Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad: match statistics
Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rayo Vallecano play Real Sociedad in La Liga (Spain). The match date is 26 April 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 3:3.
Current form
Rayo Vallecano: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Real Sociedad: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rayo Vallecano scores 1.08 and concedes 1.16 goals per match. Real Sociedad scores 1.55 and concedes 1.61. League average: 2.69 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rayo Vallecano 45%, Real Sociedad 79%. Over 2.5: Rayo Vallecano 37%, Real Sociedad 58%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Rayo Vallecano has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.44. Rayo Vallecano: 14.0 shots per match, Real Sociedad: 12.3.
Match halves
Rayo Vallecano: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.58. Real Sociedad: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Rayo Vallecano: 31-45+ (11 goals). Real Sociedad: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
La Liga: 2.69 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Rayo Vallecano has a clear defensive edge at home: they concede on average 0.69 goals per match and keep 44% clean sheets, whereas Real away concede 1.6 goals on average and have only 7% clean sheets. The hosts also generate more attacking threat – 16 average shots and 5.56 shots on target per home match with xG 1.75, versus 12.6 shots, 4.47 on target and xG 1.44 for Real on the road. Form favors Rayo: in the last 5 matches they have 3 wins (PPG 1.8), while Real have won only 1 of their last 5 and have PPG 1.0. Real however possess a superior season attacking output (49 goals vs 30 for Rayo) and a higher shot conversion (9% vs 7%), which gives them a realistic chance to score, so a draw is also plausible. Taking into account the home defensive advantage, greater number of shots on target and higher xG for the hosts, I project a Rayo victory, albeit with a significant probability of a draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rayo Vallecano | Real Sociedad | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rayo Vallecano is 267% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Rayo Vallecano · 0.6 pts / match - Real Sociedad
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Real Sociedad is 44% better for: goals scored per match.
1.08 goals / match - Rayo Vallecano · 1.55 goals / match - Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano is 39% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.16 goals / match - Rayo Vallecano · 1.61 goals / match - Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Real Sociedad keeps a clean sheet in 8% (3 of 38 matches).
Real Sociedad scores in 87% of matches (33 of 38 matches), while Rayo Vallecano keeps a clean sheet in 32% (12 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Rayo Vallecano
Over / Under — Real Sociedad
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Real Sociedad is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - Rayo Vallecano · 1.37 pts / match - Real Sociedad
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rayo Vallecano - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Real Sociedad - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 29%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).
Teams vs league
| Rayo Vallecano | Liga | Real Sociedad | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.24 | 2.69 | ▲ 3.16 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 57% | ▲ 79% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 37% | 50% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 24% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 70% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 79% | 82% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Rayo Vallecano 1 - 0 - 0 Real Sociedad. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad?
The La Liga match finished Rayo Vallecano 3:3 Real Sociedad. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad?
Rayo Vallecano score 1.08 goals per game on average and Real Sociedad 1.55. The La Liga average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Rayo Vallecano's matches and 79% of Real Sociedad's.
What form are Rayo Vallecano and Real Sociedad in?
Over the last 5 games Rayo Vallecano have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Real Sociedad 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


