Real Salt Lake vs Sporting KC: match statistics
Real Salt Lake vs Sporting KC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Real Salt Lake played Sporting KC in MLS (United States). The match was played on 4 April 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Real Salt Lake: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Sporting KC: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Real Salt Lake scores 1.80 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Sporting KC scores 1.00 and concedes 2.20. League average: 3.05 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Real Salt Lake 80%, Sporting KC 60%. Over 2.5: Real Salt Lake 80%, Sporting KC 80%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Real Salt Lake has higher xG: 1.66 vs 0.89. Real Salt Lake: 16.2 shots per match, Sporting KC: 7.0.
Match halves
Real Salt Lake: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.60. Sporting KC: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Real Salt Lake: 16-30 (5 goals). Sporting KC: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.05 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Real Salt Lake has a clear advantage in offensive metrics and form: at home they average 2.0 goals scored per match and 2.09 xG with 19.5 shots and 6.5 shots on target, while Sporting KC away records 1.0 goals per match, 0.84 xG, 7 shots and 2.5 shots on target. The hosts have not had a clean sheet-less home game (0% of home matches without scoring), whereas the visitors failed to score in 50% of away matches, which significantly reduces their chances. Defensively Sporting concedes on average 2.0 goals away, and Real concedes 1.0 at home; xG against stands at 1.41 for Real and 1.88 for Sporting, indicating greater susceptibility of the visitors to dangerous situations. Form corroborates the gap: Real’s last 5 are lwwwd with an average of 2 points per game, while Sporting’s run is ldlwl with only 0.8 points per game. Given the superiority in xG (2.09 vs 0.84), shot volume (19.5 vs 7) and the visitors’ issues with finishing and defending, I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Real Salt Lake has a season BTTS rate of 67% and 80% in the last 5 matches, while Sporting KC has a season BTTS 50% and 60% in the last 5 matches, indicating a tilt towards Both Teams To Score (67% vs 50%, 80% vs 60%). Both teams are defensively vulnerable: Real concedes on average 2.33 goals this season, Sporting 2.0, and in the last 5 matches they conceded 1.4 (Real) and 2.2 (Sporting), so goals from both sides are probable. This is supported by xG and shot numbers — recent xG: Real 1.66 vs Sporting 0.88, xG against 1.49 vs 1.81, and Real has 3.33 on-target shots vs 2.5 for the visitors, showing the hosts’ advantage in chance creation and the visitors’ defensive risk. Additionally both teams have 0% clean sheets this season, and Sporting has 100% of matches over 2.5 goals this season; the league averages 3.03 goals per match, which confirms an environment favorable to BTTS. Considering the clear indicators — 67%/80% for Real, 50%/60% for Sporting and high goals conceded averages — I back BTTS 'Yes' with a 70% confidence vs 30% for 'No'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The expected total goals are estimated at approximately 2.81 (expected_goals_home 1.57 vs expected_goals_away 1.24) based on averaged xG: xG_for Real Salt Lake 0.92 against xG_against Sporting KC 1.88 and xG_for Sporting 0.84 against xG_against Real 1.77. In the last 5 matches Real has xG_for 1.66 and xG_against 1.49, while Sporting has xG_for 0.88 and xG_against 1.81; these values push the expected goals total to about 2.8. Seasonal indicators also support the over: Sporting has 100% of matches over 2.5 goals, Real 67%, and in their last 5 games both teams have 80% of matches over 2.5, which strengthens the goals signal. Additionally, both sides concede a lot (Real conceding 2.33 on average, Sporting 2.0 this season) and the league average is 3.03 goals per match, therefore the strongest pick is Over 1.5 (recommendation: Over 1.5, probability ~92%), Over 2.5 I assess at ~71%, and Over 3.5 at ~34%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal points to the visitors leading at the break and winning: the home team were losing at half-time in 100% of their matches (3 of 3), while the visitors led at the break in 50% of games and on average collect 1.5 points at half-time. Seasonal numbers confirm Sporting KC’s advantage — 50% wins for the visitors versus 0% for Real Salt Lake, with the hosts conceding an average of 2.33 goals per match and scoring 1.0. xG shows similar offensive potential (0.92 for Real Salt Lake vs 0.84 for Sporting KC), but Real Salt Lake concedes more by half-time (1.33 goals on average versus 1.0 for the visitors), increasing the risk of conceding before the break. In the last 5 matches the hosts look better (60% wins and on average 1.2 goals at half-time), however this short-term form spike does not offset the season-long tendency to lose the first half. Therefore the most likely scenario is 2/2 (46%), with the next significant options 2/X (13%) and X/2 (11%), since aggregate half-time statistics and seasonal results most strongly support the visitors leading at the break and winning.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Real Salt Lake | Sporting KC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Real Salt Lake is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Real Salt Lake · 0.8 pts / match - Sporting KC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Real Salt Lake is 80% better for: goals scored per match.
1.8 goals / match - Real Salt Lake · 1 goals / match - Sporting KC
Real Salt Lake is 57% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.4 goals / match - Real Salt Lake · 2.2 goals / match - Sporting KC
Real Salt Lake scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Sporting KC keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
Sporting KC scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Real Salt Lake keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Real Salt Lake
Over / Under - Sporting KC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Real Salt Lake is 200% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.8 pts / match - Real Salt Lake · 0.6 pts / match - Sporting KC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Real Salt Lake - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sporting KC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Real Salt Lake
Sporting KC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Real Salt Lake | Liga | Sporting KC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.20 | 3.05 | ▲ 3.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 52% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 80% | 60% | ▲ 80% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 28% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 72% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 81% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Real Salt Lake vs Sporting KC?
The MLS match finished Real Salt Lake 3:1 Sporting KC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Real Salt Lake vs Sporting KC?
Real Salt Lake score 1.80 goals per game on average and Sporting KC 1.00. The MLS average is 3.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Real Salt Lake's matches and 60% of Sporting KC's.
What form are Real Salt Lake and Sporting KC in?
Over the last 5 games Real Salt Lake have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Sporting KC 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Real Salt Lake vs Sporting KC?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Real Salt Lake vs Sporting KC: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.