Rayo Vallecano vs RCD Mallorca: match statistics
Rayo Vallecano shows an exceptionally high tendency to draw at their home stadium – a staggering 75% of home matches end in a points split, which, combined with their recent form (ddlwdddd), confirms the hosts' defensive approach. Mallorca has weak away form (67% losses), but their last five matches show stabilization (dwldl) with one win and two draws. xG statistics indicate an advantage for Rayo (1.76 vs 1.20); however, a low conversion rate (4%) and a high percentage of matches without scoring (38%) suggest finishing issues. Mallorca averages a goal per away game (1.0 per match), which, combined with Rayo's solid defense (0.63 goals conceded at home), points to a low-tempo encounter. Considering the hosts' tendency for draws and the even form of both teams in the last five matches, a split of points seems the most likely outcome in this duel between bottom-table teams.
Rayo Vallecano vs RCD Mallorca: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rayo Vallecano played RCD Mallorca in La Liga (Spain). The match was played on 11 January 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Rayo Vallecano: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. RCD Mallorca: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rayo Vallecano scores 0.78 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. RCD Mallorca scores 1.11 and concedes 1.44. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rayo Vallecano 33%, RCD Mallorca 67%. Over 2.5: Rayo Vallecano 28%, RCD Mallorca 56%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Rayo Vallecano has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.20. Rayo Vallecano: 13.6 shots per match, RCD Mallorca: 10.3.
Match halves
Rayo Vallecano: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.33. RCD Mallorca: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.72.
Goals by minute
Rayo Vallecano: 31-45+ (4 goals). RCD Mallorca: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
La Liga: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rayo Vallecano shows an exceptionally high tendency to draw at their home stadium – a staggering 75% of home matches end in a points split, which, combined with their recent form (ddlwdddd), confirms the hosts' defensive approach. Mallorca has weak away form (67% losses), but their last five matches show stabilization (dwldl) with one win and two draws. xG statistics indicate an advantage for Rayo (1.76 vs 1.20); however, a low conversion rate (4%) and a high percentage of matches without scoring (38%) suggest finishing issues. Mallorca averages a goal per away game (1.0 per match), which, combined with Rayo's solid defense (0.63 goals conceded at home), points to a low-tempo encounter. Considering the hosts' tendency for draws and the even form of both teams in the last five matches, a split of points seems the most likely outcome in this duel between bottom-table teams.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rayo Vallecano | RCD Mallorca | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.17 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
RCD Mallorca is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Rayo Vallecano · 1.2 pts / match - RCD Mallorca
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
RCD Mallorca is 42% better for: goals scored per match.
0.78 goals / match - Rayo Vallecano · 1.11 goals / match - RCD Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - Rayo Vallecano · 1.44 goals / match - RCD Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano scores in 50% of matches (9 of 18 matches), while RCD Mallorca keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 matches).
RCD Mallorca scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Rayo Vallecano keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rayo Vallecano
Over / Under - RCD Mallorca
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rayo Vallecano is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - Rayo Vallecano · 0.83 pts / match - RCD Mallorca
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rayo Vallecano - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
RCD Mallorca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rayo Vallecano
RCD Mallorca
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).
Teams vs league
| Rayo Vallecano | Liga | RCD Mallorca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.94 | 2.58 | • 2.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 53% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 28% | 47% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 26% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 67% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 82% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Rayo Vallecano vs RCD Mallorca?
The La Liga match finished Rayo Vallecano 2:1 RCD Mallorca. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rayo Vallecano vs RCD Mallorca?
Rayo Vallecano score 0.78 goals per game on average and RCD Mallorca 1.11. The La Liga average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Rayo Vallecano's matches and 67% of RCD Mallorca's.
What form are Rayo Vallecano and RCD Mallorca in?
Over the last 5 games Rayo Vallecano have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and RCD Mallorca 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rayo Vallecano vs RCD Mallorca?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.