Rayo Vallecano vs Elche CF: match statistics
Rayo Vallecano vs Elche CF: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rayo Vallecano played Elche CF in La Liga (Spain). The match was played on 3 April 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Rayo Vallecano: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Elche CF: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rayo Vallecano scores 0.97 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. Elche CF scores 1.31 and concedes 1.59. League average: 2.70 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rayo Vallecano 45%, Elche CF 72%. Over 2.5: Rayo Vallecano 38%, Elche CF 62%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Rayo Vallecano has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.31. Rayo Vallecano: 13.4 shots per match, Elche CF: 11.2.
Match halves
Rayo Vallecano: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.45. Elche CF: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Rayo Vallecano: 31-45+ (10 goals). Elche CF: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
La Liga: 2.70 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rayo Vallecano is a slight favorite, as Elche have not won any away matches (0% wins) and suffer as many as 71% losses on the road, conceding an average of 2.14 goals per away game. Rayo concede only 0.79 goals per home match and have a positive home goal difference of +5, while Rayo’s average home xG is 1.72 versus Elche’s 1.01 away xG, indicating a qualitative advantage for the hosts. The difference in chance creation is clear: Rayo averages 15.57 shots and 5.57 on target per home game, whereas Elche average 8.36 shots and 2.86 on target away, although Elche display a higher shot conversion rate (12% vs 7% for Rayo). Form over the last 5 matches is similar (Rayo 1.0 points per game, Elche 0.8), but the absence of away wins and 0% clean sheets for Elche argue that the hosts have a greater probability of winning.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Data strongly point to a 'Both Teams To Score' outcome: Elche has a seasonal BTTS rate of 86% versus Rayo's 60%, while the league average is 56%. In Elche's last 5 matches BTTS is 100% — they averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded in those five (7 for, 11 against), whereas Rayo in their last 5 averaged 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded (5-5). Seasonally Elche concedes 2.14 goals per game, Rayo concedes 1.07, and Elche has 0% clean sheets versus Rayo's 40%, which significantly increases the likelihood of them conceding. Rayo generates more attacking quality (xG 1.6 vs 1.01 and 4.93 shots on target vs 2.86), so they have a realistic ability to score against Elche's weaker defense — strong case for BTTS - Yes / Goal/Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Rayo averages 1.60 goals per game while Elche averages 1.00; Elche concedes 2.14 goals per game versus Rayo’s 1.07, already indicating a goals edge in this fixture. xG corroborates this: home xG 1.60 against Elche’s defense 1.71 yields an expected ~1.66 goals for Rayo, while Elche xG 1.01 versus Rayo defense 1.44 gives ~1.23 for the visitors, total expected goals = 2.89. With a total of 2.89 I estimate roughly a 78% chance for Over 1.5, ~55% for Over 2.5 and ~33% for Over 3.5 (based on goal distribution), and season rates also show Over 1.5 at 80% for Rayo and 86% for Elche, with Over 2.5 at 60%/64%. Additionally, Elche have conceded 11 goals in their last 5 matches (2.2 per game) and have had 100% of those fixtures over 2.5, while BTTS is 60% for Rayo and 86% for Elche, which increases the likelihood of both teams scoring. Therefore the strongest and most probable signal is a bet on Over 1.5, while Over 2.5 is possible but less certain.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time it is most likely to be a draw: the hosts were level at the break in 8 of 15 matches (53%), and the visitors in 7 of 14 (50%), with average first-half goals of 0.53 for Rayo versus 0.36 for Elche. After the break the hosts hold the advantage — Rayo scored 7 goals in minutes 46–60 versus 1 for Elche and collected 24 points in second halves (an average of 1.6 per match) compared to 11 points (0.79) for the visitors. The quality of chances also favors Rayo: the hosts’ first-half xG is 1.60 versus 1.01 for Elche, shots on target 4.93 to 2.86, with similar shot conversion around 12%. Over full matches Rayo have won 40% and drawn 47%, whereas Elche have recorded 0% wins and lost 71%, so I expect an HT draw to turn into a home victory (HT/FT X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rayo Vallecano | Elche CF | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rayo Vallecano is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Rayo Vallecano · 0.8 pts / match - Elche CF
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Elche CF is 35% better for: goals scored per match.
0.97 goals / match - Rayo Vallecano · 1.31 goals / match - Elche CF
Rayo Vallecano is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.21 goals / match - Rayo Vallecano · 1.59 goals / match - Elche CF
Rayo Vallecano scores in 62% of matches (18 of 29 matches), while Elche CF keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 29 matches).
Elche CF scores in 86% of matches (25 of 29 matches), while Rayo Vallecano keeps a clean sheet in 28% (8 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rayo Vallecano
Over / Under - Elche CF
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rayo Vallecano is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - Rayo Vallecano · 1.03 pts / match - Elche CF
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rayo Vallecano - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 24%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Elche CF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rayo Vallecano
Elche CF
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).
Teams vs league
| Rayo Vallecano | Liga | Elche CF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.17 | 2.70 | ▲ 2.90 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 57% | ▲ 72% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 51% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 24% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 72% | 69% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 83% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Rayo Vallecano 0 - 0 - 1 Elche CF. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rayo Vallecano vs Elche CF?
The La Liga match finished Rayo Vallecano 1:0 Elche CF. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rayo Vallecano vs Elche CF?
Rayo Vallecano score 0.97 goals per game on average and Elche CF 1.31. The La Liga average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Rayo Vallecano's matches and 72% of Elche CF's.
What form are Rayo Vallecano and Elche CF in?
Over the last 5 games Rayo Vallecano have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Elche CF 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rayo Vallecano vs Elche CF?
The statistical background for Rayo Vallecano vs Elche CF — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.