Real Oviedo vs Sevilla FC: match statistics
Real Oviedo vs Sevilla FC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Real Oviedo played Sevilla FC in La Liga (Spain). The match was played on 5 April 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Real Oviedo: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Sevilla FC: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Real Oviedo scores 0.69 and concedes 1.66 goals per match. Sevilla FC scores 1.28 and concedes 1.69. League average: 2.69 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Real Oviedo 34%, Sevilla FC 62%. Over 2.5: Real Oviedo 38%, Sevilla FC 59%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Sevilla FC has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.12. Real Oviedo: 9.9 shots per match, Sevilla FC: 11.2.
Match halves
Real Oviedo: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.38. Sevilla FC: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Real Oviedo: 31-45+ (6 goals). Sevilla FC: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
La Liga: 2.69 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sevilla is the favorite: the visitors have scored 37 goals this season, averaging 1.29 goals on the road, while Real Oviedo have just 20 goals this season and average 0.43 goals per home match. Oviedo struggle to finish chances — home xG is 1.16 with an actual return of 0.43 goals and a share of matches without scoring reaching 57%, whereas Sevilla have xG 1.28 and an actual 1.29 goals with only 14% of matches without a goal. The visitors attempt more shots (11.57 vs 10.21) and more shots on target (3.79 vs 3.14), enjoy higher possession (53% vs 46%) and a superior conversion rate (approx. 11% vs 4%), all of which increase their offensive probability. On the other hand, Oviedo concede only 1.00 goal on average at home and keep a clean sheet in 50% of home matches, so they can limit opponents’ opportunities; in the last 5 matches the hosts have scored 4 and conceded 9 (record 1-1-3, average 0.8 points), while Sevilla in their last 5 have scored 6 and conceded 10 (record 1-2-2, average 1.0 point). Considering the clear difference in finishing efficiency (57% of Oviedo matches without a goal vs 14% for Sevilla) along with the visitors’ higher number of shots on target and superior possession, I project an away win for Sevilla.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams register high season BTTS rates: Real Oviedo 60% and Sevilla 64%, versus a league average of 56%, providing an initial signal for BTTS - Yes. Offensively the sides are comparable — average goals scored 1.27 (Oviedo) and 1.29 (Sevilla), xG 1.33 vs 1.28, shots 10.93 vs 11.57 and shots on target 3.73 vs 3.79 with conversion 12% vs 11%. Both teams also concede regularly: seasonal goals conceded 1.47 (Oviedo) and 1.93 (Sevilla), and in the last 5 matches they conceded on average 1.8 and 2.0 goals, respectively, which increases the likelihood of an exchange of goals. Additionally, more than half of matches exceed 2.5 goals (53% Oviedo, 64% Sevilla), and the Over 2.5 + BTTS combination occurs in 40% and 56% of cases, confirming a tendency to open games. Considering the 60–64% seasonal BTTS, similar xG (1.33 vs 1.28) and high average goals conceded, I rate BTTS = Yes as the more probable outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The seasonal rate of matches over 1.5 stands at 87% for Real Oviedo and 86% for Sevilla, providing a very strong signal for Over 1.5. Combining the home xG (1.33) and the away xG conceded (1.39) yields an expected 1.36 goals for Oviedo, while Sevilla’s 1.28 xG and 1.15 xG conceded to hosts yield 1.22 for the visitors, totaling 2.58 goals. BTTS occurs in 60% of Oviedo’s matches and 64% of Sevilla’s, and average SOTs are 3.73 and 3.79 respectively, which increases the likelihood of goals from both sides. Seasonal Over 2.5 is 53% for Oviedo and 64% for Sevilla, so Over 2.5 is moderately probable but less certain than Over 1.5. Based on this, I pick the Over side at the 1.5 line as the strongest and most statistically justified bet.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Real Oviedo is stronger at the break: the home side led at half-time in 6 matches (40%) and average 1.53 half-time points versus Sevilla’s 0.71, with half-time goals averaging 0.67 for Oviedo compared to 0.36 for the visitors. Sevilla, however, dominates after the break: the visitors won second halves in 50% of cases and average 1.64 points in second halves, while Oviedo average 1.13 second-half points, which favors Sevilla comebacks. xG shows a balanced exchange of chances (xG 1.33 for Oviedo vs 1.28 for Sevilla), but Sevilla concedes more over the season (on average 1.93 goals conceded), which explains Oviedo’s frequent lead at the break alongside the visitors’ potential to overturn the score. For these reasons the most reliable signal is a home lead at half-time with a Sevilla turnaround after the break (HT/FT 1/2) — I assess this single scenario at 20%, with a 40% probability of Oviedo leading at half-time and a 49% overall probability of Sevilla winning in full time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Real Oviedo | Sevilla FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sevilla FC is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Real Oviedo · 1 pts / match - Sevilla FC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sevilla FC is 86% better for: goals scored per match.
0.69 goals / match - Real Oviedo · 1.28 goals / match - Sevilla FC
Real Oviedo scores in 45% of matches (13 of 29 matches), while Sevilla FC keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 29 matches).
Sevilla FC scores in 79% of matches (23 of 29 matches), while Real Oviedo keeps a clean sheet in 24% (7 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Real Oviedo
Over / Under - Sevilla FC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sevilla FC is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Real Oviedo · 1.14 pts / match - Sevilla FC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Real Oviedo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 14%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sevilla FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Real Oviedo
Sevilla FC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).
Teams vs league
| Real Oviedo | Liga | Sevilla FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.34 | 2.69 | ▲ 2.97 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 34% | 56% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 51% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | • 24% | 24% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 69% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 59% | 84% | ▲ 93% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Real Oviedo 0 - 0 - 1 Sevilla FC. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Real Oviedo vs Sevilla FC?
The La Liga match finished Real Oviedo 1:0 Sevilla FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Real Oviedo vs Sevilla FC?
Real Oviedo score 0.69 goals per game on average and Sevilla FC 1.28. The La Liga average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 34% of Real Oviedo's matches and 62% of Sevilla FC's.
What form are Real Oviedo and Sevilla FC in?
Over the last 5 games Real Oviedo have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Sevilla FC 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Real Oviedo vs Sevilla FC?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.