Real Oviedo vs Granada CF: match statistics

Granada CF are showing significantly better form in their last five matches: they have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and collected 10 points in total, while Real Oviedo have earned just 1 point. The visitors have scored 7 goals during this period, averaging 1.4 per match, while conceding only 3. Oviedo are struggling seriously in front of goal, having scored just 1 goal in their last five matches and conceded 8, resulting in a -7 goal difference. The hosts’ run consists of four defeats and one draw, whereas Granada have lost only once, so the advantage in current form and the visitors’ more stable defence clearly favour the away side. The difference in league positions—Granada in 14th place compared with Oviedo in 17th—further strengthens the prediction of an away victory.

The strongest signal is Real Oviedo’s very poor scoring efficiency, with just 1 goal scored in their last 5 matches—an average of 0.2 per game. Over the same period, Granada conceded only 3 goals, averaging 0.6, while their average xG against is just 0.81, further limiting the hosts’ chances of scoring. BTTS occurred in only 20% of the last 5 matches for each team, meaning their recent results have clearly more often led to scenarios in which at least one side failed to score. Granada have greater attacking potential, averaging 1.4 goals and recording an xG of 1.42, but above all, Oviedo’s likely failure to score supports the BTTS - No pick.

Data from the last five matches points to very poor attacking output from Real Oviedo, who scored just 1 goal—an average of 0.2 per game—with an xG of 0.82. Granada scored 7 times over the same period (1.4 goals per game), while their defense conceded only 3 goals and allowed opponents an average xG of 0.81. Matches involving both teams had a low rate of games in which both sides scored: 20% each, limiting the likelihood of an open game. Over 2.5 goals were scored in only 2 of Oviedo’s last 5 matches and in 1 of Granada’s last 5 games, which is why the projected total of 1.90 goals strongly supports Under 3.5.

Granada are in clearly better form: over their last five matches, they have averaged 1.4 goals scored, 0.6 conceded and 2.0 points per game, while Real Oviedo have scored just 0.2 goals and collected 0.2 points per match. The visitors led at the break in 60% of those games, while the hosts were trailing at half-time in as many as 80%; Oviedo also failed to score a single first-half goal, conceding an average of 1.0. Granada’s defence has looked particularly strong in the first halves, keeping a clean sheet in 80% of their last five matches and conceding just 0.2 goals in the opening period on average. Granada retain the advantage after the break, averaging 0.8 goals compared with Oviedo’s 0.2, which is why the HT/FT scenario in which the visitors lead at half-time and go on to win is the strongest: X/2.