United States - MLS Next ProData current as of 06 September 2026

Real Monarchs vs Minnesota United II: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Real Monarchs vs Minnesota United II: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Real Monarchs play Minnesota United II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match date is 16 September 2026.

Current form

Real Monarchs: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Minnesota United II: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Real Monarchs scores 1.44 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Minnesota United II scores 1.38 and concedes 1.50. League average: 3.34 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Real Monarchs 56%, Minnesota United II 54%. Over 2.5: Real Monarchs 76%, Minnesota United II 50%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 67%.

xG, shots and style

Minnesota United II has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.54. Real Monarchs: 13.3 shots per match, Minnesota United II: 13.6.

Match halves

Real Monarchs: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.84. Minnesota United II: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75.

Goals by minute

Real Monarchs: 76-90+ (9 goals). Minnesota United II: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

MLS Next Pro: 3.34 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 67%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 3.67, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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(-)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Real MonarchsMinnesota United II
1.44Goals scored / match1.38
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II
2Goals conceded / match1.5
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II
52%Average possession49%
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II
5Shots on target / match4.29
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.28Shots per match13.58
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II
5Shots on target4.29
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II
10.8%Shot conversion10.1%
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II
52%Possession49%
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II
1.54xG for1.6
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II
1.63xG against1.55
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II

Shooting quality

Real Monarchs: BalancedMinnesota United II: Balanced
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II
Accuracy (shots on target)38%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Minnesota United II is 67% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Real Monarchs · 1 pts / match - Minnesota United II

Real Monarchs
LLLWL
Season result split
28% W16% R56% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-4-14
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-3-4
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
LWWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.8xG: 1.28Opponent xG: 1.86BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 100%
Minnesota United II
LLDDW
Season result split
38% W21% R42% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-5-10
1.33 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-1-7
Last 5 away
2-1-2
LWLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.67Opponent xG: 1.64BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Minnesota United II is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.

2 goals / match - Real Monarchs · 1.5 goals / match - Minnesota United II

Real Monarchs scoring profile: very strong

Real Monarchs scores in 68% of matches (17 of 25 matches), while Minnesota United II keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 matches).

Minnesota United II scoring profile: very strong

Minnesota United II scores in 71% of matches (17 of 24 matches), while Real Monarchs keeps a clean sheet in 12% (3 of 25 matches).

36Goals scored (season)33
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II
50Goals conceded (season)36
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II
3.44Average goals in match2.88
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II
5Goals scored (last 5)5
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II
14Goals conceded (last 5)5
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II

How often they score at least...

68%1 goal71%
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II
44%2 goals33%
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II
20%3 goals17%
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II
8%4 goals13%
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II

How often they concede at least...

88%1 goal79%
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II
60%2 goals50%
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II
40%3 goals17%
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II
12%4 goals4%
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

54%
Minnesota United II - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.13 of 24 matches
62%
League average

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time29%
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II
4%BTTS in both halves13%
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II
28%Scored in both halves25%
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II

BTTS and goal count

52%Min. 3 goals and BTTS42%
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II
24%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II
40%BTTS - last 560%
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

76%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time21%
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II

2nd half

92%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II
64%Min. 2 goals after half-time42%
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II
56%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Real Monarchs is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.28 pts / match - Real Monarchs · 1.13 pts / match - Minnesota United II

Real Monarchs - half-time state
32% leading32% draw36% trailing
Minnesota United II - half-time state
25% leading38% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.28Points per match (1st half)1.13
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II
0.6Goals scored (1st half)0.63
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II
0.64Goals conceded (1st half)0.88
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II
1.24Average goals (1st half)1.5
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II
56%Clean sheet before half-time42%
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II
52%No goal before half-time54%
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II

After half-time (2nd half)

0.92Points per match (2nd half)1.29
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II
0.84Goals scored (2nd half)0.75
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II
1.36Goals conceded (2nd half)0.63
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II
2.2Average goals (2nd half)1.38
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II
24%Clean sheet after half-time54%
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II
52%No goal after half-time50%
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II

Real Monarchs - second-half results

28% W8% R64% P
32
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
-13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.28
PPG before half-time
Lead holding88%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 28%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Minnesota United II - second-half results

29% W42% R29% P
27
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Real Monarchs - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.60
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.62.2
Average goals in match0.83.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%80%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-2-7
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Minnesota United II - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.20
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Real Monarchs
ScoredConceded
7
1
0-15
3
7
16-30
5
8
31-45
6
14
46-60
6
8
61-75
9
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Minnesota United II
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
7
4
16-30
5
14
31-45
5
4
46-60
8
7
61-75
5
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.16
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+16%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Real Monarchs

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.47
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.37
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
75%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
140%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Minnesota United II

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
97%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
79%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.33
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).

Teams vs league

Real MonarchsLigaMinnesota United II
Average goals in match 3.443.34 2.88
Both teams scored 56%62% 54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 76%67% 50%
Clean sheets 12%21% 21%
Goal before half-time 76%76% 75%
Goal after half-time 92%85% 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.34
Average goals per match
62%
Both teams scored
67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.91
Home goals / match
1.43
Away goals / match
+34%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defence advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
58%
2 goals
28%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Real Monarchs 1 - 0 - 2 Minnesota United II. Average goals 3.67, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Real Monarchs SLC
1 : 2
Minnesota United FC II
Real Monarchs SLC
3 : 2
Minnesota United FC II
Minnesota United FC II
2 : 1
Real Monarchs SLC

FAQ

When do Real Monarchs and Minnesota United II play?

Real Monarchs face Minnesota United II on 16 September 2026 in MLS Next Pro. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Real Monarchs and Minnesota United II?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Real Monarchs won 1, Minnesota United II won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Real Monarchs vs Minnesota United II?

Real Monarchs score 1.44 goals per game on average and Minnesota United II 1.38. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Real Monarchs's matches and 54% of Minnesota United II's.

What form are Real Monarchs and Minnesota United II in?

Over the last 5 games Real Monarchs have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Minnesota United II 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Real Monarchs vs Minnesota United II?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.