RCD Mallorca vs Athletic Club Bilbao: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most likely outcome. RCD Mallorca displays solid home form with 44% draws and a goal difference of 0 at their own stadium, highlighting their defensive stability. Athletic Club Bilbao struggles in away matches—suffering 56% defeats with a negative goal difference of -7, although their xG (1.42) suggests offensive potential. Mallorca rarely loses at home (only 22% defeats), while Bilbao rarely wins away (22% wins). Considering the recent form of both teams and Mallorca's tendency to draw on their own turf, I expect a tight, balanced encounter ending in a split of points.
RCD Mallorca vs Athletic Club Bilbao: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
RCD Mallorca played Athletic Club Bilbao in La Liga (Spain). The match was played on 17 January 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
RCD Mallorca: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Athletic Club Bilbao: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
RCD Mallorca scores 1.11 and concedes 1.47 goals per match. Athletic Club Bilbao scores 0.89 and concedes 1.32. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: RCD Mallorca 68%, Athletic Club Bilbao 37%. Over 2.5: RCD Mallorca 58%, Athletic Club Bilbao 37%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Athletic Club Bilbao has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.19. RCD Mallorca: 10.3 shots per match, Athletic Club Bilbao: 13.4.
Match halves
RCD Mallorca: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.68. Athletic Club Bilbao: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
RCD Mallorca: 76-90+ (8 goals). Athletic Club Bilbao: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
La Liga: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most likely outcome. RCD Mallorca displays solid home form with 44% draws and a goal difference of 0 at their own stadium, highlighting their defensive stability. Athletic Club Bilbao struggles in away matches—suffering 56% defeats with a negative goal difference of -7, although their xG (1.42) suggests offensive potential. Mallorca rarely loses at home (only 22% defeats), while Bilbao rarely wins away (22% wins). Considering the recent form of both teams and Mallorca's tendency to draw on their own turf, I expect a tight, balanced encounter ending in a split of points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| RCD Mallorca | Athletic Club Bilbao | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
RCD Mallorca is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - RCD Mallorca · 0.8 pts / match - Athletic Club Bilbao
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
RCD Mallorca is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
1.11 goals / match - RCD Mallorca · 0.89 goals / match - Athletic Club Bilbao
Athletic Club Bilbao is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.47 goals / match - RCD Mallorca · 1.32 goals / match - Athletic Club Bilbao
RCD Mallorca scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Athletic Club Bilbao keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
Athletic Club Bilbao scores in 58% of matches (11 of 19 matches), while RCD Mallorca keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - RCD Mallorca
Over / Under - Athletic Club Bilbao
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Athletic Club Bilbao is 53% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.79 pts / match - RCD Mallorca · 1.21 pts / match - Athletic Club Bilbao
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
RCD Mallorca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Athletic Club Bilbao - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
RCD Mallorca
Athletic Club Bilbao
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).
Teams vs league
| RCD Mallorca | Liga | Athletic Club Bilbao | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.58 | 2.57 | ▼ 2.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 52% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 46% | ▼ 37% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 26% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 66% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 82% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: RCD Mallorca 0 - 0 - 1 Athletic Club Bilbao. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of RCD Mallorca vs Athletic Club Bilbao?
The La Liga match finished RCD Mallorca 3:2 Athletic Club Bilbao. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before RCD Mallorca vs Athletic Club Bilbao?
RCD Mallorca score 1.11 goals per game on average and Athletic Club Bilbao 0.89. The La Liga average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 68% of RCD Mallorca's matches and 37% of Athletic Club Bilbao's.
What form are RCD Mallorca and Athletic Club Bilbao in?
Over the last 5 games RCD Mallorca have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Athletic Club Bilbao 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for RCD Mallorca vs Athletic Club Bilbao?
The statistical background for RCD Mallorca vs Athletic Club Bilbao — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.