Rayong vs Ratchaburi: match statistics

Rayong are unbeaten after two matchdays and won their only home game so far without conceding; at home, they allow opponents an average of just 0.84 xG. Ratchaburi do have a higher average away xG, 1.84 compared with Rayong’s 1.64, and take 18 shots per match versus the hosts’ 16, but they lost their away fixture. Rayong’s key advantage is their defensive organisation: away from home, Ratchaburi concede an average of 2 goals and 1.73 xG, and have yet to keep a clean sheet. Both teams have scored in every home or away match, so Ratchaburi should create chances, but Rayong’s home record and the visitors’ defensive weakness slightly favour a home win. In their last five matches, Rayong have won 3 times and scored 9 goals, confirming their ability to capitalise on home advantage.

The BTTS - Yes pick is primarily supported by the current form of both teams: in their last 5 matches, both Rayong and Ratchaburi recorded a Goal/Goal result in 60% of their games. During this period, Rayong averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, while Ratchaburi scored as many as 2.6 goals and conceded 1.8. The visitors create a high volume of chances, averaging 18 shots, including 6 on target, while their xG over the last five appearances stands at a high 2.59. Rayong’s defence allowed opponents 1.86 xG per match, which clearly increases Ratchaburi’s chances of scoring. The hosts have a lower xG of 1.16, but they scored 9 goals in their last five matches, while Ratchaburi conceded 9 goals during the same period. Therefore, it is more likely that both teams will get on the scoresheet.

The latest form of both teams points to a goal-filled match: Rayong have scored and conceded 1.8 goals per game over their last 5 matches, while Ratchaburi have scored as many as 2.6 goals per game. The visitors are creating particularly many chances, averaging 2.59 xG across their last five appearances, while Rayong have allowed opponents 1.86 xG. At least 3 goals were scored in 60% of the last five matches played by each team, and both teams scored in 60% of those fixtures. Additionally, Ratchaburi average 18 shots and 6 shots on target away from home, while conceding 2 goals per match, which clearly supports the Over 1.5 goals pick.

Ratchaburi have clearly greater attacking potential: they have averaged 2.6 goals over their last five matches, compared with Rayong’s 1.8, while also averaging 1.84 xG and 18 shots per game. The visitors have scored an average of 1.0 goals before half-time, whereas Rayong have managed just 0.4, and Ratchaburi led at the break in 40% of their last five appearances, while the hosts were trailing at half-time in 40% of cases. Rayong conceded an average of 0.8 goals in the first half and as many as 1.8 across the full match during this run, increasing the likelihood that they will be unable to contain the more active opponent from the outset. Both teams are capable of scoring after the interval, but Ratchaburi still hold the edge in attacking output, averaging 1.6 goals compared with the hosts’ 1.4. The most likely scenario is therefore that the visitors take the lead at the break and preserve it until the final whistle, making the HT/FT 2/2 outcome the most plausible.