Raufoss vs Haugesund: match statistics
Raufoss vs Haugesund: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Raufoss played Haugesund in First Division (Norway). The match was played on 31 May 2026. Venue: NAMMO stadion. Final score: 3:4.
Current form
Raufoss: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Haugesund: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Raufoss scores 1.00 and concedes 1.89 goals per match. Haugesund scores 2.89 and concedes 1.56. League average: 3.45 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Raufoss 56%, Haugesund 67%. Over 2.5: Raufoss 67%, Haugesund 67%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 70%.
xG, shots and style
Haugesund has higher xG: 1.79 vs 1.08. Raufoss: 10.0 shots per match, Haugesund: 14.6.
Match halves
Raufoss: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.44. Haugesund: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 1.89.
Goals by minute
Raufoss: 31-45+ (3 goals). Haugesund: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 3.45 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 70%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Haugesund is higher in the table (3rd) than Raufoss (15th) and has 26 goals this season versus the hosts' 9, clearly indicating the visitors' offensive superiority. Away, Haugesund averages 3.2 goals, 14.8 shots with 7.2 on target and a 22% conversion, while Raufoss at home scores 1.25 goals, registers 12.25 shots with only 2.5 on target and a 10% conversion. The difference in quality of chances is confirmed by xG: Haugesund has 1.82 xG away, Raufoss at home records 1.33 xG with xG against 1.20, so the visitors create markedly better goalscoring opportunities. In the last 5 matches Haugesund scored 14 goals and averages 2.0 points per game, while Raufoss scored 6 goals and averages 1.2 points per game; additionally the visitors have had no away match without scoring (0%), whereas Raufoss at home failed to score in 25% of matches. Considering the advantage in shots on target (7.2 vs 2.5), conversion (22% vs 10%), xG (1.82 vs 1.33) and form (2.0 vs 1.2 points per game), I assign the visitors approximately a 70% chance to win, 18% for a draw and 12% for a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I project BTTS - Yes (70%) vs No (30%) because seasonal indicators for both teams point to frequent mutual scoring: Raufoss has a seasonal BTTS of 75% and Haugesund 60%, averaging 67.5% which exceeds the league level of 55%. Shooting stats confirm this signal: Raufoss averages 2.5 goals scored and concedes 1.0, while Haugesund averages 3.2 scored and 2.0 conceded; their xG are 1.74 (Raufoss) and 1.82 (Haugesund), with xG conceded 1.42 and 1.44 — both teams generate roughly 1.7–1.8 xG, suggesting opportunities for goals on both sides. In the last 5 matches Raufoss shows a BTTS drop to 40% with averages of 1.2 scored/1.4 conceded, whereas Haugesund maintains 60% BTTS and averages 2.8 scored/1.4 conceded, so the away side is more offensively stable. Additionally over 2.5 indicators are high: 50% for Raufoss and 80% for Haugesund, and over2.5 + BTTS combinations are 50% and 60%; combined with the league average of 3.45 goals and the sum of seasonal average goals 2.5+3.2=5.7 this points to an elevated tempo and higher chance of goals from both teams. Considering the advantage in seasonal BTTS (75%/60%), xG ~1.7–1.8 and strong over 2.5 metrics on Haugesund’s side, I assign the ‘Yes’ scenario 70% as the strongest signal from the available data.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG- and goals-average-based model projects a total expected goals of 3.21: Raufoss 1.59 (attacking xG 1.74 vs Haugesund defense 1.44) and Haugesund 1.62 (attacking xG 1.82 vs Raufoss defense 1.42). Seasonal metrics confirm a high-scoring profile — hosts average 2.5 goals per game, visitors 3.2, and both teams have 100% of matches with at least 2 goals; the league average is 3.45 goals per match. Raufoss have 75% of matches with both teams scoring, Haugesund 60%, and average shots on target 6.0 vs 7.2 with conversion rates 18% vs 22% indicate genuine offensive efficiency. A Poisson distribution with lambda=3.21 yields approximately an 83% probability for Over 1.5 (≈17% Under) and around 62% for Over 2.5 (≈38% Under), with Over 1.5 being the strongest signal. Additionally, in the last 5 matches the visitors scored 14 goals (avg 2.8) and the hosts 6 (1.2), which raises the likelihood of at least two goals in this matchup.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Haugesund has a strong start, scoring an average of 1.4 goals by half-time (scoredAVGHT_away = 1.4) with 100% of their matches having over 0.5 goals at HT (seasonOver05PercentageHT_away = 100%), while Raufoss averages only 0.5 goals by the break (scoredAVGHT_home = 0.5). However, Raufoss is much more effective after the break: they score an average of 2.0 goals in the second half (scored_2hg_avg_home = 2.0) and win the second half in 75% of cases (wins_2hg_percentage_home = 75.0), with a 75% overall home win rate (winPercentage_home = 75.0). The xG of both teams is similar (1.74 vs 1.82), but Haugesund has a higher shot conversion rate (22% vs 18%), which explains their early leads despite comparable chances. Therefore the most likely scenario is the visitors leading at half-time, with Raufoss staging a turnaround after the break and winning (HT/FT = 2/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Raufoss | Haugesund | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 21% | 46% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.47 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Haugesund is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Raufoss · 2 pts / match - Haugesund
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Haugesund is 189% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Raufoss · 2.89 goals / match - Haugesund
Haugesund is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.89 goals / match - Raufoss · 1.56 goals / match - Haugesund
Raufoss scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Haugesund keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).
Haugesund scores in 100% of matches (9 of 9 matches), while Raufoss keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Raufoss
Over / Under - Haugesund
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Haugesund is 78% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Raufoss · 1.78 pts / match - Haugesund
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Raufoss - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Haugesund - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Raufoss
Haugesund
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Raufoss | Liga | Haugesund | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.89 | 3.45 | ▲ 4.44 |
| Both teams scored | • 56% | 55% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 67% | 70% | ▼ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 23% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | • 78% | 78% | • 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 86% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Raufoss vs Haugesund?
The First Division match finished Raufoss 3:4 Haugesund. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Raufoss vs Haugesund?
Raufoss score 1.00 goals per game on average and Haugesund 2.89. The First Division average is 3.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 70% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Raufoss's matches and 67% of Haugesund's.
What form are Raufoss and Haugesund in?
Over the last 5 games Raufoss have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Haugesund 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Raufoss vs Haugesund?
The statistical background for Raufoss vs Haugesund — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.