Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo: match statistics
Rayo Vallecano performs significantly better as the host, evidenced by a positive goal difference (+2) in home matches and a solid 33% clean sheet rate. Real Oviedo sits in 20th place in the table and has catastrophic away form – 67% losses, zero clean sheets, and a goal difference of -15 on the road. The visitors are unable to score (58% of away matches without a goal) and concede over 2 goals per away match on average. The xG statistics also speak in favor of the hosts (1.68 vs 1.12), and the advantage in possession (54% vs 42%) suggests Rayo will control the match. Despite average form in the last five games, Rayo Vallecano should capitalize on the visitors' weakness and secure three points before their own crowd.
Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rayo Vallecano played Real Oviedo in La Liga (Spain). The match was played on 4 March 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Rayo Vallecano: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Real Oviedo: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rayo Vallecano scores 0.92 and concedes 1.28 goals per match. Real Oviedo scores 0.64 and concedes 1.60. League average: 2.65 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rayo Vallecano 44%, Real Oviedo 32%. Over 2.5: Rayo Vallecano 40%, Real Oviedo 36%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Rayo Vallecano has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.13. Rayo Vallecano: 13.4 shots per match, Real Oviedo: 10.0.
Match halves
Rayo Vallecano: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.36. Real Oviedo: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Rayo Vallecano: 31-45+ (9 goals). Real Oviedo: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
La Liga: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rayo Vallecano performs significantly better as the host, evidenced by a positive goal difference (+2) in home matches and a solid 33% clean sheet rate. Real Oviedo sits in 20th place in the table and has catastrophic away form – 67% losses, zero clean sheets, and a goal difference of -15 on the road. The visitors are unable to score (58% of away matches without a goal) and concede over 2 goals per away match on average. The xG statistics also speak in favor of the hosts (1.68 vs 1.12), and the advantage in possession (54% vs 42%) suggests Rayo will control the match. Despite average form in the last five games, Rayo Vallecano should capitalize on the visitors' weakness and secure three points before their own crowd.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rayo Vallecano | Real Oviedo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rayo Vallecano is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Rayo Vallecano · 0.8 pts / match - Real Oviedo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rayo Vallecano is 44% better for: goals scored per match.
0.92 goals / match - Rayo Vallecano · 0.64 goals / match - Real Oviedo
Rayo Vallecano is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.28 goals / match - Rayo Vallecano · 1.6 goals / match - Real Oviedo
Rayo Vallecano scores in 60% of matches (15 of 25 matches), while Real Oviedo keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 matches).
Real Oviedo scores in 40% of matches (10 of 25 matches), while Rayo Vallecano keeps a clean sheet in 28% (7 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rayo Vallecano
Over / Under - Real Oviedo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rayo Vallecano is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Rayo Vallecano · 0.96 pts / match - Real Oviedo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rayo Vallecano - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 24%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Real Oviedo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 12%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rayo Vallecano
Real Oviedo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).
Teams vs league
| Rayo Vallecano | Liga | Real Oviedo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.20 | 2.65 | ▼ 2.24 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 55% | ▼ 32% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 50% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 25% | • 24% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 67% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 84% | ▼ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Rayo Vallecano 0 - 1 - 0 Real Oviedo. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo?
The La Liga match finished Rayo Vallecano 3:0 Real Oviedo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo?
Rayo Vallecano score 0.92 goals per game on average and Real Oviedo 0.64. The La Liga average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Rayo Vallecano's matches and 32% of Real Oviedo's.
What form are Rayo Vallecano and Real Oviedo in?
Over the last 5 games Rayo Vallecano have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Real Oviedo 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo?
The statistical background for Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.