Real Tomayapo vs Aurora: match statistics
Real Tomayapo vs Aurora: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Real Tomayapo played Aurora in LFPB (Bolivia). The match was played on 16 May 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Real Tomayapo: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Aurora: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Real Tomayapo scores 0.50 and concedes 2.33 goals per match. Aurora scores 1.67 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Real Tomayapo 33%, Aurora 83%. Over 2.5: Real Tomayapo 50%, Aurora 33%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Aurora has higher xG: 1.52 vs 0.94. Real Tomayapo: 8.2 shots per match, Aurora: 13.2.
Match halves
Real Tomayapo: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.50. Aurora: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Real Tomayapo: 76-90+ (2 goals). Aurora: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
LFPB: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a draw. Real Tomayapo at home has 33% wins, 67% draws and 0% home losses, plus 67% clean sheets, while Aurora away records 0% wins and 100% draws. Over the season Real scored 3 and conceded 14, but at home they average 0.67 goals with xG 1.13, whereas Aurora away average 0.5 goals with xG 0.72 and have 10 scored and 6 conceded this season. Aurora has scored 10 goals in the last 5 matches and averages 1.8 points in that period versus Real with 3 goals and 1.0 point per game, yet the hosts generate more chances at home — 3.67 shots on target and 9.67 shots per game versus 2 on target and 6 overall for the visitors. Given the low combined goal average (around 1.0 per game) and the dominance of draws for both teams, I assign the highest probability to a draw: 50%, with 30% for the home side and 20% for Aurora.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes. Real Tomayapo has a season-long BTTS of 100% and 0% clean sheets, with an average of 2.25 goals scored and 1.25 conceded at home, strongly favoring a both-teams-to-score outcome. Aurora has BTTS 100% in the last 5 matches and scored 10 goals in those 5 games (2.0 per match) while conceding 6 (1.2 per match), so they are in scoring form. Season xG shows 1.92 xG for Tomayapo versus 1.37 xG allowed, and in the last 5 matches Aurora has 1.67 xG per game versus 1.39 xG allowed — both teams create and allow chances. Although Aurora’s season average is only 0.5 goals scored per game and 50% clean sheets, the dominant signal is repeated BTTS (100% at home for the hosts and 100% last5 for the visitors) and a league average BTTS of 63%, so I assess BTTS probability at approximately 80%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate total goals at 2.74 (expected_goals_home 1.69 vs expected_goals_away 1.05), calculated from average xG: Real Tomayapo xG_for 1.92 vs Aurora xG_against 1.45 yields 1.69 for the home side, while Aurora xG_for 0.72 vs Real xG_against 1.37 yields 1.05 for the away side. Real at home scores on average 2.25 goals with 8.0 SOT and 16.75 shots overall and a 13% conversion rate, whereas Aurora away averages 0.5 goals, 2.0 SOT and an 8% conversion, clearly favoring the home team in chance creation. Season percentages show Real have 100% of home matches over 1.5 and 50% over 2.5, while Aurora have 50% over 1.5 and 0% over 2.5; additionally the league averages 3.02 goals per match and 63% of games over 2.5, which supports a scenario for goals above 1.5 and moderately above 2.5. However, considering the last 5 matches where Real average only 0.6 goals and xG_for 1.05 (which lowers the tempo), and Aurora in their last 5 average 2.0 goals and xG_for 1.67, I rate Over 2.5 as moderate (65%). As a result I recommend playing Over 1.5 (over) as the strongest signal: high historical confidence for Real at home (100% over 1.5) and an expected 1.69 home goals in this fixture.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistics point to a Half-Time draw and a Full-Time victory for Real Tomayapo. The home side draw at the break in 50% of matches and lead at the break in only 25% (drawingAtHTPercentage_home=50.0, leadingAtHTPercentage_home=25.0), while the visitors in their last five games led at the break in 40% and average 0.8 goals in the first half (last5_leadingAtHTPercentage_overall_away=40.0, last5_scoredAVGHT_overall_away=0.8). After the break Real Tomayapo show a clear offensive advantage: xG 1.92 versus 0.72, an average of 1.5 second-half goals and a second-half average of 2.25 (xg_for_avg_home=1.92, xg_for_avg_away=0.72, scored_2hg_avg_home=1.5, AVG_2hg_home=2.25), increasing the likelihood of a turnaround. Additionally, the hosts average 8 shots on target versus 2 for the away side and have a higher conversion rate of 13% vs 8% (shotsOnTargetAVG_home=8 vs away=2, shot_conversion_rate_home=13 vs away=8), so the most likely scenario is a HT draw and Real Tomayapo win FT (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Real Tomayapo | Aurora | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 46% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Aurora is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Real Tomayapo · 1.8 pts / match - Aurora
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aurora is 234% better for: goals scored per match.
0.5 goals / match - Real Tomayapo · 1.67 goals / match - Aurora
Aurora is 133% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.33 goals / match - Real Tomayapo · 1 goals / match - Aurora
Real Tomayapo scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while Aurora keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
Aurora scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Real Tomayapo keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Real Tomayapo
Over / Under - Aurora
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Aurora is 200% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.5 pts / match - Real Tomayapo · 1.5 pts / match - Aurora
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Real Tomayapo - second-half results
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Aurora - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Real Tomayapo
Aurora
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LFPB).
Teams vs league
| Real Tomayapo | Liga | Aurora | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.83 | 2.98 | ▼ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 63% | ▲ 83% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 62% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 23% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 71% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 83% | 85% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Real Tomayapo 1 - 1 - 0 Aurora. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Real Tomayapo vs Aurora?
The LFPB match finished Real Tomayapo 0:2 Aurora. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Real Tomayapo and Aurora?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Real Tomayapo won 1, Aurora won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Real Tomayapo vs Aurora?
Real Tomayapo score 0.50 goals per game on average and Aurora 1.67. The LFPB average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Real Tomayapo's matches and 83% of Aurora's.
What form are Real Tomayapo and Aurora in?
Over the last 5 games Real Tomayapo have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Aurora 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Real Tomayapo vs Aurora?
The statistical background for Real Tomayapo vs Aurora — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.