Real Sociedad vs Celta de Vigo: match statistics
Celta de Vigo presents much better form than Real Sociedad, confirmed by a streak of four wins in the last five matches and an impressive 2.6 points per match. The visiting team particularly stands out for their efficiency in away matches, achieving a 56% win rate and conceding only 0.78 goals on average per match, with 44% clean sheets. Real Sociedad faces defensive issues at home, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match with only 10% clean sheets and a goal difference of 0 in home games. The hosts' form is unstable with only 40% home wins and losing as many as 40% of matches. Additionally, Celta possesses a better goal difference on the road (+5) and higher shot conversion (14% vs 11%), which, given the current disposition of both teams, speaks in favor of an away victory.
Real Sociedad vs Celta de Vigo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Real Sociedad played Celta de Vigo in La Liga (Spain). The match was played on 25 January 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Real Sociedad: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Celta de Vigo: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Real Sociedad scores 1.30 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Celta de Vigo scores 1.40 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Real Sociedad 80%, Celta de Vigo 60%. Over 2.5: Real Sociedad 55%, Celta de Vigo 30%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Real Sociedad has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.24. Real Sociedad: 13.4 shots per match, Celta de Vigo: 10.3.
Match halves
Real Sociedad: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.85. Celta de Vigo: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.95.
Goals by minute
Real Sociedad: 46-60 (8 goals). Celta de Vigo: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
La Liga: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Celta de Vigo presents much better form than Real Sociedad, confirmed by a streak of four wins in the last five matches and an impressive 2.6 points per match. The visiting team particularly stands out for their efficiency in away matches, achieving a 56% win rate and conceding only 0.78 goals on average per match, with 44% clean sheets. Real Sociedad faces defensive issues at home, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match with only 10% clean sheets and a goal difference of 0 in home games. The hosts' form is unstable with only 40% home wins and losing as many as 40% of matches. Additionally, Celta possesses a better goal difference on the road (+5) and higher shot conversion (14% vs 11%), which, given the current disposition of both teams, speaks in favor of an away victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Real Sociedad | Celta de Vigo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Celta de Vigo is 63% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Real Sociedad · 2.6 pts / match - Celta de Vigo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Celta de Vigo is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.3 goals / match - Real Sociedad · 1.4 goals / match - Celta de Vigo
Celta de Vigo is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.4 goals / match - Real Sociedad · 1 goals / match - Celta de Vigo
Real Sociedad scores in 85% of matches (17 of 20 matches), while Celta de Vigo keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
Celta de Vigo scores in 85% of matches (17 of 20 matches), while Real Sociedad keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Real Sociedad
Over / Under - Celta de Vigo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Celta de Vigo is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / match - Real Sociedad · 1.25 pts / match - Celta de Vigo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Real Sociedad - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Celta de Vigo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Real Sociedad
Celta de Vigo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).
Teams vs league
| Real Sociedad | Liga | Celta de Vigo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.70 | 2.62 | ▼ 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 52% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 48% | ▼ 30% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 5% | 26% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 67% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 83% | ▲ 95% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Real Sociedad 0 - 1 - 0 Celta de Vigo. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Real Sociedad vs Celta de Vigo?
The La Liga match finished Real Sociedad 3:1 Celta de Vigo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Real Sociedad vs Celta de Vigo?
Real Sociedad score 1.30 goals per game on average and Celta de Vigo 1.40. The La Liga average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Real Sociedad's matches and 60% of Celta de Vigo's.
What form are Real Sociedad and Celta de Vigo in?
Over the last 5 games Real Sociedad have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Celta de Vigo 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Real Sociedad vs Celta de Vigo?
The statistical background for Real Sociedad vs Celta de Vigo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.