Real Salt Lake vs Colorado Rapids: match statistics
Real Salt Lake vs Colorado Rapids: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Real Salt Lake played Colorado Rapids in MLS (United States). The match was played on 17 May 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Real Salt Lake: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Colorado Rapids: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Real Salt Lake scores 1.92 and concedes 1.42 goals per match. Colorado Rapids scores 1.77 and concedes 1.54. League average: 3.23 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Real Salt Lake 67%, Colorado Rapids 54%. Over 2.5: Real Salt Lake 75%, Colorado Rapids 54%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Real Salt Lake has higher xG: 1.73 vs 1.28. Real Salt Lake: 15.6 shots per match, Colorado Rapids: 10.8.
Match halves
Real Salt Lake: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.75. Colorado Rapids: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.08.
Goals by minute
Real Salt Lake: 16-30 (6 goals). Colorado Rapids: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.23 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Real Salt Lake has a clear offensive edge at home — they average 2.29 goals per home game with xG 1.93 and 7.14 shots on target, while Colorado on the road averages 1.13 goals, xG 1.04 and only 3.38 shots on target. RSL creates far more chances (17.29 average shots at home vs 8.25 Rapids away), despite similar conversion rates (13% vs 14%), resulting in a decisive advantage in shot volume and goal threat. Defensively the hosts concede 1.00 goal per home match on average, while the Rapids concede 1.63 away; home goal difference for RSL is +9 versus -4 for the visitors on the road. In the last 5 matches Real scored 7 goals and averages 1.2 points per game, Colorado scored 4 goals and averages 0.8 points per game, with both teams conceding 7 goals in that period — this indicates RSL is more efficient at creating opportunities. Considering RSL’s 86% home win rate versus the Rapids’ 25% away win rate, plus the superiority in xG (1.93 vs 1.04) and shots on target (7.14 vs 3.38), I tip a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Real Salt Lake averages 2.8 goals at home this season and has a seasonal BTTS rate of 60%, while Colorado averages 1.13 goals away with a BTTS rate of 50%, which favors a Goal/Goal scenario. Hosts have a home xG of 1.67 versus the visitors' xG of 1.04; Real Salt Lake concedes 1.4 goals at home on average, Colorado concedes 1.63 on the road, with clean sheets occurring in only 20% of home matches and 25% of away matches. In the last 5 matches BTTS was 40% for both teams, and average goals in that period were 1.4 (home) and 0.8 (away), which reduces confidence, but the combined xG of 2.71 (1.67+1.04) and the league average goals of 3.28 indicate significant scoring potential. Additionally, Real Salt Lake averages 15 shots and 5.8 on target versus Colorado's 8.25 and 3.38, and has a higher conversion rate of 19% versus 14%, therefore I tip BTTS - Yes with a probability of 70% versus 30% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Real Salt Lake scores an average of 2.8 goals at home with an xG of 1.67, while Colorado averages 1.13 goals away with an xG of 1.04; the combined xG is 2.71, indicating close to 2.7 expected goals. RSL averages 15 shots and 5.8 on target per match versus Rapids' 8.25 and 3.38, and a conversion rate of 19% vs 14% means the home side can outperform their xG. Season-long data shows RSL home matches finished Over 2.5 goals in 60% of cases, Colorado away in 50%, and the league Over 2.5 average is 63%, which further supports a higher goal count. In the last 5 matches RSL scored 7 goals (1.4 per match), Colorado 4 goals (0.8), and both teams concede on average 1.4 goals, which supports a higher-scoring outcome and BTTS (60% vs 50%). Given the combined xG of 2.71, Real’s better efficiency and strong league tendencies toward Over 2.5, I recommend the Over 2.5 line as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Real Salt Lake holds a clear advantage in creation and efficiency: on average 2.8 goals scored per match versus Colorado’s 1.13, xG 1.67 versus 1.04, 15.0 shots and 5.8 on target compared to opponents’ 8.25 shots and 3.38 on target, with conversion 19% vs 14%. At half-time the hosts lead in 60% of matches and average 0.8 goals scored by the break while conceding 0.6, whereas Colorado averages 0.63 scored and 0.75 conceded by half-time. After the break RSL is particularly dangerous: on average 2.0 goals in the second half with 0.8 conceded and they win second halves in 80% of cases, while the Rapids register only 0.5 scored and win 13% of second halves. Given the xG, shot volume and strong second-half profile, the most likely scenario is the hosts leading at the break and winning the match (1/1) — my model assigns this approximately a 45% probability; the second-strongest signal is a draw at half-time with RSL turning it around to win (X/1, ~18%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Real Salt Lake | Colorado Rapids | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Real Salt Lake is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Real Salt Lake · 0.8 pts / match - Colorado Rapids
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Real Salt Lake is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.92 goals / match - Real Salt Lake · 1.77 goals / match - Colorado Rapids
Real Salt Lake is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.42 goals / match - Real Salt Lake · 1.54 goals / match - Colorado Rapids
Real Salt Lake scores in 83% of matches (10 of 12 matches), while Colorado Rapids keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 matches).
Colorado Rapids scores in 69% of matches (9 of 13 matches), while Real Salt Lake keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Real Salt Lake
Over / Under - Colorado Rapids
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Real Salt Lake is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.75 pts / match - Real Salt Lake · 1.38 pts / match - Colorado Rapids
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Real Salt Lake - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Colorado Rapids - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Real Salt Lake
Colorado Rapids
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Real Salt Lake | Liga | Colorado Rapids | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.33 | 3.23 | • 3.31 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 60% | ▼ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 62% | ▼ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 22% | • 23% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 76% | • 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 81% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Real Salt Lake vs Colorado Rapids?
The MLS match finished Real Salt Lake 2:1 Colorado Rapids. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Real Salt Lake vs Colorado Rapids?
Real Salt Lake score 1.92 goals per game on average and Colorado Rapids 1.77. The MLS average is 3.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Real Salt Lake's matches and 54% of Colorado Rapids's.
What form are Real Salt Lake and Colorado Rapids in?
Over the last 5 games Real Salt Lake have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Colorado Rapids 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Real Salt Lake vs Colorado Rapids?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Real Salt Lake vs Colorado Rapids: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.


