Reading vs Bolton Wanderers: match statistics
Reading presents solid home form with 50% of matches won at home and only 19% losses, scoring an average of 1.44 goals per match with a good goal difference of +5. Bolton Wanderers sits higher in 3rd place in the table and has an excellent recent run (4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches), however, they perform much worse on the road - only 25% wins and a negative goal difference of -6. The hosts have the home advantage and better shooting efficiency (12% shot conversion versus 6% for the guests), while Bolton dominates possession (60%) but struggles with finishing away from home (25% of matches without scoring a goal). Considering Reading's high efficiency at home and Bolton's difficulties in away matches despite good overall form, I expect a close match with a slight advantage for the hosts, where a draw seems the most likely result.
Reading vs Bolton Wanderers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Reading play Bolton Wanderers in EFL League One (England). The match date is 17 February 2026 at 21:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Reading: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Bolton Wanderers: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Reading scores 1.39 and concedes 1.30 goals per match. Bolton Wanderers scores 1.55 and concedes 1.08. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Reading 67%, Bolton Wanderers 61%. Over 2.5: Reading 48%, Bolton Wanderers 47%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Bolton Wanderers has higher xG: 1.79 vs 1.23. Reading: 11.0 shots per match, Bolton Wanderers: 16.5.
Match halves
Reading: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.76. Bolton Wanderers: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.04.
Goals by minute
Reading: 76-90+ (16 goals). Bolton Wanderers: 76-90+ (28 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Reading presents solid home form with 50% of matches won at home and only 19% losses, scoring an average of 1.44 goals per match with a good goal difference of +5. Bolton Wanderers sits higher in 3rd place in the table and has an excellent recent run (4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches), however, they perform much worse on the road - only 25% wins and a negative goal difference of -6. The hosts have the home advantage and better shooting efficiency (12% shot conversion versus 6% for the guests), while Bolton dominates possession (60%) but struggles with finishing away from home (25% of matches without scoring a goal). Considering Reading's high efficiency at home and Bolton's difficulties in away matches despite good overall form, I expect a close match with a slight advantage for the hosts, where a draw seems the most likely result.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Reading | Bolton Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bolton Wanderers is 900% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Reading · 2 pts / match - Bolton Wanderers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bolton Wanderers is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
1.39 goals / match - Reading · 1.55 goals / match - Bolton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.3 goals / match - Reading · 1.08 goals / match - Bolton Wanderers
Reading scores in 85% of matches (39 of 46 matches), while Bolton Wanderers keeps a clean sheet in 27% (13 of 49 matches).
Bolton Wanderers scores in 80% of matches (39 of 49 matches), while Reading keeps a clean sheet in 17% (8 of 46 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Reading
Over / Under — Bolton Wanderers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Reading is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / match - Reading · 1.29 pts / match - Bolton Wanderers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Reading - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bolton Wanderers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (28 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +20 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Reading
Bolton Wanderers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Reading | Liga | Bolton Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.70 | 2.62 | • 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 52% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 51% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 27% | • 27% |
| Goal before half-time | • 70% | 70% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 81% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Reading 0 - 1 - 0 Bolton Wanderers. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Reading vs Bolton Wanderers?
The EFL League One match finished Reading 1:1 Bolton Wanderers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Reading vs Bolton Wanderers?
Reading score 1.39 goals per game on average and Bolton Wanderers 1.55. The EFL League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Reading's matches and 61% of Bolton Wanderers's.
What form are Reading and Bolton Wanderers in?
Over the last 5 games Reading have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Bolton Wanderers 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Reading vs Bolton Wanderers?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.