częstochowa | Pogoń Szczecin | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Pogoń Szczecin is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Raków Częstochowa · 2 pts / match - Pogoń Szczecin
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pogoń Szczecin is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1.35 goals / match - Raków Częstochowa · 1.43 goals / match - Pogoń Szczecin
Raków Częstochowa is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.26 goals / match - Raków Częstochowa · 1.52 goals / match - Pogoń Szczecin
Raków Częstochowa scores in 74% of matches (17 of 23 matches), while Pogoń Szczecin keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 matches).
Pogoń Szczecin scores in 78% of matches (18 of 23 matches), while Raków Częstochowa keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Raków Częstochowa
Over / Under - Pogoń Szczecin
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Raków Częstochowa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Pogoń Szczecin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Raków Częstochowa
Pogoń Szczecin
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Raków Częstochowa | Liga | Pogoń Szczecin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.61 | 2.77 | ▲ 2.96 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 58% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 53% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 25% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 74% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 78% | • 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Raków Częstochowa 0 - 0 - 1 Pogoń Szczecin. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Raków Częstochowa vs Pogoń Szczecin?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Raków Częstochowa 2:0 Pogoń Szczecin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Raków Częstochowa vs Pogoń Szczecin?
Raków Częstochowa score 1.35 goals per game on average and Pogoń Szczecin 1.43. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Raków Częstochowa's matches and 61% of Pogoń Szczecin's.
What form are Raków Częstochowa and Pogoń Szczecin in?
Over the last 5 games Raków Częstochowa have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Pogoń Szczecin 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Raków Częstochowa vs Pogoń Szczecin?
The statistical background for Raków Częstochowa vs Pogoń Szczecin — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.