Real Zaragoza vs Burgos CF: match statistics
Burgos CF holds a decisive advantage in this clash. Real Zaragoza occupies the last, 22nd place in the table with only a 15% win rate at home and dramatic form—zero wins in the last 5 matches and a goal difference of -10 at their own stadium. The hosts struggle to finish actions effectively (7% shot conversion) and fail to score at all in 38% of home matches. Burgos CF performs significantly better with a 38% win rate away, a shot conversion rate twice as high (12%), and a better goal difference (-2). Although the visitors also struggle with consistency (46% losses away), their offensive efficiency (averaging 1.08 goals per away match) and better overall form give them a real chance to secure full points. Given the hosts' crisis and the visitors' relative stability, a victory for Burgos CF is the most probable scenario.
Real Zaragoza vs Burgos CF: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Real Zaragoza played Burgos CF in Segunda División (Spain). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Real Zaragoza: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Burgos CF: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Real Zaragoza scores 0.85 and concedes 1.48 goals per match. Burgos CF scores 1.07 and concedes 0.96. League average: 2.52 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Real Zaragoza 56%, Burgos CF 44%. Over 2.5: Real Zaragoza 37%, Burgos CF 37%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Real Zaragoza has higher xG: 1.26 vs 1.18. Real Zaragoza: 11.6 shots per match, Burgos CF: 10.3.
Match halves
Real Zaragoza: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.56. Burgos CF: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
Real Zaragoza: 76-90+ (10 goals). Burgos CF: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Segunda División: 2.52 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Burgos CF holds a decisive advantage in this clash. Real Zaragoza occupies the last, 22nd place in the table with only a 15% win rate at home and dramatic form—zero wins in the last 5 matches and a goal difference of -10 at their own stadium. The hosts struggle to finish actions effectively (7% shot conversion) and fail to score at all in 38% of home matches. Burgos CF performs significantly better with a 38% win rate away, a shot conversion rate twice as high (12%), and a better goal difference (-2). Although the visitors also struggle with consistency (46% losses away), their offensive efficiency (averaging 1.08 goals per away match) and better overall form give them a real chance to secure full points. Given the hosts' crisis and the visitors' relative stability, a victory for Burgos CF is the most probable scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Real Zaragoza | Burgos CF | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Burgos CF is 67% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Real Zaragoza · 1 pts / match - Burgos CF
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Burgos CF is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
0.85 goals / match - Real Zaragoza · 1.07 goals / match - Burgos CF
Burgos CF is 54% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.48 goals / match - Real Zaragoza · 0.96 goals / match - Burgos CF
Real Zaragoza scores in 63% of matches (17 of 27 matches), while Burgos CF keeps a clean sheet in 30% (8 of 27 matches).
Burgos CF scores in 59% of matches (16 of 27 matches), while Real Zaragoza keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Real Zaragoza
Over / Under - Burgos CF
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Burgos CF is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.96 pts / match - Real Zaragoza · 1.11 pts / match - Burgos CF
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Real Zaragoza - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Burgos CF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Real Zaragoza
Burgos CF
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Segunda División).
Teams vs league
| Real Zaragoza | Liga | Burgos CF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.33 | 2.52 | ▼ 2.04 |
| Both teams scored | • 56% | 56% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 37% | 49% | ▼ 37% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 27% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 66% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | • 74% | 75% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Real Zaragoza 0 - 1 - 0 Burgos CF. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Real Zaragoza vs Burgos CF?
The Segunda División match finished Real Zaragoza 0:1 Burgos CF. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Real Zaragoza vs Burgos CF?
Real Zaragoza score 0.85 goals per game on average and Burgos CF 1.07. The Segunda División average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Real Zaragoza's matches and 44% of Burgos CF's.
What form are Real Zaragoza and Burgos CF in?
Over the last 5 games Real Zaragoza have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Burgos CF 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Real Zaragoza vs Burgos CF?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Real Zaragoza vs Burgos CF: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.