Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal: match statistics
Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rayo Vallecano play Villarreal in La Liga (Spain). The match date is 17 May 2026 at 19:00. Venue: Estadio de Vallecas. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Rayo Vallecano: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Villarreal: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rayo Vallecano scores 1.08 and concedes 1.16 goals per match. Villarreal scores 1.89 and concedes 1.21. League average: 2.69 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rayo Vallecano 45%, Villarreal 63%. Over 2.5: Rayo Vallecano 37%, Villarreal 58%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Rayo Vallecano has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.36. Rayo Vallecano: 14.0 shots per match, Villarreal: 12.0.
Match halves
Rayo Vallecano: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.58. Villarreal: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.87.
Goals by minute
Rayo Vallecano: 31-45+ (11 goals). Villarreal: 31-45+ (18 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
La Liga: 2.69 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I expect a draw (X): Rayo has a 56% draw rate at home and in the last 5 matches recorded 3 wins and 2 draws, averaging 2.2 points per game, while Villarreal in their last five has a 2-2-1 record and averages 1.6 points. Home advantage is supported by a greater number and quality of chances — Rayo at home averages 16.56 shots per game with xG 1.81 and 5.72 shots on target, whereas Villarreal away averages 9.33 shots, xG 1.06 and 3.28 shots on target. The visitors, however, are more efficient in finishing: their conversion rate away is 14% and they average 1.33 goals per game with xG 1.06, and over the season they have scored 67 goals versus Rayo's 37. Defensively Rayo have the edge at home — they concede 0.83 goals per game and keep 39% clean sheets, while Villarreal away concede 1.39 goals and have 17% clean sheets. Considering possession control (55% vs 40%), the xG advantage (1.81 vs 1.06) and Rayo’s high home draw percentage, I rate a draw as the most likely outcome, with a possible home or away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rayo Vallecano | Villarreal | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rayo Vallecano is 57% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Rayo Vallecano · 1.4 pts / match - Villarreal
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Villarreal is 75% better for: goals scored per match.
1.08 goals / match - Rayo Vallecano · 1.89 goals / match - Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Villarreal keeps a clean sheet in 21% (8 of 38 matches).
Villarreal scores in 84% of matches (32 of 38 matches), while Rayo Vallecano keeps a clean sheet in 32% (12 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Rayo Vallecano
Over / Under — Villarreal
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Villarreal is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - Rayo Vallecano · 1.76 pts / match - Villarreal
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rayo Vallecano - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Villarreal - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (18 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).
Teams vs league
| Rayo Vallecano | Liga | Villarreal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.24 | 2.69 | ▲ 3.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 57% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 37% | 50% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 24% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 70% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 79% | 82% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Rayo Vallecano 0 - 0 - 1 Villarreal. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal?
The La Liga match finished Rayo Vallecano 2:0 Villarreal. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal?
Rayo Vallecano score 1.08 goals per game on average and Villarreal 1.89. The La Liga average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Rayo Vallecano's matches and 63% of Villarreal's.
What form are Rayo Vallecano and Villarreal in?
Over the last 5 games Rayo Vallecano have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Villarreal 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal?
The statistical background for Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.