Real Tomayapo vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo: match statistics

San Antonio Bulo Bulo (9th) clearly have the edge over Real Tomayapo (15th): the visitors have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses this season with a 9:9 goal record, while the hosts have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses with a 2:14 goal record. In the last 5 matches San Antonio have scored 9 goals and average 1.4 points per game, whereas Tomayapo have scored only 2 goals and average 0.4 points per game, indicating the visitors’ superiority in recent form. The visitors average 15 shots per match with 5 on target and an efficiency of about 10%; the hosts at home register 8.5 shots with 3.5 on target and around 6% efficiency. xG is 1.6 for the visitors versus 1.06 for Tomayapo — therefore San Antonio both creates and converts more chances. Tomayapo’s defense looks unstable: the hosts conceded 14 goals in their last 5 matches and failed to score in 50% of home games, while San Antonio have not had an away match without scoring (0% of matches without a goal). Considering the higher shot volume, better conversion (10% vs 6%), superior xG and better points haul in the last 5 matches, I predict an away win and estimate probabilities: visitors 55%, draw 30%, hosts 15%.

Season-long data strongly support BTTS: Real Tomayapo has BTTS in 67% of matches, San Antonio Bulo Bulo in 100%, and the league average is 70%, providing a clear signal for both teams to score. This is reinforced by Tomayapo’s seasonal average of 2.0 goals scored and attacking xG 1.67 with 6.33 shots on target per match, while San Antonio concedes xG 2.02 and an average of 3.0 goals per match and has recorded no clean sheets (0%), so the hosts have conditions to score. Conversely, San Antonio has attacking xG 1.6 and a seasonal goals scored average of 1.5, and in the last 5 matches averages 1.8 goals and has BTTS at 80%, indicating the visitors are also dangerous offensively. Additionally, in the last 5 Tomayapo concedes on average 2.8 goals, the league records an average of 3.3 goals per match, and over 2.5 rates are 67% for Tomayapo and 100% for San Antonio, which reduces the likelihood of clean sheets. Based on this I assess BTTS probability at 82% versus 18% for No Goal and recommend selecting BTTS - Yes.

Real Tomayapo scores an average of 2.0 goals per match, San Antonio Bulo Bulo concedes an average of 3.0 goals, and both teams have 100% of matches over 1.5 goals this season, indicating a strong trend towards totals above 1.5. xG analysis shows 1.67 xG for the hosts and 2.02 xG conceded by the visitors, translating to estimated 1.85 expected goals for Real Tomayapo and 1.18 for San Antonio (total 3.03). A Poisson model with λ=3.03 yields approximately an 80.5% chance of >1.5 goals, ~58.4% for >2.5 and ~36.0% for >3.5, which aligns with the league average of 3.3 goals/match and season over shares (home over2.5 67%, away over2.5 100%). Given the concurrent confirmation from xG and the historical 100% over1.5 for both sides, the strongest and most reliable signal is a bet on Over 1.5 goals, while Over 2.5 remains a moderate-probability option.

Real Tomayapo has a 67% win rate this season and averages 2.0 goals per match (xG 1.67), while San Antonio Bulo Bulo has a 0% win rate and concedes 3.0 goals per match on average (xG against 2.02), giving a clear home advantage. At half-time Real led in 33% of matches and averages 0.67 goals by the break, whereas San Antonio averages 0.0 goals at half-time and was leading in 0% of games (behind at the break in 100% of cases), so the most likely scenario is a home lead at the break. In the second half Real scores an average of 1.33 goals and concedes only 0.33, while San Antonio averages 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded; additionally Real registered 3 goals in the 46–60 minute window in the data, indicating the hosts have the potential to consolidate or extend their lead after the break. Real’s average half-time points are 1.33 versus 0.0 for San Antonio, and the league records 93% of matches with a goal after the break — this increases the probability of the better team deciding the outcome in the second half. As a result, the strongest and most consistent signal from the dataset is 1/1 (home leading at half-time and winning), therefore I recommend this HT/FT as the primary pick.