Rapid Wien vs Grazer AK: match statistics

Rapid Wien come into this match on an outstanding run of five consecutive victories, during which they have scored 16 goals and conceded just 4. At home, the hosts have won 100% of their matches so far, kept a clean sheet in every game, and recorded an average xG of 1.84 while allowing opponents just 0.80 xG. Grazer AK have lost every away match, are yet to score, and generate only 0.48 xG per game, while conceding an average of 3 goals and 2.67 xG. Rapid’s superiority is also evident in their control of the game: the hosts average 18 shots and 56% possession, compared with just 4 shots and 41% possession for the visitors. Given the significant gap in the quality of chances created, current form, and defensive stability, a convincing home victory is the most likely outcome.

The strongest signal against BTTS comes from Grazer AK’s away performances to date: the team has yet to score, while its average xG is just 0.48. The visitors average only 4 shots, including 1 on target, whereas Rapid Wien conceded just 0.8 goals per match across their last five games and allowed opponents an xG of 1.03. Rapid are highly effective in attack, averaging 2.0 goals at home and 3.2 goals over their last five matches, while Grazer AK concede an average of 3.0 goals away from home, making the hosts clear favourites to score. Although Rapid recorded BTTS in 60% of their last five appearances, Grazer AK have managed only 40%, with their away BTTS rate standing at 0%. The more likely scenario is therefore that Rapid will score, but at least one team—primarily the visitors—will fail to find the net. This makes BTTS - No the preferred selection, meaning that at least one team will not score; it does not automatically imply a 0:0 draw or that neither team will score.

Rapid Wien are in excellent attacking form: over their last 5 matches, they have averaged 3.2 goals scored, with an average xG of 2.11. Grazer AK have averaged 2.2 goals over the same period, but their long-term attacking potential is limited by an xG of just 0.48, meaning that a larger share of the goal projection falls to the hosts. The visitors’ defence conceded an average of 1.58 xG across their last five matches, while their season-long data shows they have conceded as many as 3.0 goals per game, supporting the expectation of at least two Rapid goals. Over 1.5 goals has landed in 100% of the teams’ matches to date, and the high projected total of 3.20 goals gives this line the strongest edge.

Rapid Wien have won all five of their last matches, scoring an average of 3.2 goals and conceding just 0.8, while Grazer AK have a 60% win rate over the same period but have also suffered a defeat. The hosts were leading at the break in four of their last five matches, scoring an average of 1.4 goals before half-time and conceding just 0.4; the visitors were behind after 45 minutes in 40% of their games. The quality-of-chances advantage is also clear: Rapid’s xG stands at 1.52, while Grazer AK create just 0.48 xG, with the visitors allowing opponents 2.67 xG. Rapid average six shots on target per match compared with Grazer AK’s one, further supporting the scenario of the hosts taking an early lead. After the interval, Rapid continue to show a high level of efficiency, averaging 1.8 goals across their last five second halves, so the most likely outcome is that they will maintain their lead and secure a home win.