Raufoss vs Sandnes Ulf: match statistics

Raufoss have a clear edge in terms of recent form: they have collected 6 points from their last five matches, while Sandnes Ulf have lost all five, scoring just 4 goals and conceding 15. The hosts are also more effective at home, averaging 1.44 goals compared with Sandnes Ulf’s 1.00 goals away from home, while their average xG stands at 1.34 versus the visitors’ 1.27. Raufoss also appear slightly more defensively stable, conceding an average of 1.56 goals at home, compared with Sandnes Ulf’s 1.89 in away matches. The visitors have failed to score in 44% of their away games, whereas Raufoss have been held scoreless in 22% of their home matches, strengthening the case for backing the home advantage. Both teams have defensive issues, so this could be an open game, but Sandnes Ulf’s disastrous run strongly points towards a Raufoss victory.

Raufoss have solid attacking credentials, averaging 1.7 goals at home with an xG of 1.60, while Sandnes Ulf concede an average of 1.89 goals away from home. However, the key concern for the BTTS scenario is the visitors’ attack: they score only 1.0 goal on average, just 0.8 across their last 5 matches, and have failed to score in 44% of their league games this season. Sandnes Ulf have lost their last five matches and conceded 15 goals in the process, yet despite recording an xG of 1.52 over that period, they converted it into just 4 goals. The teams’ seasonal BTTS rates—50% for Raufoss and 44% for Sandnes Ulf—are clearly below the league average of 62%. Raufoss keep a clean sheet in 30% of their matches, making the most likely outcome a game in which the hosts score but at least one team fails to find the net: BTTS - No.

Raufoss average 1.7 goals per match, while Sandnes Ulf concede as many as 1.89, with the hosts generating 1.60 xG compared to the 1.59 xG allowed by their opponents. In their last five matches, Raufoss scored 9 goals and conceded 12, while Sandnes Ulf allowed 15 goals, clearly increasing the hosts’ projected goal output. The 1.5 line was covered in 80% of Raufoss matches and in all Sandnes Ulf matches, giving it a significantly more stable foundation than higher goal lines. Additionally, at least one goal was scored in the second half in 90% of the hosts’ matches and 100% of the visitors’ matches. Over 1.5 is the preferred option, as even with Sandnes Ulf’s limited attacking potential, the poor defensive records of both teams favor at least two goals.

Raufoss have a clear advantage over the course of the season, averaging 1.7 goals compared with Sandnes Ulf’s 1.0, while their xG stands at 1.60 versus 1.27 for the visitors. The hosts have won 40% of their matches, whereas Sandnes Ulf have lost 67% and suffered five defeats in their last five games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 3.0 goals per match on average. Raufoss were leading at the break in 30% of their matches, while the visitors went into half-time trailing in as many as 56% and scored just 0.11 goals in the first halves. The 1/1 HT/FT outcome is the most likely, as Raufoss average 5.7 shots on target per match compared with Sandnes Ulf’s 3.0, and the visitors’ weak defence should allow the hosts to take the lead and hold on to it until the final whistle.