Bolivia - LFPBEstadio Victor Agustín UgarteData current as of 15 October 2026

Real Potosí vs The Strongest: match statistics

Real Potosí crest
Real Potosí
1 : 0half-time 0:0
The Strongest crest
The Strongest

Real Potosí vs The Strongest: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Real Potosí played The Strongest in LFPB (Bolivia). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Victor Agustín Ugarte. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Real Potosí: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. The Strongest: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Real Potosí scores 1.35 and concedes 0.70 goals per match. The Strongest scores 1.95 and concedes 1.10. League average: 3.09 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Real Potosí 45%, The Strongest 70%. Over 2.5: Real Potosí 35%, The Strongest 65%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.

xG, shots and style

The Strongest has higher xG: 1.78 vs 1.63. Real Potosí: 15.9 shots per match, The Strongest: 17.3.

Match halves

Real Potosí: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.75. The Strongest: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 1.10.

Goals by minute

Real Potosí: 76-90+ (12 goals). The Strongest: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

LFPB: 3.09 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Real Potosí have won 3 of their last 5 matches, but The Strongest have also recorded 3 wins over the same period and remain unbeaten. The hosts’ home record is in their favour: they score an average of 1.7 goals, concede 0.6, and keep a clean sheet in 50% of matches. The visitors win more often away from home, with a 60% win rate compared with Real’s 50% at home, but concede an average of 1.0 goal per match. Real create chances at home worth an average xG of 1.99, higher than The Strongest’s away xG of 1.66, and average 6.7 shots on target compared with the visitors’ 5.7. This gives the hosts a slight edge, although the visitors remain a serious threat after going unbeaten in their last 5 league rounds.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

BTTS landed in 80% of Real Potosí’s matches and 60% of The Strongest’s, rising to 60% and 100%, respectively, across their last five games. The hosts average 2.3 goals and the visitors 1.6, with xG of 1.91 and 1.66, indicating realistic scoring potential for both sides. Real concede an average of 1.2 goals, while The Strongest concede 1.0; over their last five matches, those figures rose to 1.4 and 1.2, respectively. The visitors’ 40% clean-sheet rate offers some counterbalance, but with the hosts failing to score in just 10% of their matches, BTTS - Yes remains the stronger pick.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Real Potosí average 2.3 goals at home, while The Strongest score 1.6 away, pointing to goal-scoring potential from both teams. This is supported by average xG figures of 1.91 and 1.66, respectively, and a combined 12.3 shots on target per match. At least two goals were scored in 90% of Real Potosí's home matches and 70% of The Strongest's away games, making Over 1.5 the strongest pick. The Over 2.5 line also looks promising, with the total exceeding it in 70% and 60% of their matches, respectively, but it offers a smaller margin of safety.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Real Potosí led at the break in 4 of the 10 matches analyzed and never went into half-time trailing, while The Strongest were behind at half-time in 5 of their 10 matches. The hosts average 1.1 goals before the break compared with 0.6 for the visitors, pointing to an early lead. Across the full match, Real Potosí score an average of 2.3 goals to The Strongest’s 1.6, with an xG of 1.91 compared with the visitors’ 1.66. However, the visitors are strong after the break: they won the second half in 60% of matches and conceded an average of just 0.2 goals in those periods, so holding on to a lead is not certain. Despite this, the hosts’ first-half advantage and greater attacking strength make leading at half-time and winning the match the most likely single outcome.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

52Possession (%)48
Real PotosíThe Strongest
16Shots12
Real PotosíThe Strongest
4Shots on target5
Real PotosíThe Strongest
1.51xG1.29
Real PotosíThe Strongest
9Corners2
Real PotosíThe Strongest
31Dangerous attacks25
Real PotosíThe Strongest
19Fouls11
Real PotosíThe Strongest
3Cards4
Real PotosíThe Strongest

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Real PotosíThe Strongest
1.35Goals scored / match1.95
Real PotosíThe Strongest
0.7Goals conceded / match1.1
Real PotosíThe Strongest
46%Average possession55%
Real PotosíThe Strongest
5.3Shots on target / match6.15
Real PotosíThe Strongest

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.9Shots per match17.3
Real PotosíThe Strongest
5.3Shots on target6.15
Real PotosíThe Strongest
8.5%Shot conversion11.3%
Real PotosíThe Strongest
46%Possession55%
Real PotosíThe Strongest
1.63xG for1.78
Real PotosíThe Strongest
1.41xG against1.38
Real PotosíThe Strongest

Shooting quality

Real Potosí: AttackingThe Strongest: Dominant
Real PotosíThe Strongest
Accuracy (shots on target)33%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

The Strongest is 88% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Real Potosí · 3 pts / match - The Strongest

Real Potosí
DLDWW
Season result split
40% W40% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-8-4
1.60 pts / match · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-3-2
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WDWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.21Opponent xG: 1.48BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
The Strongest
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
60% W30% D10% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-6-2
2.10 pts / match · goal difference +17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-3-1
Last 5 away
3-1-1
DWLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 2.08Opponent xG: 1.23BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 100%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

The Strongest is 44% better for: goals scored per match.

1.35 goals / match - Real Potosí · 1.95 goals / match - The Strongest

Real Potosí is 57% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.7 goals / match - Real Potosí · 1.1 goals / match - The Strongest

Real Potosí scoring profile: strong

Real Potosí scores in 70% of matches (14 of 20 matches), while The Strongest keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).

