Randers vs Lyngby: match statistics

Randers have shown a slightly more stable recent run: they have collected 5 points from their last five matches compared with Lyngby’s 4, recording 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses. However, the hosts remain inefficient in front of goal, averaging just 1 goal at home with 1.05 xG, while Lyngby create significantly more away from home, posting 2.11 xG and averaging 21 shots per match compared with Randers’ 8. The visitors’ main weakness is their defence: they concede 3 goals per away game, have yet to keep a clean sheet and lost their only match on the road so far. Randers are also far from convincing defensively, allowing opponents 1.57 xG, but they drew their only home fixture and conceded just 1 goal on average. Home advantage and Lyngby’s exceptionally weak defence marginally shift the prediction towards the hosts, although the visitors’ considerable attacking potential increases the risk of a draw or a goalscoring reply.

BTTS - Yes is supported by the season results, as both Randers and Lyngby have seen both teams score in 100% of their matches so far, with 0% of games ending without a goal scored. The hosts average 2.0 goals, while the visitors also average 2.0, and Lyngby concede as many as 3.0 goals per match. Their attacking potential is confirmed by xG figures of 2.45 for Randers and 2.11 for Lyngby, while both teams average 21 shots per game. Some caution is warranted due to Randers’ recent form: they scored only 0.8 goals across their last five matches and recorded BTTS in 40% of cases. However, the weak defensive records of both sides—1.8 and 2.0 goals conceded respectively—still point towards an exchange of goals. With BTTS occurring in 67% of league matches, the odds further indicate that a scenario in which both teams score is the most likely outcome.

The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as the seasonal data for both teams shows that every match surpassed this line, with both sides scoring and conceding at least one goal. In their last five matches, Randers averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, while Lyngby averaged 1.6 goals scored and allowed opponents 2.0 goals. The quality of chances also supports an open game script: their recent average xG figures stand at 1.24 for Randers and 2.08 for Lyngby, with their defenses allowing 1.27 and 1.73 xG respectively. Over 2.5 goals remains a realistic option, as Lyngby recorded at least three goals in 80% of their last five matches, but Randers’ lower efficiency reduces confidence in this line. The 3.00-goal projection primarily indicates a high probability of more than two goals in the match overall.

The strongest scenario points to Lyngby leading at the break, but Randers securing the win after the final whistle. In their last five matches, Lyngby were ahead at half-time in 40% of fixtures, while Randers never went into the break with a lead and were trailing in 40% of cases. However, the visitors have been poor at protecting results: they lost 60% of their last five matches, conceding an average of 2.0 goals per game. Randers improve significantly after half-time, scoring an average of 0.6 goals compared with 0.2 before the break, while their season data shows an average of 2.0 goals scored in the second half. In addition, Lyngby averaged no goals scored and conceded 1.2 goals after the break in their last five appearances, further supporting the turnaround scenario in favour of the visitors.