Randers vs København: match statistics
Randers vs København: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Randers played København in Superliga (Denmark). The match was played on 12 April 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Randers: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. København: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Randers scores 1.04 and concedes 1.24 goals per match. København scores 1.76 and concedes 1.52. League average: 3.06 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Randers 44%, København 68%. Over 2.5: Randers 48%, København 64%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
København has higher xG: 1.93 vs 1.42. Randers: 12.3 shots per match, København: 17.2.
Match halves
Randers: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.44. København: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Randers: 0-15 (8 goals). København: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Superliga: 3.06 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an away win (København). København have 44 goals this season versus Randers' 26, and in the last 5 matches the visitors scored 12 goals compared to the hosts' 7, clearly indicating an offensive edge. Randers average 0.92 goals scored and concede 1.42 at home, while København average 1.75 scored and 1.67 conceded away; xG also favors the visitors (Randers home xG for 1.47 vs xG against 1.58, København xG for 1.67 vs xG against 1.22). The visitors register more shots (14.67 vs 12.58) and more shots on target (5.0 vs 4.67) with a substantially higher conversion rate of 12% versus the hosts' 7%, and Randers fail to score in 42% of home matches versus København’s 17% share of scoreless away matches. Although Randers have 42% clean sheets at home, their negative home goal difference (-6) and the visitors’ xG advantage and shooting efficiency point to an away victory; I propose probability distribution: home 25%, draw 20%, away 55%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show strong BTTS signals: Randers 62% this season, København 75% this season, and 60% vs 80% in the last 5 matches, indicating frequent mutual goals. Seasonal goals scored averages are 1.77 for Randers and 1.75 for København, with goals conceded averages 1.38 and 1.67; in the last 5 matches København scores 2.4 on average, Randers 1.4, so the visitors have greater attacking strength but also concede. xG indicates Randers creates more chances (xG_for 2.16 vs 1.67 for København) and both teams have similar xG against (1.14 vs 1.22); additionally Randers averages 19.46 shots and 6.0 on target, København 14.67 and 5.0, and shot conversion is 9% vs 12%, which favors goals from both sides. Clean sheets occur in 31% of Randers matches and only 8% of København matches, percentage of matches without scoring is 15% and 17%, and the league BTTS is 60% with an average 3.06 goals per game, so league conditions also support both teams scoring. Considering 62/75% season BTTS, 60/80% in the last 5 and the low 8% clean sheets for the visitors, I back BTTS - Yes as the strongest signal and assess its probability at 78% versus 22% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I calculated expected goals based on xG: Randers has xG_for 2.16 and the opponent’s xG_against 1.22, averaging 1.69 goals for the home side; København has xG_for 1.67 versus Randers’ xG_against 1.14, yielding 1.41 goals for the away side, totaling ≈3.10 goals. At this mean, a Poisson distribution gives approximately an 82% probability for Over 1.5 (P(0)+P(1) ≈ 18%), which aligns with season Over 1.5 rates: 85% (Randers) and 100% (København). For the 2.5 line, Poisson predicts Over ≈60% (P(0..2) ≈ 40%), and season values 54%/75% plus recent last-5 Over 2.5: 80% (Randers) and 100% (København) support a moderate signal on Over 2.5. Over 3.5 is less likely (~38% by Poisson and season 31%/42%), so I don’t see sufficient value on that line; the high percentage of both teams to score 62% vs 75% and average shots 19.46 vs 14.67 with shots on target 6.0 vs 5.0 further favor Over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is 2/2 (København leading at Half-Time and winning at Full-Time), as the data indicate an advantage for the away team in the second half. København win 42% of matches, and in away fixtures they have been leading at the break in around 33% of cases, which collectively increases the probability of holding the lead. The second half favors the visitors: the average number of goals in the second half in away matches is 2.17, the visitors score on average 1.08 goals after the break, and in 100% of those matches at least one goal occurred after Half-Time. Although Randers more often open the scoring by Half-Time (Randers led in 38% of home matches and average 0.85 goals to Half-Time versus 0.67 for the away side) and produce higher xG (2.16 vs 1.67), the visitors’ shot efficiency (conversion 12% vs 9% for the hosts) and a positive second-half balance in the last five matches (+2 for the visitors vs 0 for the hosts) support the 2/2 Half-Time/Full-Time scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Randers | København | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Randers is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Randers · 0.8 pts / match - København
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
København is 69% better for: goals scored per match.
1.04 goals / match - Randers · 1.76 goals / match - København
Randers is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.24 goals / match - Randers · 1.52 goals / match - København
Randers scores in 64% of matches (16 of 25 matches), while København keeps a clean sheet in 20% (5 of 25 matches).
København scores in 84% of matches (21 of 25 matches), while Randers keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Randers
Over / Under - København
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
København is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.08 pts / match - Randers · 1.36 pts / match - København
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Randers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
København - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Randers
København
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Superliga).
Teams vs league
| Randers | Liga | København | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.28 | 3.06 | ▲ 3.28 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 60% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 59% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 23% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 73% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 52% | 77% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Randers 1 - 0 - 1 København. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Randers vs København?
The Superliga match finished Randers 1:2 København. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Randers and København?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Randers won 1, København won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Randers vs København?
Randers score 1.04 goals per game on average and København 1.76. The Superliga average is 3.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Randers's matches and 68% of København's.
What form are Randers and København in?
Over the last 5 games Randers have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and København 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Randers vs København?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.