Rapperswil-Jona vs Aarau: match statistics
Rapperswil-Jona vs Aarau: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rapperswil-Jona played Aarau in Challenge League (Switzerland). The match was played on 4 April 2026. Final score: 4:5.
Current form
Rapperswil-Jona: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Aarau: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rapperswil-Jona scores 1.19 and concedes 1.63 goals per match. Aarau scores 2.00 and concedes 1.22. League average: 2.82 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rapperswil-Jona 56%, Aarau 59%. Over 2.5: Rapperswil-Jona 59%, Aarau 63%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Aarau has higher xG: 1.91 vs 1.39. Rapperswil-Jona: 11.2 shots per match, Aarau: 17.1.
Match halves
Rapperswil-Jona: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.52. Aarau: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 1.15.
Goals by minute
Rapperswil-Jona: 31-45+ (9 goals). Aarau: 0-15 (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Challenge League: 2.82 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-3. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a win for Aarau (2) — the 2nd-placed side holds a clear statistical edge over 6th-placed Rapperswil-Jona, with 20 wins in the season versus the hosts’ 9. Offensively the gap is significant: the home team averages 0.85 goals per home match while Aarau scores 2.23 goals on the road; in the last 5 matches the visitors have 12 goals compared to the hosts’ 8. Defensively Rapperswil-Jona concede 1.62 goals per home game and 11 goals in the last 5 matches (2.2 per match), whereas Aarau have conceded only 4 goals in their last 5 fixtures (0.8 per match), despite a season away average of 1.77 goals conceded. The visitors generate more and better chances: 15.15 average shots and 5.69 shots on target per away match with a 15% conversion rate, versus the hosts’ 10.69 shots, 3.38 on target and 8% conversion. Higher xG for the visitors (1.68 vs 1.34 for the home side), superior form (Aarau 2.6 pts per match in the last 5 vs Rapperswil 0.8) and goal difference (home -10 for Rapperswil vs +6 for Aarau away) make a visitor victory the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The dominant factor supporting BTTS is Aarau, which has BTTS at 85% this season versus Rapperswil-Jon’s 36% and the league average of 52%. Additionally, in the last 5 matches Rapperswil-Jon records BTTS in 80% of games and concedes an average of 2.2 goals (11 conceded in 5 matches), while Aarau scores an average of 2.4 goals in their last 5 (12 goals) and has a shot conversion rate of 15% with an average of 15.15 shots. xG values support this despite seasonal defensive numbers: Rapperswil-Jon has xG for 2.1 against Aarau xG against 1.54, and Aarau has xG for 1.68 against Rapperswil-Jon xG against 1.31, suggesting both sides generate over 1.3 xG per game and can exchange goals. Given the strong signals from Aarau (85% BTTS), recent form (Rapperswil-Jon conceding 2.2 goals in L5) and the xG data, I recommend BTTS "Yes" with a probability of 72% and "No" 28% as the most reasonable choice.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project 1.82 goals for Rapperswil-Jona and 1.50 for Aarau (total 3.32), calculated from average xG: hosts xG_for 2.10 vs Aarau xG_against 1.54 ≈ 1.82, and Aarau xG_for 1.68 vs hosts xG_against 1.31 ≈ 1.50. Season-wide Aarau has 85% of matches Over 2.5 goals, Rapperswil 43% (average 64%), while for >1.5 it’s 92% (Aarau) and 64% (Rapperswil) — a strong signal for Over 1.5 and significant support for Over 2.5. In the last 5 matches Rapperswil conceded 2.2 goals on average, while Aarau scored 2.4 on average (8 and 12 goals in 5 matches); additionally Aarau’s shot conversion is 15% versus the hosts’ 9%, favoring more finishes and away efficiency. Considering the combined xG 3.32, the league average 2.81 and second-half activity (Rapperswil 1.43 and Aarau 2.08), I recommend the primary signal: play Over 2.5 (over), with an estimated probability of ~68%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is that Aarau more often holds the lead at the break — they led in 46% of matches versus 43% for Rapperswil-Jona and have 25 first-half goals compared to the home side's 15. Nevertheless, the hosts generate more high-quality chances: the home xG is 2.10 versus 1.68 for Aarau, and average shots on target are 7.43 vs 5.69, giving them the advantage in created opportunities. The key argument is the second half — Rapperswil-Jona scored 6 goals in minutes 46–60 compared to 1 for Aarau, collected 29 points in second halves at an average of 2.07 points per match versus 23 points and 1.77 for Aarau, and won 56% of second halves versus 46% for the visitors. For these reasons the most likely HT/FT scenario is 2/1 (away team leading at Half-Time, home team winning at Full-Time), while realistic alternatives are X/1 and X/X.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rapperswil-Jona | Aarau | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Aarau is 225% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Rapperswil-Jona · 2.6 pts / match - Aarau
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aarau is 68% better for: goals scored per match.
1.19 goals / match - Rapperswil-Jona · 2 goals / match - Aarau
Aarau is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.63 goals / match - Rapperswil-Jona · 1.22 goals / match - Aarau
Rapperswil-Jona scores in 78% of matches (21 of 27 matches), while Aarau keeps a clean sheet in 37% (10 of 27 matches).
Aarau scores in 96% of matches (26 of 27 matches), while Rapperswil-Jona keeps a clean sheet in 26% (7 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rapperswil-Jona
Over / Under - Aarau
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Aarau is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / match - Rapperswil-Jona · 1.7 pts / match - Aarau
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rapperswil-Jona - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Aarau - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 74%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (15 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rapperswil-Jona
Aarau
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Challenge League).
Teams vs league
| Rapperswil-Jona | Liga | Aarau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.81 | 2.82 | ▲ 3.22 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 52% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 55% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 28% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 68% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 78% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Rapperswil-Jona 0 - 0 - 3 Aarau. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rapperswil-Jona vs Aarau?
The Challenge League match finished Rapperswil-Jona 4:5 Aarau. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Rapperswil-Jona and Aarau?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Rapperswil-Jona won 0, Aarau won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Rapperswil-Jona vs Aarau?
Rapperswil-Jona score 1.19 goals per game on average and Aarau 2.00. The Challenge League average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Rapperswil-Jona's matches and 59% of Aarau's.
What form are Rapperswil-Jona and Aarau in?
Over the last 5 games Rapperswil-Jona have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Aarau 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rapperswil-Jona vs Aarau?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.