Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Real Salt Lake play St. Louis City in MLS (United States). The match date is 25 October 2026. Venue: America First Field.
Current form
Real Salt Lake: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. St. Louis City: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Real Salt Lake scores 1.50 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. St. Louis City scores 1.87 and concedes 1.37. League average: 3.25 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Real Salt Lake 70%, St. Louis City 70%. Over 2.5: Real Salt Lake 67%, St. Louis City 57%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Real Salt Lake: 14.0 shots per match, St. Louis City: 13.5.
Match halves
Real Salt Lake: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.73. St. Louis City: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Real Salt Lake: 76-90+ (10 goals). St. Louis City: 31-45+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.25 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Real Salt Lake | St. Louis City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
St. Louis City is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Real Salt Lake · 2 pts / match - St. Louis City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
St. Louis City is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Real Salt Lake · 1.87 goals / match - St. Louis City
St. Louis City is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.6 goals / match - Real Salt Lake · 1.37 goals / match - St. Louis City
Real Salt Lake scores in 80% of matches (24 of 30 matches), while St. Louis City keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 matches).
St. Louis City scores in 83% of matches (25 of 30 matches), while Real Salt Lake keeps a clean sheet in 10% (3 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Real Salt Lake
Over / Under - St. Louis City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
St. Louis City is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / match - Real Salt Lake · 1.97 pts / match - St. Louis City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Real Salt Lake - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
St. Louis City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 47%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +8 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Real Salt Lake
St. Louis City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Real Salt Lake | Liga | St. Louis City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.10 | 3.25 | • 3.23 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 64% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 64% | ▼ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 20% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 78% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 97% | 82% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Real Salt Lake 0 - 1 - 0 St. Louis City. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
When do Real Salt Lake and St. Louis City play?
Real Salt Lake face St. Louis City on 25 October 2026 in MLS at America First Field. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City?
Real Salt Lake score 1.50 goals per game on average and St. Louis City 1.87. The MLS average is 3.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Real Salt Lake's matches and 70% of St. Louis City's.
What form are Real Salt Lake and St. Louis City in?
Over the last 5 games Real Salt Lake have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and St. Louis City 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


