Real Valladolid vs Leganés: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, which strongly favors a draw. Real Valladolid is in 18th place with a -2 home goal difference, winning only 29% of their home matches, while Leganés in 17th place has a zero goal difference on the road and a 40% away draw rate. Both teams have shown poor form in their last five fixtures (1 point per game each) and a similar goal average (around 1 per match). Leganés's high percentage of away draws (40%) and similar xG values for both teams suggest a low probability of a one-sided result. The hosts' ball possession advantage (52% vs 51%) is marginal and does not constitute a significant differentiating factor, further supporting a point-sharing scenario.
Real Valladolid vs Leganés: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Real Valladolid played Leganés in Segunda División (Spain). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Real Valladolid: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Leganés: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Real Valladolid scores 1.10 and concedes 1.41 goals per match. Leganés scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.54 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Real Valladolid 45%, Leganés 45%. Over 2.5: Real Valladolid 45%, Leganés 38%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Real Valladolid has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.29. Real Valladolid: 13.6 shots per match, Leganés: 11.7.
Match halves
Real Valladolid: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.59. Leganés: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.55.
Goals by minute
Real Valladolid: 31-45+ (10 goals). Leganés: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Segunda División: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, which strongly favors a draw. Real Valladolid is in 18th place with a -2 home goal difference, winning only 29% of their home matches, while Leganés in 17th place has a zero goal difference on the road and a 40% away draw rate. Both teams have shown poor form in their last five fixtures (1 point per game each) and a similar goal average (around 1 per match). Leganés's high percentage of away draws (40%) and similar xG values for both teams suggest a low probability of a one-sided result. The hosts' ball possession advantage (52% vs 51%) is marginal and does not constitute a significant differentiating factor, further supporting a point-sharing scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Real Valladolid | Leganés | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Real Valladolid is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.1 goals / match - Real Valladolid · 1 goals / match - Leganés
Leganés is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.41 goals / match - Real Valladolid · 1 goals / match - Leganés
Real Valladolid scores in 62% of matches (18 of 29 matches), while Leganés keeps a clean sheet in 34% (10 of 29 matches).
Leganés scores in 62% of matches (18 of 29 matches), while Real Valladolid keeps a clean sheet in 24% (7 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Real Valladolid
Over / Under - Leganés
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Real Valladolid - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Leganés - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 80% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Real Valladolid
Leganés
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Segunda División).
Teams vs league
| Real Valladolid | Liga | Leganés | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.52 | 2.54 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 54% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 49% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 28% | ▲ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 67% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 75% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Real Valladolid 0 - 0 - 1 Leganés. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Real Valladolid vs Leganés?
The Segunda División match finished Real Valladolid 3:2 Leganés. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Real Valladolid vs Leganés?
Real Valladolid score 1.10 goals per game on average and Leganés 1.00. The Segunda División average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Real Valladolid's matches and 45% of Leganés's.
What form are Real Valladolid and Leganés in?
Over the last 5 games Real Valladolid have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Leganés 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Real Valladolid vs Leganés?
The statistical background for Real Valladolid vs Leganés — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.