Real Madrid vs Athletic Club Bilbao: match statistics
Real Madrid vs Athletic Club Bilbao: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Real Madrid play Athletic Club Bilbao in La Liga (Spain). The match date is 23 May 2026 at 21:00. Venue: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu. Final score: 4:2.
Current form
Real Madrid: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Athletic Club Bilbao: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Real Madrid scores 2.03 and concedes 0.92 goals per match. Athletic Club Bilbao scores 1.13 and concedes 1.53. League average: 2.69 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Real Madrid 55%, Athletic Club Bilbao 53%. Over 2.5: Real Madrid 55%, Athletic Club Bilbao 47%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Real Madrid has higher xG: 2.02 vs 1.58. Real Madrid: 17.5 shots per match, Athletic Club Bilbao: 13.7.
Match halves
Real Madrid: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.16. Athletic Club Bilbao: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.66.
Goals by minute
Real Madrid: 76-90+ (19 goals). Athletic Club Bilbao: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
La Liga: 2.69 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Real Madrid holds a clear home advantage: 83% home wins, averaging 2.28 goals scored and only 0.78 conceded per match, yielding a +27 home goal difference. Athletic Bilbao perform worse away: 22% wins, 1.06 goals scored and 1.83 conceded on average on the road, with a -14 away goal balance. Real generates and converts more chances (avg xG 2.26 vs 1.46 for the visitors, 7.67 shots on target vs 4.17 and conversion 12% vs 8%), and also enjoy superiority in possession 60% to 48%. In the last 5 matches Real have scored 6 and conceded 3 while averaging 2 points per game, whereas Bilbao have scored 7 but conceded 9 and average only 0.8 points per game, indicating greater defensive instability from the visitors. Considering Real’s low share of clean-sheet-less games (11% vs 44% for Athletic) and the hosts’ superior defensive metrics, I forecast a Real win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Real Madrid | Athletic Club Bilbao | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Real Madrid is 200% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Real Madrid · 0.8 pts / match - Athletic Club Bilbao
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Real Madrid is 80% better for: goals scored per match.
2.03 goals / match - Real Madrid · 1.13 goals / match - Athletic Club Bilbao
Real Madrid is 66% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.92 goals / match - Real Madrid · 1.53 goals / match - Athletic Club Bilbao
Real Madrid scores in 89% of matches (34 of 38 matches), while Athletic Club Bilbao keeps a clean sheet in 16% (6 of 38 matches).
Athletic Club Bilbao scores in 66% of matches (25 of 38 matches), while Real Madrid keeps a clean sheet in 37% (14 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Real Madrid
Over / Under — Athletic Club Bilbao
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Real Madrid is 70% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.84 pts / match - Real Madrid · 1.08 pts / match - Athletic Club Bilbao
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Real Madrid - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Athletic Club Bilbao - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Real Madrid
Athletic Club Bilbao
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).
Teams vs league
| Real Madrid | Liga | Athletic Club Bilbao | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.95 | 2.69 | • 2.66 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 55% | 57% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 50% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 24% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 70% | ▼ 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 82% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Real Madrid 1 - 0 - 0 Athletic Club Bilbao. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Real Madrid vs Athletic Club Bilbao?
The La Liga match finished Real Madrid 4:2 Athletic Club Bilbao. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Real Madrid vs Athletic Club Bilbao?
Real Madrid score 2.03 goals per game on average and Athletic Club Bilbao 1.13. The La Liga average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Real Madrid's matches and 53% of Athletic Club Bilbao's.
What form are Real Madrid and Athletic Club Bilbao in?
Over the last 5 games Real Madrid have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Athletic Club Bilbao 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Real Madrid vs Athletic Club Bilbao?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Real Madrid vs Athletic Club Bilbao: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.