RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund: match statistics
The match promises to be extremely evenly contested. RB Leipzig has the home advantage with an impressive record of 64% wins at home and an average of 2.27 goals per match, but their recent form is concerning – only 1 point per match in the last 5 games. Borussia Dortmund shows excellent overall form (2.4 points per match in the last 5 games) and occupies 2nd place in the table, but away from home they are less effective offensively (1.91 goals on average) and draw more frequently (36% draws). A key factor is the defense of both teams – Leipzig concedes an average of 1.36 goals at home, while Dortmund concedes 1.09 goals away, suggesting cautious play. Considering the hosts' weaker form, the guests' solidity, and the xG statistics showing similar capabilities (1.99 vs 1.51), a draw or a narrow victory for either side seems most probable.
RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
RB Leipzig played Borussia Dortmund in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
RB Leipzig: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Borussia Dortmund: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
RB Leipzig scores 1.91 and concedes 1.36 goals per match. Borussia Dortmund scores 2.14 and concedes 0.91. League average: 3.19 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: RB Leipzig 55%, Borussia Dortmund 50%. Over 2.5: RB Leipzig 64%, Borussia Dortmund 55%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
RB Leipzig has higher xG: 1.80 vs 1.62. RB Leipzig: 16.4 shots per match, Borussia Dortmund: 13.2.
Match halves
RB Leipzig: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.05. Borussia Dortmund: half-time lead 73%, second-half goals 1.05.
Goals by minute
RB Leipzig: 46-60 (10 goals). Borussia Dortmund: 31-45+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.19 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be extremely evenly contested. RB Leipzig has the home advantage with an impressive record of 64% wins at home and an average of 2.27 goals per match, but their recent form is concerning – only 1 point per match in the last 5 games. Borussia Dortmund shows excellent overall form (2.4 points per match in the last 5 games) and occupies 2nd place in the table, but away from home they are less effective offensively (1.91 goals on average) and draw more frequently (36% draws). A key factor is the defense of both teams – Leipzig concedes an average of 1.36 goals at home, while Dortmund concedes 1.09 goals away, suggesting cautious play. Considering the hosts' weaker form, the guests' solidity, and the xG statistics showing similar capabilities (1.99 vs 1.51), a draw or a narrow victory for either side seems most probable.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| RB Leipzig | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Borussia Dortmund is 88% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - RB Leipzig · 3 pts / match - Borussia Dortmund
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Borussia Dortmund is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
1.91 goals / match - RB Leipzig · 2.14 goals / match - Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund is 49% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.36 goals / match - RB Leipzig · 0.91 goals / match - Borussia Dortmund
RB Leipzig scores in 91% of matches (20 of 22 matches), while Borussia Dortmund keeps a clean sheet in 50% (11 of 22 matches).
Borussia Dortmund scores in 100% of matches (22 of 22 matches), while RB Leipzig keeps a clean sheet in 41% (9 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - RB Leipzig
Over / Under - Borussia Dortmund
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Borussia Dortmund is 43% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.68 pts / match - RB Leipzig · 2.41 pts / match - Borussia Dortmund
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
RB Leipzig - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Borussia Dortmund - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 73% of matches and wins 68%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| RB Leipzig | Liga | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.27 | 3.19 | ▼ 3.05 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 55% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 64% | 63% | ▼ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 23% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 78% | ▲ 91% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 83% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: RB Leipzig 0 - 1 - 0 Borussia Dortmund. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund?
The Bundesliga match finished RB Leipzig 2:2 Borussia Dortmund. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund?
RB Leipzig score 1.91 goals per game on average and Borussia Dortmund 2.14. The Bundesliga average is 3.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 55% of RB Leipzig's matches and 50% of Borussia Dortmund's.
What form are RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund in?
Over the last 5 games RB Leipzig have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Borussia Dortmund 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.