Rayo Vallecano vs Levante UD: match statistics
Rayo Vallecano displays solid home form with 54% draws and 31% wins at their stadium, conceding an average of only 0.77 goals per game. The hosts are undefeated in their last five matches (2 wins, 3 draws) and boast a positive goal difference of +5 at home. Levante UD finds themselves in a difficult situation in 19th place with a 62% away defeat rate, conceding an average of 1.62 goals and securing just 0.8 points per game over their last five fixtures. The difference in xG quality (1.71 for Rayo vs 1.06 for Levante) and a significant advantage in ball possession (54% vs 40%) further support the hosts. Considering Rayo's high efficiency in keeping clean sheets at home (38%) and the visitors' poor away form, a home victory is the most likely scenario, although Rayo's high percentage of home draws (54%) means a share of the points cannot be ruled out.
Rayo Vallecano vs Levante UD: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rayo Vallecano played Levante UD in La Liga (Spain). The match was played on 16 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Rayo Vallecano: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Levante UD: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rayo Vallecano scores 1.00 and concedes 1.22 goals per match. Levante UD scores 1.07 and concedes 1.67. League average: 2.68 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rayo Vallecano 44%, Levante UD 48%. Over 2.5: Rayo Vallecano 41%, Levante UD 44%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Rayo Vallecano has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.20. Rayo Vallecano: 13.4 shots per match, Levante UD: 11.1.
Match halves
Rayo Vallecano: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.44. Levante UD: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.70.
Goals by minute
Rayo Vallecano: 31-45+ (10 goals). Levante UD: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
La Liga: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rayo Vallecano displays solid home form with 54% draws and 31% wins at their stadium, conceding an average of only 0.77 goals per game. The hosts are undefeated in their last five matches (2 wins, 3 draws) and boast a positive goal difference of +5 at home. Levante UD finds themselves in a difficult situation in 19th place with a 62% away defeat rate, conceding an average of 1.62 goals and securing just 0.8 points per game over their last five fixtures. The difference in xG quality (1.71 for Rayo vs 1.06 for Levante) and a significant advantage in ball possession (54% vs 40%) further support the hosts. Considering Rayo's high efficiency in keeping clean sheets at home (38%) and the visitors' poor away form, a home victory is the most likely scenario, although Rayo's high percentage of home draws (54%) means a share of the points cannot be ruled out.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rayo Vallecano | Levante UD | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rayo Vallecano is 125% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Rayo Vallecano · 0.8 pts / match - Levante UD
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Levante UD is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Rayo Vallecano · 1.07 goals / match - Levante UD
Rayo Vallecano is 37% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.22 goals / match - Rayo Vallecano · 1.67 goals / match - Levante UD
Rayo Vallecano scores in 63% of matches (17 of 27 matches), while Levante UD keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 27 matches).
Levante UD scores in 63% of matches (17 of 27 matches), while Rayo Vallecano keeps a clean sheet in 30% (8 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rayo Vallecano
Over / Under - Levante UD
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rayo Vallecano is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.26 pts / match - Rayo Vallecano · 1.15 pts / match - Levante UD
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rayo Vallecano - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 26%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Levante UD - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 19%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rayo Vallecano
Levante UD
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).
Teams vs league
| Rayo Vallecano | Liga | Levante UD | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.22 | 2.68 | • 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 56% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 51% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 24% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 68% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 84% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Rayo Vallecano 1 - 0 - 0 Levante UD. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rayo Vallecano vs Levante UD?
The La Liga match finished Rayo Vallecano 1:1 Levante UD. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rayo Vallecano vs Levante UD?
Rayo Vallecano score 1.00 goals per game on average and Levante UD 1.07. The La Liga average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Rayo Vallecano's matches and 48% of Levante UD's.
What form are Rayo Vallecano and Levante UD in?
Over the last 5 games Rayo Vallecano have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Levante UD 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rayo Vallecano vs Levante UD?
The statistical background for Rayo Vallecano vs Levante UD — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.