Rayo Vallecano vs Atlético Madrid: match statistics
Atlético Madrid are displaying significantly higher form and quality than Rayo Vallecano. The hosts are only in 18th place in the table with a disastrous series of 4 losses in their last 5 matches and a mere 20% home win rate. Rayo have scored only 4 goals in their last 5 games, conceding as many as 11. Atlético, sitting in 3rd place in the league, boast a much better goal difference (+20 this season vs Rayo's -12) and solid defensive numbers with a 36% clean sheet rate away from home. Although Atlético's away form shows a tendency for draws (45%), their qualitative advantage and offensive firepower (38 goals this season) should translate into a victory. The hosts' poor form and their scoring issues (30% of home matches without a goal) further increase the visitors' chances of taking all three points.
Rayo Vallecano vs Atlético Madrid: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rayo Vallecano played Atlético Madrid in La Liga (Spain). The match was played on 15 February 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Rayo Vallecano: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Atlético Madrid: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rayo Vallecano scores 0.82 and concedes 1.36 goals per match. Atlético Madrid scores 1.65 and concedes 0.78. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rayo Vallecano 41%, Atlético Madrid 48%. Over 2.5: Rayo Vallecano 41%, Atlético Madrid 39%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético Madrid has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.48. Rayo Vallecano: 13.4 shots per match, Atlético Madrid: 13.2.
Match halves
Rayo Vallecano: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.36. Atlético Madrid: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.87.
Goals by minute
Rayo Vallecano: 31-45+ (5 goals). Atlético Madrid: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
La Liga: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlético Madrid are displaying significantly higher form and quality than Rayo Vallecano. The hosts are only in 18th place in the table with a disastrous series of 4 losses in their last 5 matches and a mere 20% home win rate. Rayo have scored only 4 goals in their last 5 games, conceding as many as 11. Atlético, sitting in 3rd place in the league, boast a much better goal difference (+20 this season vs Rayo's -12) and solid defensive numbers with a 36% clean sheet rate away from home. Although Atlético's away form shows a tendency for draws (45%), their qualitative advantage and offensive firepower (38 goals this season) should translate into a victory. The hosts' poor form and their scoring issues (30% of home matches without a goal) further increase the visitors' chances of taking all three points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rayo Vallecano | Atlético Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.19 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético Madrid is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Rayo Vallecano · 1.6 pts / match - Atlético Madrid
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Madrid is 101% better for: goals scored per match.
0.82 goals / match - Rayo Vallecano · 1.65 goals / match - Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid is 74% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.36 goals / match - Rayo Vallecano · 0.78 goals / match - Atlético Madrid
Rayo Vallecano scores in 55% of matches (12 of 22 matches), while Atlético Madrid keeps a clean sheet in 43% (10 of 23 matches).
Atlético Madrid scores in 87% of matches (20 of 23 matches), while Rayo Vallecano keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rayo Vallecano
Over / Under - Atlético Madrid
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Madrid is 51% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / match - Rayo Vallecano · 1.65 pts / match - Atlético Madrid
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rayo Vallecano - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Atlético Madrid - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rayo Vallecano
Atlético Madrid
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).
Teams vs league
| Rayo Vallecano | Liga | Atlético Madrid | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.18 | 2.64 | ▼ 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 55% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 50% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 27% | 25% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 68% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 84% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Rayo Vallecano 0 - 0 - 1 Atlético Madrid. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rayo Vallecano vs Atlético Madrid?
The La Liga match finished Rayo Vallecano 3:0 Atlético Madrid. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rayo Vallecano vs Atlético Madrid?
Rayo Vallecano score 0.82 goals per game on average and Atlético Madrid 1.65. The La Liga average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Rayo Vallecano's matches and 48% of Atlético Madrid's.
What form are Rayo Vallecano and Atlético Madrid in?
Over the last 5 games Rayo Vallecano have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Atlético Madrid 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rayo Vallecano vs Atlético Madrid?
The statistical background for Rayo Vallecano vs Atlético Madrid — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.