Venezuela - Primera DivisiónData current as of 16 October 2026

Rayo Zuliano vs Carabobo: match statistics

Rayo Zuliano crest
Rayo Zuliano
4 : 3half-time 2:1
Carabobo crest
Carabobo

Rayo Zuliano vs Carabobo: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Rayo Zuliano played Carabobo in Primera División (Venezuela). The match was played on 3 September 2026. Final score: 4:3.

Current form

Rayo Zuliano: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Carabobo: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Rayo Zuliano scores 1.00 and concedes 1.89 goals per match. Carabobo scores 1.50 and concedes 0.88. League average: 2.54 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Rayo Zuliano 53%, Carabobo 50%. Over 2.5: Rayo Zuliano 63%, Carabobo 31%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Carabobo has higher xG: 1.78 vs 1.00. Rayo Zuliano: 9.2 shots per match, Carabobo: 16.3.

Match halves

Rayo Zuliano: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.37. Carabobo: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Rayo Zuliano: 16-30 (5 goals). Carabobo: 46-60 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Primera División: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-3. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 0%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Carabobo sit 1st and have lost just 5 of their 25 matches this season, while their defence has conceded 23 goals compared with Rayo Zuliano’s 32 in only 18 games. However, the visitors create significantly better chances away from home, averaging 1.80 xG compared with the hosts’ 1.08, and also register 16.33 shots per match versus Rayo’s 9.78. Carabobo’s main concern is their weaker attacking efficiency in recent weeks: they have scored just 4 goals in their last 5 matches, although they have conceded only 3 goals during the same period. Rayo win 33% of their home matches, but fail to score in 44% of them and concede an average of 1.56 goals, which limits their chances of securing a full victory. With Carabobo drawing 42% of their away matches and both teams recording comparable goal averages in these conditions, a share of the points appears to be the most likely outcome.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Rayo Zuliano’s defence, which has kept a clean sheet in 62% of matches, while Carabobo have failed to score in 25% of games. In their last five appearances, Carabobo have scored just 0.8 goals per match and recorded BTTS in only 20% of cases, clearly reducing the likelihood of the away side finding the net. Rayo Zuliano do average 1.85 goals scored at home, but their season BTTS rate is only 38%, well below the league average of 52%. Carabobo have recently created chances worth 2.15 xG per match, but have also conceded just 0.6 goals per game across their last five matches, making a scenario in which at least one team fails to score more likely.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The season profiles of both teams point to a limited number of very high-scoring games: under 3.5 goals landed in 77% of Rayo Zuliano’s matches and 75% of Carabobo’s. The 2.5-goal line also remained unmet in 69% of the hosts’ matches and 67% of the visitors’ fixtures. Carabobo have not played a single game with at least three goals in their last five appearances, conceding just 0.6 goals per match during that period. Rayo Zuliano have a very solid home defense, keeping a clean sheet in 62% of their matches and conceding an average of 0.62 goals. Although both teams’ average xG figures are relatively high, at 1.81 and 1.80 respectively, the projected total of 2.25 goals still clearly supports Under 3.5 as the safest line.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Rayo Zuliano victory at full-time, as the hosts were level at the break in 69% of their matches, compared with 58% for Carabobo. Rayo defend very effectively before half-time, conceding an average of just 0.23 goals, whereas the visitors concede as many as 0.75 goals per match during this period. After the break, the hosts score an average of 1.15 goals and have not lost a single second half, while Carabobo have won the second half in only 33% of cases. The hosts’ advantage over the season as a whole is clear: they win 62% of their matches, score an average of 1.85 goals and concede 0.62, compared with Carabobo’s mere 17% win rate and average of 1.25 goals conceded. However, the teams’ last five matches suggest a cautious start, as each side was level at half-time in 3 of those 5 games, further strengthening the X/1 HT/FT scenario.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

2 : 1
1st half
2 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

36Possession (%)64
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo
8Shots25
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo
7Shots on target8
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo
1.1xG2.51
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo
4Corners8
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo
14Dangerous attacks52
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo
21Fouls11
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo
5Cards1
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Rayo ZulianoCarabobo
1Goals scored / match1.5
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo
1.89Goals conceded / match0.88
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo
43%Average possession56%
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo
2.89Shots on target / match5.42
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.16Shots per match16.31
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo
2.89Shots on target5.42
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo
10.9%Shot conversion9.2%
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo
43%Possession56%
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo
1xG for1.78
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo
1.7xG against1.11
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo

Shooting quality

Rayo Zuliano: BalancedCarabobo: Dominant
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo
Accuracy (shots on target)32%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Carabobo is 167% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Rayo Zuliano · 1.6 pts / match - Carabobo

Rayo Zuliano
LWLLL
Season result split
26% W11% D63% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-12
0.89 pts / match · goal difference -17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-5
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
WLLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 0.85Opponent xG: 1.73BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Carabobo
WLWDD
Season result split
38% W42% D19% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-11-5
1.58 pts / match · goal difference +16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-5-5
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WWLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.88Opponent xG: 1.14BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 0%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Carabobo is 50% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Rayo Zuliano · 1.5 goals / match - Carabobo

Carabobo is 115% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.89 goals / match - Rayo Zuliano · 0.88 goals / match - Carabobo

Rayo Zuliano scoring profile: mixed

Rayo Zuliano scores in 58% of matches (11 of 19 matches), while Carabobo keeps a clean sheet in 42% (11 of 26 matches).

