Peru - Primera DivisiónEstadio Inca Garcilaso de la VegaData current as of 21 October 2026

Real Garcilaso vs Sporting Cristal: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Real Garcilaso vs Sporting Cristal: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Real Garcilaso play Sporting Cristal in Primera División (Peru). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.

Current form

Real Garcilaso: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Sporting Cristal: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Real Garcilaso scores 1.45 and concedes 1.45 goals per match. Sporting Cristal scores 1.83 and concedes 1.45. League average: 2.77 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Real Garcilaso 66%, Sporting Cristal 72%. Over 2.5: Real Garcilaso 62%, Sporting Cristal 69%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 54%.

xG, shots and style

Sporting Cristal has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.33. Real Garcilaso: 12.3 shots per match, Sporting Cristal: 14.4.

Match halves

Real Garcilaso: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.69. Sporting Cristal: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.10.

Goals by minute

Real Garcilaso: 0-15 (9 goals). Sporting Cristal: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Primera División: 2.77 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 54%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-2. Average goals 2.60, BTTS 40%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.00)
(3.55)
(3.25)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal
1.45Goals scored / match1.83
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal
1.45Goals conceded / match1.45
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal
56%Average possession57%
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal
4.31Shots on target / match5.14
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.34Shots per match14.41
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal
4.31Shots on target5.14
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal
11.7%Shot conversion12.7%
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal
56%Possession57%
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal
1.33xG for1.59
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal
1.59xG against1.49
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal

Shooting quality

Real Garcilaso: BalancedSporting Cristal: Dominant
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal
Accuracy (shots on target)35%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Sporting Cristal is 150% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Real Garcilaso · 3 pts / match - Sporting Cristal

Real Garcilaso
WLWLL
Season result split
48% W10% D41% L
Season (W-D-L)
14-3-12
1.55 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-2-3
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WWWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.35Opponent xG: 1.76BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Sporting Cristal
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
45% W17% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-5-11
1.52 pts / match · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-3-9
Last 5 away
2-1-2
DLLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.71Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Sporting Cristal is 26% better for: goals scored per match.

1.45 goals / match - Real Garcilaso · 1.83 goals / match - Sporting Cristal

Real Garcilaso scoring profile: very strong

Real Garcilaso scores in 83% of matches (24 of 29 matches), while Sporting Cristal keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 29 matches).

Sporting Cristal scoring profile: very strong

Sporting Cristal scores in 93% of matches (27 of 29 matches), while Real Garcilaso keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 29 matches).

42Goals scored (season)53
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal
42Goals conceded (season)42
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal
2.9Average goals in match3.28
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal
6Goals scored (last 5)15
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal
6Goals conceded (last 5)4
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal93%
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal
41%2 goals52%
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal
14%3 goals24%
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal
7%4 goals10%
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal79%
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal
31%2 goals45%
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal
10%3 goals17%
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal
7%4 goals3%
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

72%
Sporting Cristal - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.21 of 29 matches
59%
League average

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time17%
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal
0%BTTS in both halves3%
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal
28%Scored in both halves31%
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal

BTTS and goal count

59%Min. 3 goals and BTTS62%
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal
60%BTTS - last 560%
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

69%Min. 1 goal before half-time76%
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal
34%Min. 2 goals before half-time31%
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal
48%Min. 2 goals after half-time72%
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time31%
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Real Garcilaso is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.69 pts / match - Real Garcilaso · 1.52 pts / match - Sporting Cristal

Real Garcilaso - half-time state
41% leading45% draw14% trailing
Sporting Cristal - half-time state
41% leading28% draw31% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.69Points per match (1st half)1.52
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal
0.76Goals scored (1st half)0.72
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal
0.52Goals conceded (1st half)0.55
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal
1.28Average goals (1st half)1.28
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal
62%Clean sheet before half-time55%
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal
45%No goal before half-time52%
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal

After half-time (2nd half)

1.28Points per match (2nd half)1.48
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal
0.69Goals scored (2nd half)1.1
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal
0.93Goals conceded (2nd half)0.9
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal
1.62Average goals (2nd half)2
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal
38%Clean sheet after half-time45%
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal
45%No goal after half-time24%
Real GarcilasoSporting Cristal

Real Garcilaso - second-half results

31% W34% D34% L
49
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.69
PPG before half-time
Lead holding117%

Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Sporting Cristal - second-half results

34% W45% D21% L
44
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
43
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.52
PPG before half-time
Lead holding110%

Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Real Garcilaso - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.00
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.21.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Sporting Cristal - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match3.002.20
Goals scored / match1.61.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match2.01.8
1 goal100%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal0%40%
Goal difference+6+5
Half-time: 100% leading - 0% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 8

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Real Garcilaso
ScoredConceded
9
3
0-15
8
7
16-30
5
5
31-45
6
9
46-60
6
9
61-75
8
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Sporting Cristal
ScoredConceded
9
6
0-15
5
4
16-30
7
6
31-45
9
6
46-60
8
7
61-75
15
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.09
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
112%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
69%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-16%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
77%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Real Garcilaso

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.26
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
86%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
133%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.35
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Sporting Cristal

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
168%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
86%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+1.48
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

Real GarcilasoLigaSporting Cristal
Average goals in match▲ 2.902.77▲ 3.28
Both teams scored▲ 66%59%▲ 72%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 62%54%▲ 69%
Clean sheets▼ 17%24%▼ 21%
Goal before half-time• 69%69%▲ 76%
Goal after half-time▲ 86%79%▲ 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.77
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.68
Home goals / match
1.09
Away goals / match
+54%
Home attack advantage
+35%
Home defence advantage
+27%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (5): Real Garcilaso 2 - 1 - 2 Sporting Cristal. Average goals 2.60, both teams scored in 40% matches.

Sporting Cristal
2 : 2
Real Garcilaso
Asociación Civil Real Atlético Garcilaso
2 : 0
Club Sporting Cristal SAC
Club Sporting Cristal SAC
1 : 0
Asociación Civil Real Atlético Garcilaso
Asociación Civil Real Atlético Garcilaso
3 : 2
Club Sporting Cristal SAC
Club Sporting Cristal SAC
1 : 0
Asociación Civil Real Atlético Garcilaso

FAQ

When do Real Garcilaso and Sporting Cristal play?

Real Garcilaso face Sporting Cristal on 24 October 2026 in Primera División at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Real Garcilaso and Sporting Cristal?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Real Garcilaso won 2, Sporting Cristal won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Real Garcilaso vs Sporting Cristal?

Real Garcilaso score 1.45 goals per game on average and Sporting Cristal 1.83. The Primera División average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 66% of Real Garcilaso's matches and 72% of Sporting Cristal's.

What form are Real Garcilaso and Sporting Cristal in?

Over the last 5 games Real Garcilaso have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Sporting Cristal 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Real Garcilaso vs Sporting Cristal?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.