Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano: match statistics
Real Madrid decidedly outperforms Rayo Vallecano across all key statistics. The hosts rank 2nd in the table with an impressive 90% win rate at home, scoring an average of 2.3 goals per match while conceding just 0.6. Rayo Vallecano sits in 17th place with a dire away form – 64% losses, averaging only 0.82 goals scored and conceding as many as 1.73 per match. The difference in quality is also evident in xG: Real generates 2.4 xG at home compared to Rayo's 1.32 xG away. Furthermore, Rayo fails to score in 64% of their away matches, which, against Real's offensive power (45 goals this season), points to a clear home victory. The only factor potentially reducing the advantage is Real's recent form (2 losses in their last 5 matches), yet their statistical dominance in home fixtures remains overwhelming.
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Real Madrid played Rayo Vallecano in La Liga (Spain). The match was played on 1 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Real Madrid: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Rayo Vallecano: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Real Madrid scores 2.14 and concedes 0.81 goals per match. Rayo Vallecano scores 0.81 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Real Madrid 48%, Rayo Vallecano 38%. Over 2.5: Real Madrid 57%, Rayo Vallecano 38%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Real Madrid has higher xG: 2.22 vs 1.49. Real Madrid: 19.4 shots per match, Rayo Vallecano: 13.5.
Match halves
Real Madrid: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 1.19. Rayo Vallecano: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Real Madrid: 76-90+ (12 goals). Rayo Vallecano: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
La Liga: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Real Madrid decidedly outperforms Rayo Vallecano across all key statistics. The hosts rank 2nd in the table with an impressive 90% win rate at home, scoring an average of 2.3 goals per match while conceding just 0.6. Rayo Vallecano sits in 17th place with a dire away form – 64% losses, averaging only 0.82 goals scored and conceding as many as 1.73 per match. The difference in quality is also evident in xG: Real generates 2.4 xG at home compared to Rayo's 1.32 xG away. Furthermore, Rayo fails to score in 64% of their away matches, which, against Real's offensive power (45 goals this season), points to a clear home victory. The only factor potentially reducing the advantage is Real's recent form (2 losses in their last 5 matches), yet their statistical dominance in home fixtures remains overwhelming.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Real Madrid | Rayo Vallecano | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.18 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Real Madrid is 275% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Real Madrid · 0.8 pts / match - Rayo Vallecano
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Real Madrid is 164% better for: goals scored per match.
2.14 goals / match - Real Madrid · 0.81 goals / match - Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid is 64% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.81 goals / match - Real Madrid · 1.33 goals / match - Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid scores in 90% of matches (19 of 21 matches), while Rayo Vallecano keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).
Rayo Vallecano scores in 52% of matches (11 of 21 matches), while Real Madrid keeps a clean sheet in 48% (10 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Real Madrid
Over / Under - Rayo Vallecano
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Real Madrid is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Real Madrid · 1.14 pts / match - Rayo Vallecano
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Real Madrid - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 76%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Rayo Vallecano - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).
Teams vs league
| Real Madrid | Liga | Rayo Vallecano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.95 | 2.62 | ▼ 2.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 53% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 49% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 26% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 66% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 84% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Real Madrid 0 - 1 - 0 Rayo Vallecano. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano?
The La Liga match finished Real Madrid 2:1 Rayo Vallecano. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano?
Real Madrid score 2.14 goals per game on average and Rayo Vallecano 0.81. The La Liga average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Real Madrid's matches and 38% of Rayo Vallecano's.
What form are Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano in?
Over the last 5 games Real Madrid have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Rayo Vallecano 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano?
The statistical background for Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.