RCD Mallorca vs Valencia CF: match statistics
RCD Mallorca vs Valencia CF: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
RCD Mallorca played Valencia CF in La Liga (Spain). The match was played on 21 April 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
RCD Mallorca: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Valencia CF: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
RCD Mallorca scores 1.26 and concedes 1.55 goals per match. Valencia CF scores 1.10 and concedes 1.48. League average: 2.69 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: RCD Mallorca 65%, Valencia CF 52%. Over 2.5: RCD Mallorca 68%, Valencia CF 42%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Valencia CF has higher xG: 1.27 vs 1.21. RCD Mallorca: 10.4 shots per match, Valencia CF: 11.7.
Match halves
RCD Mallorca: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.77. Valencia CF: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.81.
Goals by minute
RCD Mallorca: 61-75 (11 goals). Valencia CF: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
La Liga: 2.69 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
RCD Mallorca holds a clear advantage in home metrics: on average 1.63 goals per home match versus just 0.81 goals scored by Valencia in away fixtures. The hosts average 11.56 shots and 4.38 shots on target per home game with a conversion rate of 14%, while Valencia on the road posts 9.81 shots, 2.88 on target and only an 8% conversion, translating into fewer chances and goals. The visitors failed to score in 38% of their away matches, and their average goals conceded away is 1.75 versus 1.19 conceded by Mallorca at home; additionally Mallorca has a home goal difference of +7, while Valencia’s away goal difference is -15. In the last 5 matches Mallorca scored 10 goals and averaged 2.0 points per game, whereas Valencia scored 7 goals and averaged 1.2 points, confirming the hosts’ superior form. The xG differential also favors Mallorca (1.35 xG at home vs 1.1 xG for Valencia away), so I expect a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Mallorca has a season BTTS rate of 60% and 80% in the last 5 matches, while Valencia has a season BTTS of 44% and only 40% in the last 5. Mallorca averages 1.4 goals per game season-to-date (2.0 in the last 5) and generates 1.47 xG per match, whereas Valencia scores 0.81 goals seasonally (1.4 in the last 5) with 1.10 xG per match, suggesting Valencia creates chances (last 5 xG 1.67) but converts worse over the season. Defensively, Valencia concedes 1.75 goals per game seasonally with season-long xG against 1.6, and Mallorca concedes 1.2 goals per game with xG against 1.1, meaning at least one side is sufficiently vulnerable to concede. Mallorca produces more shots (13.8 vs 9.81) and more shots on target (3.53 vs 2.88) and has better conversion (10% vs 8%), and both teams have low clean sheet percentages (27% for the home side and 25% for the visitors), which increases the likelihood of both teams scoring. Considering the league season BTTS of 56%, the clear BTTS uptick for Mallorca in the last 5 (80%) and Valencia’s susceptibility to conceding (1.75 avg and 1.6 xG against), I project BTTS as more likely and estimate 'Yes' at 64% and 'No' at 36%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The combined xG implies a total expected goals of 2.64: 1.54 for RCD Mallorca (xG_for 1.47 vs xG_against_away 1.60 → average 1.54) and 1.10 for Valencia (xG_for 1.10 vs xG_against_home 1.10 → 1.10). Using a Poisson distribution with λ=2.64, the probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) is about 74%, which is further supported by seasonal Over 1.5 rates: Mallorca 87% and Valencia 69%. Over 2.5 is near the coin-flip threshold (≈49% in the model), although in the last 5 matches Mallorca averaged 2.0 goals and Valencia 1.4, which slightly increases the chance of >2.5 but does not provide a clear edge. Over 3.5 looks unlikely (~27%), consistent with seasonal Over 3.5 rates: 20% (Mallorca) and 25% (Valencia), despite Mallorca having more shots (13.8 vs 9.81) and a higher conversion rate (10% vs 8%). Therefore I recommend playing Over 1.5 as the strongest signal: expected 2.64 goals and high seasonal Over 1.5 shares (87% vs 69%) provide the greatest edge for this option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is X/1 (draw at half-time, Mallorca victory at full-time). The home side drew at half-time in 53% of their home matches, which increases the probability of an even first half. Crucially, however, Mallorca scores on average 1.13 goals after the break at home versus only 0.5 goals scored by away teams in second halves, and home matches see a second-half goal in 100% of cases. Mallorca also has superior creation and pressing metrics: xG 1.47 versus Valencia’s 1.1, an average of 13.8 shots compared to 9.81, and a better home points return (1.53 pts vs 0.75 pts), all favouring a post-break victory. Additionally, Valencia is statistically weaker defensively (xG against 1.6 and 1.75 goals conceded per game) and has poor away efficiency (19% wins), so I rate the draw at half-time and home win at full-time scenario as the strongest.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| RCD Mallorca | Valencia CF | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
RCD Mallorca is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - RCD Mallorca · 1.2 pts / match - Valencia CF
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
RCD Mallorca is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
1.26 goals / match - RCD Mallorca · 1.1 goals / match - Valencia CF
Valencia CF is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.55 goals / match - RCD Mallorca · 1.48 goals / match - Valencia CF
RCD Mallorca scores in 74% of matches (23 of 31 matches), while Valencia CF keeps a clean sheet in 26% (8 of 31 matches).
Valencia CF scores in 74% of matches (23 of 31 matches), while RCD Mallorca keeps a clean sheet in 13% (4 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - RCD Mallorca
Over / Under - Valencia CF
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Valencia CF is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.9 pts / match - RCD Mallorca · 1 pts / match - Valencia CF
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
RCD Mallorca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Valencia CF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
RCD Mallorca
Valencia CF
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).
Teams vs league
| RCD Mallorca | Liga | Valencia CF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.81 | 2.69 | ▼ 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 56% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 51% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 24% | ▲ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 69% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 83% | • 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: RCD Mallorca 0 - 1 - 0 Valencia CF. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of RCD Mallorca vs Valencia CF?
The La Liga match finished RCD Mallorca 1:1 Valencia CF. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before RCD Mallorca vs Valencia CF?
RCD Mallorca score 1.26 goals per game on average and Valencia CF 1.10. The La Liga average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 65% of RCD Mallorca's matches and 52% of Valencia CF's.
What form are RCD Mallorca and Valencia CF in?
Over the last 5 games RCD Mallorca have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Valencia CF 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for RCD Mallorca vs Valencia CF?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.