Ravenna vs Latina: match statistics

Latina have shown clearly better form in their last five matches, collecting 8 points from 2 wins and 2 draws, while Ravenna have managed just 2 points and have not won a single game. The visitors have scored 9 goals during this period, averaging 1.8 per match, compared with Ravenna’s 5 goals. The defensive record is equally significant: Latina have conceded 5 goals in their last five appearances, whereas Ravenna have conceded as many as 11, an average of 2.2 goals per game. Ravenna have lost 3 of their last 5 matches, so their home advantage does not offset their current defensive issues. Both teams have recorded 2 draws in this run, but Latina’s superior finishing and more consistent performances point towards an away win.

The latest form of both teams points towards goals at both ends, as Ravenna and Latina recorded BTTS in 3 of their last 5 matches, equating to 60% each. Ravenna conceded an average of 2.2 goals per match during this period, with an xG against of 1.72, which clearly boosts Latina’s chances of scoring, given that they average 1.8 goals per game. The hosts scored just 1.0 goal per match, but their xG across the last five outings stands at 1.46, while Latina limited opponents to just 0.91 xG and conceded an average of 1.0 goal. Despite the visitors’ more solid defensive record, Ravenna’s defensive weaknesses and Latina’s attacking form give a slight edge to the scenario in which both teams find the net: BTTS - Yes.

Latina’s latest form points to clear goal-scoring potential: over five matches, they averaged 1.8 goals, with an xG of 1.80. Over the same period, Ravenna conceded as many as 2.2 goals per game, while their average xG against stood at 1.72, supporting the likelihood of at least one away goal. The hosts themselves record 1.46 xG per match, although Latina’s more solid defense, allowing an average of 0.91 xG, limits Ravenna’s projection to around 1.10 goals. Sixty percent of the last five matches for each team ended with both sides scoring, while the combined projection of 2.75 goals gives Over 1.5 a clearer edge than the riskier Over 2.5. Given the low league average of 2.1 goals and incomplete season data, the Over 1.5 goals line remains the safest choice.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Latina win at the final whistle, as the hosts have been level at the break in 60% of their last five matches, while the visitors have done so in as many as 80%. Ravenna have scored just 0.4 goals per match before half-time and failed to score in the first half in 80% of their recent outings, whereas Latina kept a clean sheet during that period in 80% of their matches. After the break, the form advantage shifts to the visitors: Latina average 1.6 goals in second halves, while Ravenna concede 1.4. Latina also have a significantly better five-match points return, averaging 1.6 points per game compared with Ravenna’s 0.4, as well as a second-half goal balance of +5 versus the hosts’ 0.