Carabobo scoring profile: very strong

Carabobo scores in 73% of matches (19 of 26 matches), while Rayo Zuliano keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 19 matches).

19Goals scored (season)39
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo
36Goals conceded (season)23
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo
2.89Average goals in match2.38
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo
5Goals scored (last 5)4
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo
11Goals conceded (last 5)2
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo

How often they score at least...

58%1 goal73%
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo
26%2 goals31%
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo
16%3 goals15%
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo
0%4 goals15%
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo

How often they concede at least...

89%1 goal58%
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo
42%2 goals19%
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo
26%3 goals12%
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo
21%4 goals0%
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

53%
League average

Goal patterns

26%BTTS at half-time19%
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo
0%BTTS in both halves8%
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo
16%Scored in both halves23%
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo

BTTS and goal count

47%Min. 3 goals and BTTS27%
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo
16%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo
40%BTTS - last 520%
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

74%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo
42%Min. 2 goals before half-time31%
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo
16%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo

2nd half

84%Min. 1 goal after half-time69%
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo
16%Min. 3 goals after half-time12%
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Rayo Zuliano - half-time state
26% leading42% draw32% trailing
Carabobo - half-time state
19% leading65% draw15% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.21Points per match (1st half)1.23
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo
0.63Goals scored (1st half)0.5
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo
0.74Goals conceded (1st half)0.46
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo
1.37Average goals (1st half)0.96
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo
47%Clean sheet before half-time65%
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo
53%No goal before half-time65%
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo

After half-time (2nd half)

0.84Points per match (2nd half)1.73
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo
0.37Goals scored (2nd half)1
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo
1.16Goals conceded (2nd half)0.42
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo
1.53Average goals (2nd half)1.42
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo
37%Clean sheet after half-time65%
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo
74%No goal after half-time38%
Rayo ZulianoCarabobo

Rayo Zuliano - second-half results

21% W21% D58% L
23
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
-15
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.21
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Carabobo - second-half results

42% W46% D12% L
32
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
45
Second-half points
+15
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.23
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Rayo Zuliano - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.60
Goals scored / match0.80.2
Goals conceded / match0.41.8
Average goals in match1.22.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+2-8
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Carabobo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.60
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.2
Average goals in match0.60.6
1 goal40%60%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Rayo Zuliano
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
5
5
16-30
4
8
31-45
2
6
46-60
2
4
61-75
3
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.

Carabobo
ScoredConceded
1
4
0-15
8
4
16-30
4
4
31-45
13
4
46-60
6
1
61-75
7
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.63
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
52%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+1%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
42%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Rayo Zuliano

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.70
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.19
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
0.00
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
70%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
169%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

Carabobo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.67
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-16.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.23
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
134%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
62%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 3% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

Rayo ZulianoLigaCarabobo
Average goals in match▲ 2.892.54▼ 2.38
Both teams scored• 53%53%▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 63%46%▼ 31%
Clean sheets▼ 11%28%▲ 42%
Goal before half-time▲ 74%67%▼ 50%
Goal after half-time▲ 84%76%▼ 69%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.54
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.42
Home goals / match
1.12
Away goals / match
+27%
Home attack advantage
+21%
Home defence advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Rayo ZulianoGoalLuis DugarteAssist: Deiber Vásquez
  2. Rayo ZulianoYellow cardDeyson David Copete Cuesta
  3. Rayo ZulianoYellow cardJean Carlos Sanchez Rose
  4. Rayo ZulianoGoalJosé Luis Ochoa Machado
  5. Rayo ZulianoYellow cardAndrés Kinsler
  6. Rayo ZulianoSubstitutionOn: Cristian Gregory Maldonado ChourioOff: Luis Dugarte
  7. Rayo ZulianoYellow cardJosé Luis Ochoa Machado
  8. CaraboboYellow cardBryan José Castillo Rosendo
  9. Rayo ZulianoYellow cardSamuel Stiven Orejuela Espinosa
  10. Rayo ZulianoSubstitutionOn: Edilmer Paolo ChacónOff: Fernando Díaz
  11. Rayo ZulianoGoalJosé MoránAssist: Deiber Vásquez
  12. Rayo ZulianoYellow cardCristian Gregory Maldonado Chourio

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Rayo Zuliano 0 - 0 - 3 Carabobo. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Carabobo
5 : 0
Rayo Zuliano
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
0 : 2
Carabobo FC
Carabobo FC
1 : 0
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano

FAQ

What was the result of Rayo Zuliano vs Carabobo?

The Primera División match finished Rayo Zuliano 4:3 Carabobo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Rayo Zuliano and Carabobo?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Rayo Zuliano won 0, Carabobo won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Rayo Zuliano vs Carabobo?

Rayo Zuliano score 1.00 goals per game on average and Carabobo 1.50. The Primera División average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Rayo Zuliano's matches and 50% of Carabobo's.

What form are Rayo Zuliano and Carabobo in?

Over the last 5 games Rayo Zuliano have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Carabobo 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rayo Zuliano vs Carabobo?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Rayo Zuliano vs Carabobo: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.