England - EFL League OneSelect Car Leasing StadiumData current as of 19 September 2026

Reading vs Notts County: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Reading vs Notts County: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Reading play Notts County in EFL League One (England). The match date is 19 September 2026. Venue: Select Car Leasing Stadium.

Current form

Reading: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Notts County: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Reading scores 2.40 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Notts County scores 1.17 and concedes 1.17. League average: 3.04 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Reading 60%, Notts County 83%. Over 2.5: Reading 80%, Notts County 33%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 60%.

xG, shots and style

Reading has higher xG: 1.76 vs 1.30. Reading: 17.4 shots per match, Notts County: 12.3.

Match halves

Reading: half-time lead 80%, second-half goals 0.80. Notts County: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.83.

Goals by minute

Reading: 31-45+ (6 goals). Notts County: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League One: 3.04 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 60%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.91)
(3.48)
(3.90)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

ReadingNotts County
2.4Goals scored / match1.17
ReadingNotts County
1.4Goals conceded / match1.17
ReadingNotts County
50%Average possession44%
ReadingNotts County
5Shots on target / match3.5
ReadingNotts County

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

17.4Shots per match12.33
ReadingNotts County
5Shots on target3.5
ReadingNotts County
13.8%Shot conversion9.5%
ReadingNotts County
50%Possession44%
ReadingNotts County
1.76xG for1.3
ReadingNotts County
1.14xG against1.25
ReadingNotts County

Shooting quality

Reading: AttackingNotts County: Balanced
ReadingNotts County
Accuracy (shots on target)29%28%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.480.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Reading is 17% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Reading · 1.2 pts / match - Notts County

Reading
LDWWL
Season result split
40% W20% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Last 5 at home
2-0-1
LWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.76Opponent xG: 1.14BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Notts County
DWDDL
Season result split
17% W67% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-4-1
1.17 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-3-0
Last 5 away
0-3-0
DDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Reading is 105% better for: goals scored per match.

2.4 goals / match - Reading · 1.17 goals / match - Notts County

Notts County is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.4 goals / match - Reading · 1.17 goals / match - Notts County

Reading scoring profile: very strong

Reading scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Notts County keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).

Notts County scoring profile: strong

Notts County scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Reading keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).

12Goals scored (season)7
ReadingNotts County
7Goals conceded (season)7
ReadingNotts County
3.8Average goals in match2.33
ReadingNotts County
12Goals scored (last 5)6
ReadingNotts County
7Goals conceded (last 5)6
ReadingNotts County

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal83%
ReadingNotts County
60%2 goals33%
ReadingNotts County
60%3 goals0%
ReadingNotts County
20%4 goals0%
ReadingNotts County

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal100%
ReadingNotts County
40%2 goals17%
ReadingNotts County
20%3 goals0%
ReadingNotts County
20%4 goals0%
ReadingNotts County

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

63%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time33%
ReadingNotts County
0%BTTS in both halves17%
ReadingNotts County
40%Scored in both halves17%
ReadingNotts County

BTTS and goal count

60%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
ReadingNotts County
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
ReadingNotts County
60%BTTS - last 580%
ReadingNotts County

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
ReadingNotts County
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
ReadingNotts County
40%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
ReadingNotts County

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
ReadingNotts County
80%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
ReadingNotts County
40%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
ReadingNotts County

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Reading is 288% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.6 pts / match - Reading · 0.67 pts / match - Notts County

Reading - half-time state
80% leading20% draw0% trailing
Notts County - half-time state
0% leading67% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.6Points per match (1st half)0.67
ReadingNotts County
1.6Goals scored (1st half)0.33
ReadingNotts County
0.2Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
ReadingNotts County
1.8Average goals (1st half)1
ReadingNotts County
80%Clean sheet before half-time33%
ReadingNotts County
20%No goal before half-time67%
ReadingNotts County

After half-time (2nd half)

1.4Points per match (2nd half)1.5
ReadingNotts County
0.8Goals scored (2nd half)0.83
ReadingNotts County
1.2Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
ReadingNotts County
2Average goals (2nd half)1.33
ReadingNotts County
40%Clean sheet after half-time50%
ReadingNotts County
60%No goal after half-time33%
ReadingNotts County

Reading - second-half results

40% W20% D40% L
13
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.60
PPG before half-time
Lead holding50%

Leads at half-time in 80% of matches and wins 40%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+1.0

Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Notts County - second-half results

33% W50% D17% L
4
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Reading - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.601.40
Goals scored / match1.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.21.2
Average goals in match1.82.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+7-2
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 8
Notts County - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.60
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match1.21.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-2+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Reading
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
6
0
31-45
2
3
46-60
0
1
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Notts County
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
1
1
16-30
1
2
31-45
0
1
46-60
2
2
61-75
3
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.07
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
72%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
66%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Reading

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.62
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.38
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.64
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.26
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
146%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
100%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.8
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Notts County

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
84%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
71%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
43% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
43%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

ReadingLigaNotts County
Average goals in match 3.803.04 2.33
Both teams scored 60%63% 83%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 80%60% 33%
Clean sheets 40%24% 0%
Goal before half-time 80%67% 67%
Goal after half-time 80%81% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.04
Average goals per match
63%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.64
Home goals / match
1.40
Away goals / match
+17%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
31%
3 goals
13%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Reading and Notts County play?

Reading face Notts County on 19 September 2026 in EFL League One at Select Car Leasing Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Reading vs Notts County?

Reading score 2.40 goals per game on average and Notts County 1.17. The EFL League One average is 3.04 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Reading's matches and 83% of Notts County's.

What form are Reading and Notts County in?

Over the last 5 games Reading have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Notts County 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Reading vs Notts County?

The statistical background for Reading vs Notts County — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.