The Strongest scoring profile: strong

The Strongest scores in 85% of matches (17 of 20 matches), while Real Potosí keeps a clean sheet in 45% (9 of 20 matches).

27Goals scored (season)39
Real PotosíThe Strongest
14Goals conceded (season)22
Real PotosíThe Strongest
2.05Average goals in match3.05
Real PotosíThe Strongest
5Goals scored (last 5)17
Real PotosíThe Strongest
3Goals conceded (last 5)5
Real PotosíThe Strongest

How often they score at least...

70%1 goal85%
Real PotosíThe Strongest
40%2 goals55%
Real PotosíThe Strongest
15%3 goals40%
Real PotosíThe Strongest
5%4 goals10%
Real PotosíThe Strongest

How often they concede at least...

55%1 goal70%
Real PotosíThe Strongest
15%2 goals30%
Real PotosíThe Strongest
0%3 goals10%
Real PotosíThe Strongest
0%4 goals0%
Real PotosíThe Strongest

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

61%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time35%
Real PotosíThe Strongest
0%BTTS in both halves5%
Real PotosíThe Strongest
40%Scored in both halves50%
Real PotosíThe Strongest

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS55%
Real PotosíThe Strongest
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
Real PotosíThe Strongest
40%BTTS - last 560%
Real PotosíThe Strongest

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
Real PotosíThe Strongest
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
Real PotosíThe Strongest
5%Min. 3 goals before half-time15%
Real PotosíThe Strongest

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
Real PotosíThe Strongest
30%Min. 2 goals after half-time55%
Real PotosíThe Strongest
10%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
Real PotosíThe Strongest

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Real Potosí is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.55 pts / match - Real Potosí · 1.35 pts / match - The Strongest

Real Potosí - half-time state
30% leading65% draw5% trailing
The Strongest - half-time state
30% leading45% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.55Points per match (1st half)1.35
Real PotosíThe Strongest
0.6Goals scored (1st half)0.85
Real PotosíThe Strongest
0.25Goals conceded (1st half)0.65
Real PotosíThe Strongest
0.85Average goals (1st half)1.5
Real PotosíThe Strongest
75%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Real PotosíThe Strongest
55%No goal before half-time35%
Real PotosíThe Strongest

After half-time (2nd half)

1.7Points per match (2nd half)1.9
Real PotosíThe Strongest
0.75Goals scored (2nd half)1.1
Real PotosíThe Strongest
0.45Goals conceded (2nd half)0.45
Real PotosíThe Strongest
1.2Average goals (2nd half)1.55
Real PotosíThe Strongest
65%Clean sheet after half-time70%
Real PotosíThe Strongest
35%No goal after half-time30%
Real PotosíThe Strongest

Real Potosí - second-half results

45% W35% D20% L
31
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.55
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

The Strongest - second-half results

50% W40% D10% L
27
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
38
Second-half points
+13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.35
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Real Potosí - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.60
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match0.61.0
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
The Strongest - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.002.60
Goals scored / match1.61.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match2.22.2
1 goal100%100%
2 goals80%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal20%0%
Goal difference+5+7
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 8

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Real Potosí
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
5
2
16-30
4
3
31-45
2
3
46-60
1
3
61-75
12
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

The Strongest
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
4
8
16-30
9
4
31-45
8
0
46-60
4
2
61-75
10
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.55
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
83%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
58%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
60%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Real Potosí

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.43
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-15.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.71
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
73%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
56%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
44% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
44%

The Strongest

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.40
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.45
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
156%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
59%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.90
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LFPB).

Teams vs league

Real PotosíLigaThe Strongest
Average goals in match▼ 2.053.09• 3.05
Both teams scored▼ 45%61%▲ 70%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 35%63%▲ 65%
Clean sheets▲ 45%23%▲ 30%
Goal before half-time▼ 50%75%▲ 80%
Goal after half-time▼ 80%87%▼ 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.09
Average goals per match
61%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.85
Home goals / match
1.25
Away goals / match
+48%
Home attack advantage
+32%
Home defence advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
87%
1 goal
55%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Real PotosíYellow cardLucas Gimenez
  2. Real PotosíSubstitutionOn: Gonzalo Reynaldo AñasgoOff: Lucas Gimenez
  3. The StrongestYellow cardDilan Fernando Saavedra Mercado
  4. Real PotosíYellow cardJorge Hugo Rojas
  5. Real PotosíSubstitutionOn: Igor Soares SantanaOff: Gerardo Maximiliano Gómez
  6. Real PotosíSubstitutionOn: Luis Alberto Ali VegaOff: Jeferson Rivas Tirado
  7. Real PotosíGoalJorge Hugo Rojas
  8. The StrongestYellow cardMartín Alejandro Chiatti
  9. Real PotosíSubstitutionOn: Stiven Ricardo Plaza CastilloOff: Jorge Hugo Rojas
  10. Real PotosíYellow cardStiven Ricardo Plaza Castillo

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Real Potosí 0 - 1 - 0 The Strongest. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Real Potosí vs The Strongest?

The LFPB match finished Real Potosí 1:0 The Strongest. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Real Potosí vs The Strongest?

Real Potosí score 1.35 goals per game on average and The Strongest 1.95. The LFPB average is 3.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Real Potosí's matches and 70% of The Strongest's.

What form are Real Potosí and The Strongest in?

Over the last 5 games Real Potosí have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and The Strongest 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Real Potosí vs The Strongest?

The statistical background for Real Potosí vs The Strongest — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.