Reading vs Burton Albion: match statistics
Reading displays solid home form with a 45% win rate and a +1 goal difference on home soil. The hosts have won two of their last five fixtures, averaging 1.18 goals per game while failing to find the net in just 9% of their matches. Burton Albion sits 19th in the table, and despite superior recent form (1.6 PPG), they draw 40% of their away games, indicating a defensive mindset. xG statistics reveal a slight edge for Reading (1.37 vs 1.32), while their advantage in possession (51% vs 37%) further favors the home side. Considering all factors, Reading has a realistic chance of victory, though Burton's ability to frustrate opponents on the road makes a draw a plausible outcome as well.
Reading vs Burton Albion: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Reading played Burton Albion in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 1 January 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Reading: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Burton Albion: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Reading scores 1.32 and concedes 1.27 goals per match. Burton Albion scores 1.05 and concedes 1.32. League average: 2.54 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Reading 68%, Burton Albion 36%. Over 2.5: Reading 41%, Burton Albion 50%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Burton Albion has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.37. Reading: 12.1 shots per match, Burton Albion: 12.2.
Match halves
Reading: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.73. Burton Albion: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Reading: 61-75 (7 goals). Burton Albion: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Reading displays solid home form with a 45% win rate and a +1 goal difference on home soil. The hosts have won two of their last five fixtures, averaging 1.18 goals per game while failing to find the net in just 9% of their matches. Burton Albion sits 19th in the table, and despite superior recent form (1.6 PPG), they draw 40% of their away games, indicating a defensive mindset. xG statistics reveal a slight edge for Reading (1.37 vs 1.32), while their advantage in possession (51% vs 37%) further favors the home side. Considering all factors, Reading has a realistic chance of victory, though Burton's ability to frustrate opponents on the road makes a draw a plausible outcome as well.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Reading | Burton Albion | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Reading is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Reading · 1 pts / match - Burton Albion
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Reading is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
1.32 goals / match - Reading · 1.05 goals / match - Burton Albion
Reading scores in 86% of matches (19 of 22 matches), while Burton Albion keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).
Burton Albion scores in 55% of matches (12 of 22 matches), while Reading keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Reading
Over / Under - Burton Albion
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Reading is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.45 pts / match - Reading · 1.36 pts / match - Burton Albion
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Reading - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 32%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Burton Albion - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Reading
Burton Albion
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Reading | Liga | Burton Albion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.59 | 2.54 | ▼ 2.36 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 50% | ▼ 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 49% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 28% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 69% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 82% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Reading vs Burton Albion?
The EFL League One match finished Reading 2:0 Burton Albion. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Reading vs Burton Albion?
Reading score 1.32 goals per game on average and Burton Albion 1.05. The EFL League One average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Reading's matches and 36% of Burton Albion's.
What form are Reading and Burton Albion in?
Over the last 5 games Reading have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Burton Albion 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Reading vs Burton Albion?
The statistical background for Reading vs Burton Albion — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.