Rangers vs Kilmarnock: match statistics
Rangers clearly dominate this clash in every statistical aspect. The hosts sit in 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 13 wins and just 2 losses, while Kilmarnock ranks 11th with only 3 wins and as many as 13 defeats. At home, Rangers display excellent form – 58% won matches, 50% clean sheets, and a positive goal difference of +9, conceding an average of just 0.67 goals per match. Kilmarnock performs very poorly in away matches – only 8% wins, 50% losses, conceding an average of 2 goals per match, and holding a negative goal difference of -12. The difference in possession quality (61% vs 35%) and expected goals (xG 1.95 vs 1.1) further confirms the hosts' advantage. Form over the last 5 matches also favors Rangers (2.0 points per match vs 0.8), making them the decisive favorite for this meeting.
Rangers vs Kilmarnock: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rangers played Kilmarnock in Premiership (Scotland). The match was played on 4 February 2026. Final score: 5:1.
Current form
Rangers: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Kilmarnock: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rangers scores 1.54 and concedes 0.71 goals per match. Kilmarnock scores 0.96 and concedes 1.79. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rangers 50%, Kilmarnock 54%. Over 2.5: Rangers 46%, Kilmarnock 63%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Rangers has higher xG: 1.78 vs 1.24. Rangers: 15.8 shots per match, Kilmarnock: 10.7.
Match halves
Rangers: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 0.88. Kilmarnock: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.42.
Goals by minute
Rangers: 76-90+ (11 goals). Kilmarnock: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premiership: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rangers clearly dominate this clash in every statistical aspect. The hosts sit in 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 13 wins and just 2 losses, while Kilmarnock ranks 11th with only 3 wins and as many as 13 defeats. At home, Rangers display excellent form – 58% won matches, 50% clean sheets, and a positive goal difference of +9, conceding an average of just 0.67 goals per match. Kilmarnock performs very poorly in away matches – only 8% wins, 50% losses, conceding an average of 2 goals per match, and holding a negative goal difference of -12. The difference in possession quality (61% vs 35%) and expected goals (xG 1.95 vs 1.1) further confirms the hosts' advantage. Form over the last 5 matches also favors Rangers (2.0 points per match vs 0.8), making them the decisive favorite for this meeting.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rangers | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rangers is 225% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Rangers · 0.8 pts / match - Kilmarnock
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rangers is 60% better for: goals scored per match.
1.54 goals / match - Rangers · 0.96 goals / match - Kilmarnock
Rangers is 152% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.71 goals / match - Rangers · 1.79 goals / match - Kilmarnock
Rangers scores in 83% of matches (20 of 24 matches), while Kilmarnock keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 matches).
Kilmarnock scores in 67% of matches (16 of 24 matches), while Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 46% (11 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rangers
Over / Under - Kilmarnock
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rangers is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.75 pts / match - Rangers · 1.17 pts / match - Kilmarnock
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rangers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Kilmarnock - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rangers
Kilmarnock
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Rangers | Liga | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.25 | 2.55 | ▲ 2.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▲ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 48% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 46% | 31% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 73% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 78% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Rangers 2 - 0 - 0 Kilmarnock. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rangers vs Kilmarnock?
The Premiership match finished Rangers 5:1 Kilmarnock. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Rangers and Kilmarnock?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Rangers won 2, Kilmarnock won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Rangers vs Kilmarnock?
Rangers score 1.54 goals per game on average and Kilmarnock 0.96. The Premiership average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Rangers's matches and 54% of Kilmarnock's.
What form are Rangers and Kilmarnock in?
Over the last 5 games Rangers have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Kilmarnock 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rangers vs Kilmarnock?
The statistical background for Rangers vs Kilmarnock — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.