Real Madrid vs Atlético Madrid: match statistics
Real Madrid boasts impressive home form with an 86% home win rate and an average of 2.36 goals scored per game, while conceding only 0.71. The hosts have won their last five home matches, demonstrating their dominance at the Santiago Bernabéu. Atlético Madrid's away results are significantly more modest – only 31% wins and an average of just 1 goal scored while conceding 1 per away game. The difference in xG quality is clear: Real generates 2.22 xG at home compared to Atlético's 1.29 xG away. The visitors have a goal difference of 0 away from home, while Real boasts a +23 difference at home. Considering the hosts' advantage in possession (60% vs 54%), shooting accuracy, and the current form of both teams, Real Madrid is the clear favorite for this Madrid derby.
Real Madrid vs Atlético Madrid: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Real Madrid played Atlético Madrid in La Liga (Spain). The match was played on 22 March 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Real Madrid: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Atlético Madrid: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Real Madrid scores 2.14 and concedes 0.86 goals per match. Atlético Madrid scores 1.68 and concedes 0.89. League average: 2.70 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Real Madrid 54%, Atlético Madrid 46%. Over 2.5: Real Madrid 61%, Atlético Madrid 43%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Real Madrid has higher xG: 2.09 vs 1.65. Real Madrid: 18.1 shots per match, Atlético Madrid: 13.7.
Match halves
Real Madrid: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.18. Atlético Madrid: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.93.
Goals by minute
Real Madrid: 76-90+ (16 goals). Atlético Madrid: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
La Liga: 2.70 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 7.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Real Madrid boasts impressive home form with an 86% home win rate and an average of 2.36 goals scored per game, while conceding only 0.71. The hosts have won their last five home matches, demonstrating their dominance at the Santiago Bernabéu. Atlético Madrid's away results are significantly more modest – only 31% wins and an average of just 1 goal scored while conceding 1 per away game. The difference in xG quality is clear: Real generates 2.22 xG at home compared to Atlético's 1.29 xG away. The visitors have a goal difference of 0 away from home, while Real boasts a +23 difference at home. Considering the hosts' advantage in possession (60% vs 54%), shooting accuracy, and the current form of both teams, Real Madrid is the clear favorite for this Madrid derby.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Real Madrid | Atlético Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético Madrid is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Real Madrid · 2.4 pts / match - Atlético Madrid
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Real Madrid is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
2.14 goals / match - Real Madrid · 1.68 goals / match - Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid scores in 89% of matches (25 of 28 matches), while Atlético Madrid keeps a clean sheet in 43% (12 of 28 matches).
Atlético Madrid scores in 86% of matches (24 of 28 matches), while Real Madrid keeps a clean sheet in 39% (11 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Real Madrid
Over / Under - Atlético Madrid
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Real Madrid is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.89 pts / match - Real Madrid · 1.57 pts / match - Atlético Madrid
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Real Madrid - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Atlético Madrid - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).
Teams vs league
| Real Madrid | Liga | Atlético Madrid | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.70 | ▼ 2.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 54% | 56% | ▼ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 51% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 24% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 69% | • 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 83% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Real Madrid 0 - 0 - 1 Atlético Madrid. Average goals 7.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Real Madrid vs Atlético Madrid?
The La Liga match finished Real Madrid 3:2 Atlético Madrid. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Real Madrid vs Atlético Madrid?
Real Madrid score 2.14 goals per game on average and Atlético Madrid 1.68. The La Liga average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Real Madrid's matches and 46% of Atlético Madrid's.
What form are Real Madrid and Atlético Madrid in?
Over the last 5 games Real Madrid have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Atlético Madrid 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Real Madrid vs Atlético Madrid?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.