Spain - La LigaEstadio Santiago BernabéuData current as of 17 October 2026

Real Madrid vs Sevilla FC: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Real Madrid vs Sevilla FC: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Real Madrid play Sevilla FC in La Liga (Spain). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu.

Current form

Real Madrid: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Sevilla FC: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Real Madrid scores 2.38 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Sevilla FC scores 1.63 and concedes 1.50. League average: 3.08 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Real Madrid 63%, Sevilla FC 75%. Over 2.5: Real Madrid 75%, Sevilla FC 63%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 57%.

xG, shots and style

Real Madrid has higher xG: 2.05 vs 1.37. Real Madrid: 17.9 shots per match, Sevilla FC: 11.9.

Match halves

Real Madrid: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.13. Sevilla FC: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.25.

Goals by minute

Real Madrid: 76-90+ (6 goals). Sevilla FC: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

La Liga: 3.08 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 57%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.25)
(6.30)
(11.00)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Real MadridSevilla FC
2.38Goals scored / match1.63
Real MadridSevilla FC
1Goals conceded / match1.5
Real MadridSevilla FC
52%Average possession42%
Real MadridSevilla FC
7.13Shots on target / match4.25
Real MadridSevilla FC

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

17.88Shots per match11.88
Real MadridSevilla FC
7.13Shots on target4.25
Real MadridSevilla FC
13.3%Shot conversion13.7%
Real MadridSevilla FC
52%Possession42%
Real MadridSevilla FC
2.05xG for1.37
Real MadridSevilla FC
1.45xG against1.44
Real MadridSevilla FC

Shooting quality

Real Madrid: AttackingSevilla FC: Counter-attacking
Real MadridSevilla FC
Accuracy (shots on target)40%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Real Madrid is 13% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Real Madrid · 1.6 pts / match - Sevilla FC

Real Madrid
LWWLW
Season result split
75% W0% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-0-2
2.25 pts / match · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-0-0
Last 5 at home
4-0-0
WWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.86Opponent xG: 1.67BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Sevilla FC
DWWLD
Season result split
50% W25% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-2
1.75 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-0
Last 5 away
2-2-0
WDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.33Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Real Madrid is 46% better for: goals scored per match.

2.38 goals / match - Real Madrid · 1.63 goals / match - Sevilla FC

Real Madrid is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Real Madrid · 1.5 goals / match - Sevilla FC

Real Madrid scoring profile: very strong

Real Madrid scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Sevilla FC keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).

Sevilla FC scoring profile: very strong

Sevilla FC scores in 100% of matches (8 of 8 matches), while Real Madrid keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).

19Goals scored (season)13
Real MadridSevilla FC
8Goals conceded (season)12
Real MadridSevilla FC
3.38Average goals in match3.13
Real MadridSevilla FC
9Goals scored (last 5)7
Real MadridSevilla FC
6Goals conceded (last 5)7
Real MadridSevilla FC

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal100%
Real MadridSevilla FC
63%2 goals38%
Real MadridSevilla FC
50%3 goals25%
Real MadridSevilla FC
38%4 goals0%
Real MadridSevilla FC

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal75%
Real MadridSevilla FC
25%2 goals38%
Real MadridSevilla FC
0%3 goals38%
Real MadridSevilla FC
0%4 goals0%
Real MadridSevilla FC

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

59%
League average

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time13%
Real MadridSevilla FC
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Real MadridSevilla FC
63%Scored in both halves25%
Real MadridSevilla FC

BTTS and goal count

63%Min. 3 goals and BTTS63%
Real MadridSevilla FC
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Real MadridSevilla FC
60%BTTS - last 560%
Real MadridSevilla FC

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
Real MadridSevilla FC
63%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
Real MadridSevilla FC
25%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
Real MadridSevilla FC

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Real MadridSevilla FC
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time63%
Real MadridSevilla FC
38%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
Real MadridSevilla FC

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Real Madrid is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.75 pts / match - Real Madrid · 1.25 pts / match - Sevilla FC

Real Madrid - half-time state
38% leading63% draw0% trailing
Sevilla FC - half-time state
25% leading50% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.75Points per match (1st half)1.25
Real MadridSevilla FC
1.25Goals scored (1st half)0.38
Real MadridSevilla FC
0.25Goals conceded (1st half)0.63
Real MadridSevilla FC
1.5Average goals (1st half)1
Real MadridSevilla FC
75%Clean sheet before half-time63%
Real MadridSevilla FC
38%No goal before half-time63%
Real MadridSevilla FC

After half-time (2nd half)

1.63Points per match (2nd half)2
Real MadridSevilla FC
1.13Goals scored (2nd half)1.25
Real MadridSevilla FC
0.75Goals conceded (2nd half)0.88
Real MadridSevilla FC
1.88Average goals (2nd half)2.13
Real MadridSevilla FC
50%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Real MadridSevilla FC
13%No goal after half-time13%
Real MadridSevilla FC

Real Madrid - second-half results

50% W13% D38% L
14
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.75
PPG before half-time
Lead holding197%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Sevilla FC - second-half results

63% W13% D25% L
10
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Real Madrid - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.800.80
Goals scored / match1.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.01.2
Average goals in match1.02.0
1 goal40%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet100%20%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+5-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5
Sevilla FC - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.40
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.21.2
Average goals in match0.62.2
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Real Madrid
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
5
1
16-30
3
1
31-45
1
3
46-60
2
1
61-75
6
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Sevilla FC
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
1
2
16-30
0
1
31-45
5
2
46-60
1
2
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.25
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
69%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-54%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
88%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Real Madrid

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.60
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.78
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.45
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
136%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
75%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.45
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

Sevilla FC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
123%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
86%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.9
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).

Teams vs league

Real MadridLigaSevilla FC
Average goals in match▲ 3.383.08• 3.13
Both teams scored▲ 63%59%▲ 75%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 75%57%▲ 63%
Clean sheets• 25%24%• 25%
Goal before half-time▼ 63%67%▼ 63%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%82%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.08
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.75
Home goals / match
1.33
Away goals / match
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
29%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Real Madrid 2 - 0 - 0 Sevilla FC. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do Real Madrid and Sevilla FC play?

Real Madrid face Sevilla FC on 18 October 2026 in La Liga at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Real Madrid and Sevilla FC?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Real Madrid won 2, Sevilla FC won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Real Madrid vs Sevilla FC?

Real Madrid score 2.38 goals per game on average and Sevilla FC 1.63. The La Liga average is 3.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Real Madrid's matches and 75% of Sevilla FC's.

What form are Real Madrid and Sevilla FC in?

Over the last 5 games Real Madrid have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Sevilla FC 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Real Madrid vs Sevilla FC?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Real Madrid vs Sevilla FC: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.