Serbia - SuperLigaStadion Rajko MitićData current as of 18 October 2026

Red Star Belgrade vs LFK Mladost Lučani: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Red Star Belgrade vs LFK Mladost Lučani: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Red Star Belgrade play LFK Mladost Lučani in SuperLiga (Serbia). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Stadion Rajko Mitić.

Current form

Red Star Belgrade: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. LFK Mladost Lučani: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Red Star Belgrade scores 2.45 and concedes 0.27 goals per match. LFK Mladost Lučani scores 0.91 and concedes 1.09. League average: 2.65 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Red Star Belgrade 27%, LFK Mladost Lučani 36%. Over 2.5: Red Star Belgrade 64%, LFK Mladost Lučani 36%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 51%.

xG, shots and style

Red Star Belgrade has higher xG: 2.07 vs 1.07. Red Star Belgrade: 17.6 shots per match, LFK Mladost Lučani: 9.2.

Match halves

Red Star Belgrade: half-time lead 64%, second-half goals 1.27. LFK Mladost Lučani: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.55.

Goals by minute

Red Star Belgrade: 46-60 (8 goals). LFK Mladost Lučani: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

SuperLiga: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 51%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.10)
(9.80)
(25.00)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani
2.45Goals scored / match0.91
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani
0.27Goals conceded / match1.09
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani
62%Average possession41%
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani
7.45Shots on target / match3
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

17.55Shots per match9.18
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani
7.45Shots on target3
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani
14%Shot conversion9.9%
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani
62%Possession41%
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani
2.07xG for1.07
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani
1.11xG against1.96
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani

Shooting quality

Red Star Belgrade: DominantLFK Mladost Lučani: Balanced
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani
Accuracy (shots on target)42%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Red Star Belgrade is 86% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / match - Red Star Belgrade · 1.4 pts / match - LFK Mladost Lučani

Red Star Belgrade
DWWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
91% W9% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-1-0
2.82 pts / match · goal difference +24
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-0-0
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 1.73Opponent xG: 1.07BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%
LFK Mladost Lučani
LWLWD
Season result split
36% W45% D18% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-5-2
1.55 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-2
Last 5 away
2-1-2
DWLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 0.89Opponent xG: 1.90BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Red Star Belgrade is 169% better for: goals scored per match.

2.45 goals / match - Red Star Belgrade · 0.91 goals / match - LFK Mladost Lučani

Red Star Belgrade is 304% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.27 goals / match - Red Star Belgrade · 1.09 goals / match - LFK Mladost Lučani

Red Star Belgrade scoring profile: very strong

Red Star Belgrade scores in 91% of matches (10 of 11 matches), while LFK Mladost Lučani keeps a clean sheet in 45% (5 of 11 matches).

LFK Mladost Lučani scoring profile: more difficult

LFK Mladost Lučani scores in 55% of matches (6 of 11 matches), while Red Star Belgrade keeps a clean sheet in 73% (8 of 11 matches).

27Goals scored (season)10
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani
3Goals conceded (season)12
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani
2.73Average goals in match2
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani
9Goals scored (last 5)3
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani
1Goals conceded (last 5)8
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani

How often they score at least...

91%1 goal55%
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani
82%2 goals27%
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani
45%3 goals9%
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani
18%4 goals0%
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani

How often they concede at least...

27%1 goal55%
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani
0%2 goals27%
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani
0%3 goals9%
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani
0%4 goals9%
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

27%
Red Star Belgrade - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.3 of 11 matches
36%
LFK Mladost Lučani - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.4 of 11 matches
44%
League average

Goal patterns

27%BTTS at half-time0%
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani
55%Scored in both halves9%
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani

BTTS and goal count

27%Min. 3 goals and BTTS27%
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani
36%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani
20%BTTS - last 520%
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time64%
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani
45%Min. 2 goals before half-time18%
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani
27%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani

2nd half

73%Min. 1 goal after half-time55%
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time45%
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time9%
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Red Star Belgrade is 92% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.27 pts / match - Red Star Belgrade · 1.18 pts / match - LFK Mladost Lučani

Red Star Belgrade - half-time state
64% leading36% draw0% trailing
LFK Mladost Lučani - half-time state
27% leading36% draw36% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.27Points per match (1st half)1.18
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani
1.18Goals scored (1st half)0.36
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani
0.27Goals conceded (1st half)0.55
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani
1.45Average goals (1st half)0.91
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani
73%Clean sheet before half-time64%
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani
27%No goal before half-time73%
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani

After half-time (2nd half)

2.45Points per match (2nd half)1.18
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani
1.27Goals scored (2nd half)0.55
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani
0Goals conceded (2nd half)0.55
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani
1.27Average goals (2nd half)1.09
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani
100%Clean sheet after half-time55%
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani
27%No goal after half-time64%
Red Star BelgradeLFK Mladost Lučani

Red Star Belgrade - second-half results

73% W27% D0% L
25
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+10
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
+14
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.27
PPG before half-time
Lead holding142%

Leads at half-time in 64% of matches and wins 91%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

LFK Mladost Lučani - second-half results

18% W64% D18% L
13
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Red Star Belgrade - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.20
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.0
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%100%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+3+5
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
LFK Mladost Lučani - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.00
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match1.00.6
Average goals in match1.21.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-4-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Red Star Belgrade
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
5
0
16-30
5
2
31-45
8
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
5
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

LFK Mladost Lučani
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
0
2
16-30
1
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
2
1
61-75
3
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.36
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 0.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
89%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
32%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+90%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Red Star Belgrade

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.96
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.38
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.84
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
150%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
27%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.22
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

LFK Mladost Lučani

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.89
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.71
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.87
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
67%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 30% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (SuperLiga).

Teams vs league

Red Star BelgradeLigaLFK Mladost Lučani
Average goals in match• 2.732.65▼ 2.00
Both teams scored▼ 27%44%▼ 36%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 64%51%▼ 36%
Clean sheets▲ 73%32%▲ 45%
Goal before half-time• 73%73%▼ 64%
Goal after half-time• 73%72%▼ 55%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.65
Average goals per match
44%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.63
Home goals / match
1.01
Away goals / match
+61%
Home attack advantage
+38%
Home defence advantage
+28%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Red Star Belgrade 2 - 0 - 0 LFK Mladost Lučani. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Red Star Belgrade
4 : 0
LFK Mladost Lučani
LFK Mladost Lučani
1 : 4
Red Star Belgrade

FAQ

When do Red Star Belgrade and LFK Mladost Lučani play?

Red Star Belgrade face LFK Mladost Lučani on 18 October 2026 in SuperLiga at Stadion Rajko Mitić. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Red Star Belgrade and LFK Mladost Lučani?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Red Star Belgrade won 2, LFK Mladost Lučani won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Red Star Belgrade vs LFK Mladost Lučani?

Red Star Belgrade score 2.45 goals per game on average and LFK Mladost Lučani 0.91. The SuperLiga average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 27% of Red Star Belgrade's matches and 36% of LFK Mladost Lučani's.

What form are Red Star Belgrade and LFK Mladost Lučani in?

Over the last 5 games Red Star Belgrade have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and LFK Mladost Lučani 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Red Star Belgrade vs LFK Mladost Lučani?

The statistical background for Red Star Belgrade vs LFK Mladost Lučani — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.