Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Real Monarchs play Tacoma Defiance in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match date is 30 August 2026.
Current form
Real Monarchs: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. Tacoma Defiance: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Real Monarchs scores 1.39 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Tacoma Defiance scores 1.54 and concedes 1.50. League average: 3.30 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Real Monarchs 57%, Tacoma Defiance 50%. Over 2.5: Real Monarchs 74%, Tacoma Defiance 63%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Real Monarchs has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.40. Real Monarchs: 13.4 shots per match, Tacoma Defiance: 11.8.
Match halves
Real Monarchs: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.78. Tacoma Defiance: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.92.
Goals by minute
Real Monarchs: 76-90+ (7 goals). Tacoma Defiance: 46-60 (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.30 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-2. Average goals 3.40, BTTS 60%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Real Monarchs | Tacoma Defiance | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tacoma Defiance is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.39 goals / match - Real Monarchs · 1.54 goals / match - Tacoma Defiance
Tacoma Defiance is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Real Monarchs · 1.5 goals / match - Tacoma Defiance
Real Monarchs scores in 65% of matches (15 of 23 matches), while Tacoma Defiance keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 matches).
Tacoma Defiance scores in 71% of matches (17 of 24 matches), while Real Monarchs keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Real Monarchs
Over / Under - Tacoma Defiance
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Real Monarchs - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 26%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tacoma Defiance - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (14 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Real Monarchs
Tacoma Defiance
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| Real Monarchs | Liga | Tacoma Defiance | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.39 | 3.30 | ▼ 3.04 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 57% | 62% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 74% | 66% | ▼ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 21% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 76% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 84% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Real Monarchs 2 - 1 - 2 Tacoma Defiance. Average goals 3.40, both teams scored in 60% matches.
FAQ
When do Real Monarchs and Tacoma Defiance play?
Real Monarchs face Tacoma Defiance on 30 August 2026 in MLS Next Pro. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Real Monarchs and Tacoma Defiance?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Real Monarchs won 2, Tacoma Defiance won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance?
Real Monarchs score 1.39 goals per game on average and Tacoma Defiance 1.54. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Real Monarchs's matches and 50% of Tacoma Defiance's.
What form are Real Monarchs and Tacoma Defiance in?
Over the last 5 games Real Monarchs have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Tacoma Defiance 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance?
The statistical background for Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.