Randers vs Fredericia: match statistics
Randers vs Fredericia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Randers played Fredericia in Superliga (Denmark). The match was played on 23 April 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Randers: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Fredericia: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Randers scores 1.04 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Fredericia scores 1.33 and concedes 2.15. League average: 3.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Randers 48%, Fredericia 63%. Over 2.5: Randers 52%, Fredericia 74%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Randers has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.32. Randers: 12.4 shots per match, Fredericia: 11.3.
Match halves
Randers: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.48. Fredericia: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Randers: 46-60 (9 goals). Fredericia: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Superliga: 3.09 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Randers at home averages 12.69 shots (4.77 on target) and has an average xG of 1.49, with 0.92 goals scored per game and 1.46 conceded; they also maintain 38% clean sheets. Fredericia away scores more goals (1.64 per game) and displays a higher finishing efficiency (conversion rate 16% versus 7% for Randers), but their defense is very vulnerable — 2.21 goals conceded away and xG against 2.38. In the last 5 matches both teams have scored 6 and conceded 9, with points per game over that period of 0.8 for Randers and 1.0 for Fredericia, indicating a similar, unstable form level. Given the lower goals conceded (1.46 vs 2.21), better home xG (1.49 vs 1.25) and higher number of shots on target for the hosts, I forecast a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The "BTTS - Yes" scenario is more likely based on the available data. Fredericia has a seasonal BTTS rate of 71% versus Randers' 54%, and the league BTTS rate is 61%, which already favors Goal/Goal. Both teams regularly concede: Randers concedes an average of 2.08 goals per match (xG against 1.94), Fredericia 2.21 goals per match (xG against 2.38), and in the last 5 fixtures both have conceded an average of 1.8 goals. In attack Fredericia averages 1.64 goals scored with 10.5 shots and 16% conversion, Randers has xG_for 1.4 and 12.15 shots with 8% conversion, so both sides generate chances; additionally clean sheet expected rates are only 8% and 7%. Considering 71% vs 54%, league 61% BTTS, high average goals conceded (2.08 and 2.21) and low clean sheets, I estimate BTTS at 75% (yes) vs 25% (no) and recommend selecting 'yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Statistics clearly point to a high-scoring game: Randers has 92% of matches over 1.5 goals, Fredericia 93%, and both teams this season have 100% of matches with at least 1 goal, which strongly supports Over 1.5. Expected goals calculated as the average of xG-for and opponent xG-against are 1.89 for the home side and 1.60 for the visitors, totalling 3.49, which suggests an edge above the 2.5 line. Both defenses are prone to conceding — Randers leaks 2.08 goals/match on average, Fredericia 2.21 — and Fredericia has a high shot conversion rate of 16% versus Randers’ 8%, increasing the risk of additional strikes. Season percentages for Over 2.5 are 62% for the home team and 86% for the away team, and in the last 5 matches for both sides Over 2.5 occurred in 80%, so Over 2.5 is also a strong scenario. The strongest and most reliable signal in the data is Over 1.5 (estimated 93%), although Over 2.5 (estimated 78%) also has a good chance of success.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Randers led at the break in 15% of matches, were level at halftime in 46% and trailing in 38%, with an average halftime goals of 0.46 compared to Fredericia’s 0.86, so the most likely halftime state is a draw. Fredericia averages 1.64 goals per game versus the home side’s 1.0 and has double the shot conversion rate (16% vs 8%), which increases the visitors’ chances of resolving the game after the break. Many goals occur after halftime: the share of matches with at least one goal in the second half is 93% for the visitors and 85% for the hosts, and Fredericia have scored 7 away goals in minutes 76–90 compared to 2 for Randers, favoring the visitors late on. Although Randers have a higher xG (1.4 vs Fredericia’s 1.25), the lower conversion (8% vs 16%) and Fredericia’s superior numbers in the closing stages make the strongest signal a draw at halftime and a visitor turnaround by full-time (X/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Randers | Fredericia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fredericia is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Randers · 1 pts / match - Fredericia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fredericia is 28% better for: goals scored per match.
1.04 goals / match - Randers · 1.33 goals / match - Fredericia
Randers is 62% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Randers · 2.15 goals / match - Fredericia
Randers scores in 67% of matches (18 of 27 matches), while Fredericia keeps a clean sheet in 7% (2 of 27 matches).
Fredericia scores in 70% of matches (19 of 27 matches), while Randers keeps a clean sheet in 33% (9 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Randers
Over / Under - Fredericia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Randers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Fredericia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Randers
Fredericia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Superliga).
Teams vs league
| Randers | Liga | Fredericia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.37 | 3.09 | ▲ 3.48 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 61% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 61% | ▲ 74% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 22% | ▼ 7% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 73% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 56% | 79% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Randers 1 - 0 - 2 Fredericia. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Randers vs Fredericia?
The Superliga match finished Randers 2:2 Fredericia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Randers and Fredericia?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Randers won 1, Fredericia won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Randers vs Fredericia?
Randers score 1.04 goals per game on average and Fredericia 1.33. The Superliga average is 3.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Randers's matches and 63% of Fredericia's.
What form are Randers and Fredericia in?
Over the last 5 games Randers have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Fredericia 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Randers vs Fredericia?
The statistical background for Randers vs Fredericia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.