Rayong vs Chiangrai United: match statistics
Rayong displays significantly better home form with a 56% win rate and an impressive average of 2 goals per match at home. The hosts have an advantage in expected goals (xG 2.22 vs 1.16) as well as a much higher shot accuracy and ball possession (56% vs 39%). Chiangrai United draws in as many as 70% of their away matches and has not recorded a single clean sheet, which, given their average of 2 goals conceded per game, makes their defense highly vulnerable. The difference in goal difference (+6 for Rayong vs -7 for Chiangrai) along with the guests' poor form in the last five matches (1 point per game) further supports a home win. However, Chiangrai's high away draw rate justifies a relatively high probability of a points split.
Rayong vs Chiangrai United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rayong played Chiangrai United in Thai League T1 (Thailand). The match was played on 15 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Rayong: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Chiangrai United: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rayong scores 1.67 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Chiangrai United scores 1.16 and concedes 1.42. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rayong 72%, Chiangrai United 68%. Over 2.5: Rayong 50%, Chiangrai United 32%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Rayong has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.27. Rayong: 15.0 shots per match, Chiangrai United: 11.3.
Match halves
Rayong: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 1.06. Chiangrai United: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Rayong: 76-90+ (12 goals). Chiangrai United: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Thai League T1: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rayong displays significantly better home form with a 56% win rate and an impressive average of 2 goals per match at home. The hosts have an advantage in expected goals (xG 2.22 vs 1.16) as well as a much higher shot accuracy and ball possession (56% vs 39%). Chiangrai United draws in as many as 70% of their away matches and has not recorded a single clean sheet, which, given their average of 2 goals conceded per game, makes their defense highly vulnerable. The difference in goal difference (+6 for Rayong vs -7 for Chiangrai) along with the guests' poor form in the last five matches (1 point per game) further supports a home win. However, Chiangrai's high away draw rate justifies a relatively high probability of a points split.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rayong | Chiangrai United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rayong is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Rayong · 1 pts / match - Chiangrai United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rayong is 44% better for: goals scored per match.
1.67 goals / match - Rayong · 1.16 goals / match - Chiangrai United
Rayong is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Rayong · 1.42 goals / match - Chiangrai United
Rayong scores in 94% of matches (17 of 18 matches), while Chiangrai United keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
Chiangrai United scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while Rayong keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rayong
Over / Under - Chiangrai United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Chiangrai United is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - Rayong · 1.58 pts / match - Chiangrai United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rayong - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Chiangrai United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 26%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rayong
Chiangrai United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Thai League T1).
Teams vs league
| Rayong | Liga | Chiangrai United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.75 | ▼ 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 72% | 58% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 46% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 24% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 72% | 65% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 85% | • 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Rayong 1 - 0 - 0 Chiangrai United. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rayong vs Chiangrai United?
The Thai League T1 match finished Rayong 1:1 Chiangrai United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rayong vs Chiangrai United?
Rayong score 1.67 goals per game on average and Chiangrai United 1.16. The Thai League T1 average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 72% of Rayong's matches and 68% of Chiangrai United's.
What form are Rayong and Chiangrai United in?
Over the last 5 games Rayong have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Chiangrai United 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rayong vs Chiangrai United?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.