Real Salt Lake vs San Diego: match statistics
Real Salt Lake vs San Diego: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Real Salt Lake played San Diego in MLS (United States). The match was played on 19 April 2026. Final score: 4:2.
Current form
Real Salt Lake: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. San Diego: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Real Salt Lake scores 2.00 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. San Diego scores 2.00 and concedes 1.43. League average: 3.12 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Real Salt Lake 83%, San Diego 43%. Over 2.5: Real Salt Lake 83%, San Diego 71%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Real Salt Lake has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.29. Real Salt Lake: 17.2 shots per match, San Diego: 10.9.
Match halves
Real Salt Lake: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.83. San Diego: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Real Salt Lake: 16-30 (5 goals). San Diego: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.12 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Real Salt Lake demonstrates a clear advantage in this matchup: at home they have won 4 of their last 5 matches and maintain a 100% home win rate this season, averaging 2.33 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. In home fixtures RSL averages 20.33 shots and 6.67 on target, with an average xG of 2.13 versus the opponent’s 1.21 xG, reflecting the quality of created chances. San Diego arrives in poor form — 0 wins in their last 5 matches, only 0.4 points per game and 14 goals conceded in that span; away they average 1.33 goals scored and 2.00 conceded with xG for 1.00 and 3.33 shots on target. The visitors have a high possession percentage (64%) and a better conversion rate 17% vs RSL’s 11%, which gives them a one-goal chance from fewer opportunities, but it does not offset the overall home advantage. Based on this, I tip the home win — Real Salt Lake have superior form (2.6 pts per game in the last 5 vs 0.4), greater quantity and quality of chances, and defensive stability at home.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes with a 72% probability versus 28% for No. Real Salt Lake averages 2.5 goals per match, has xG 1.51 and 6.25 shots on target on average; in their last 5 games they scored 12 and in all 5 matches both teams scored (12 goals for and 7 conceded), which strongly indicates the hosts score but also concede. San Diego averages 1.33 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded this season; in their last 5 matches they scored 6 and conceded 14 (avg. 1.2 scored and 2.8 conceded), and they have 60% BTTS in their last 5 away games, so they have the potential to score despite lower efficiency. The difference in chance creation (Real Salt Lake avg. 13.0 shots and 6.25 SoT vs San Diego 8.0 shots and 3.33 SoT) combined with the league BTTS average of 56% further increases the likelihood of both teams scoring. For these reasons the 'Yes' scenario is the strongest signal from the data.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Real Salt Lake averages 2.5 goals scored per match this season (xG 1.51), and in the last 5 matches has xG 1.90 and scored 12 goals in those five games (avg 2.4). San Diego registers 1.33 goals scored seasonally (xG 1.00) and in the last 5 matches has scored 6 goals (avg 1.2), with average goals conceded 2.0 for the season and 2.8 in the last 5. Both teams frequently produce high-scoring games: seasonally Real has 75% of matches over 2.5 goals, San Diego 67%, and in the last 5 matches both sides had 100% of games above 2.5 goals. Real has a clear attacking advantage (13 shots and 6.25 on target vs 8 and 3.33 for San Diego) and a higher conversion rate (19% vs 17%), increasing the hosts’ likelihood to score. Overall, based on a weighted view of seasonal and last-5 xG, I expect about 1.84 goals for Real and 1.20 for San Diego (total ~3.04), therefore the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (I assess its probability at ~95%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Real Salt Lake is the favorite: they score an average of 2.5 goals per game versus 1.33 for San Diego and generate higher xG (1.51 vs 1.00), with the home side averaging 13 shots and 6.25 on target compared to 8 and 3.33 for the visitors. In the first half Real average 1.25 goals by the break and in the last 5 matches they led at the break in 60% of games (3 of 5), while San Diego led at the break in only 20% (1 of 5), which supports a home lead at 45 minutes. San Diego’s defense is weaker over the season — the visitors concede 2.0 goals per game versus 1.0 conceded by Real, and xG against for the visitors is 1.59 versus 1.37 for the home side, so Real are more likely to hold the lead. On this basis I assign the highest probability to the 1/1 scenario (42%); overall I assess 63% chance of a home win, 26% for a draw and 11% for an away win. Therefore I recommend a 1/1 HT/FT bet — strong xG, shot metrics and recent form (last 5: Real 80% wins vs San Diego 0%) indicate Real are most likely to be leading at half-time and win the match.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Real Salt Lake | San Diego | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 46% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Real Salt Lake is 160% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Real Salt Lake · 1 pts / match - San Diego
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Real Salt Lake is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Real Salt Lake · 1.43 goals / match - San Diego
Real Salt Lake scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while San Diego keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).
San Diego scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Real Salt Lake keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Real Salt Lake
Over / Under - San Diego
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Real Salt Lake is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Real Salt Lake · 1.86 pts / match - San Diego
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Real Salt Lake - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
San Diego - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 43%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Real Salt Lake
San Diego
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Real Salt Lake | Liga | San Diego | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.33 | 3.12 | ▲ 3.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 83% | 57% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 83% | 63% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 25% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 73% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 81% | ▼ 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Real Salt Lake 0 - 1 - 0 San Diego. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Real Salt Lake vs San Diego?
The MLS match finished Real Salt Lake 4:2 San Diego. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Real Salt Lake vs San Diego?
Real Salt Lake score 2.00 goals per game on average and San Diego 2.00. The MLS average is 3.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 83% of Real Salt Lake's matches and 43% of San Diego's.
What form are Real Salt Lake and San Diego in?
Over the last 5 games Real Salt Lake have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and San Diego 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Real Salt Lake vs San Diego?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.