Raufoss vs Strømsgodset: match statistics

Strømsgodset sit 3rd, while Raufoss are only 16th, and the visitors’ season record stands at 13 wins and just 3 defeats, compared with the hosts’ 6 victories and 15 losses. The visitors are in excellent form: they have collected 13 points from their last five matches, scoring 15 goals and conceding only 6, whereas Raufoss have lost 3 of their last 5 games, conceding as many as 16 goals during that period. Away from home, Strømsgodset average 2.55 goals with an xG of 1.95, recording 16 shots and 6.82 shots on target per match, clearly outperforming Raufoss’ home averages of 1.36 goals, 1.34 xG and 3.82 shots on target. The hosts concede an average of 1.64 goals at home and keep a clean sheet in only 18% of their matches, while the visitors have not failed to score in any away fixture. Strømsgodset’s defence is not flawless either, which increases Raufoss’ chances of finding the net, but the clear advantage in the quality of chances created and current form strongly points to an away win.

The signal for both teams to score is clear: BTTS occurred in 64% of Raufoss matches and 73% of Strømsgodset fixtures, compared with a league average of 64%. Strømsgodset recorded BTTS in 100% of their last five matches, averaging 3.0 goals scored, while Raufoss conceded as many as 3.2 goals per game during that period. The hosts still have strong arguments for finding the net, as they average 20.64 shots, including 7.64 on target, at home, with an xG of 2.35. The visitors keep a clean sheet in only 27% of matches and allow opponents an average xG of 1.42, making a Raufoss No Goal scenario less likely. The high scoring averages of both sides, 2.73 and 2.55 goals, further support the BTTS - Yes pick.

The match profile is clearly attacking-minded: Raufoss matches produce an average of 2.73 goals, while Strømsgodset games average 2.55 goals. The 1.5-goal line has been surpassed in 91% of Raufoss matches and in every Strømsgodset game, providing very strong support for the over. In their last five appearances, Raufoss conceded as many as 3.2 goals per match, while Strømsgodset scored an average of 3.0 goals. The quality of chances also points towards goals, with average xG of 2.35 for Raufoss and 1.95 for Strømsgodset. Over 2.5 also has solid foundations, but Over 1.5 is the safest choice thanks to the teams' almost flawless historical consistency on this line.

The strongest signal points to Strømsgodset taking the lead by half-time and maintaining their advantage until the final whistle. In their last five matches, the visitors were ahead at the break in 80% of cases, while Raufoss were trailing at half-time in 60%; the average number of goals before the interval was 1.8 for the visitors and 0.8 for the hosts, respectively. Over this period, Strømsgodset have averaged 3.0 goals scored per match and conceded just 1.2, whereas Raufoss have scored 1.6 but allowed opponents to score 3.2. The full-time results also clearly favour the visitors: they have won 80% of their last five matches and remain unbeaten, compared with Raufoss’s 60% defeat rate. Although the hosts have strong home-season statistics, their current second-half defence concedes an average of 2.0 goals, further supporting the scenario of an away win in both halves, corresponding to the HT/FT 2/2 outcome.