Red Star Belgrade vs Novi Pazar: match statistics
Red Star Belgrad is the clear favorite for this match, sitting top of the table with an impressive 80% win rate at home. The hosts are in dominant home form with a ten-match unbeaten streak (wwwwwwdwlw), averaging 3.5 goals scored per match while conceding just 0.6. Novi Pazar, despite a decent fifth place, has significantly weaker away statistics – only a 30% win rate on the road, 40% of matches without scoring, and an away goal difference of zero. Red Star's massive advantage in possession (64% vs 45%), shots on target (9 vs 4.2), and expected goals (2.5 vs 1.62 xG) further confirms their dominance. The 29-goal difference in the hosts' home matches compared to the visitors' zero goal difference away unequivocally points to a certain victory for the league leaders.
Red Star Belgrade vs Novi Pazar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Red Star Belgrade played Novi Pazar in SuperLiga (Serbia). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 5:0.
Current form
Red Star Belgrade: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Novi Pazar: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Red Star Belgrade scores 2.90 and concedes 0.90 goals per match. Novi Pazar scores 1.24 and concedes 1.19. League average: 2.71 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Red Star Belgrade 57%, Novi Pazar 52%. Over 2.5: Red Star Belgrade 71%, Novi Pazar 38%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Red Star Belgrade has higher xG: 2.57 vs 1.72. Red Star Belgrade: 22.8 shots per match, Novi Pazar: 14.1.
Match halves
Red Star Belgrade: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 1.67. Novi Pazar: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Red Star Belgrade: 76-90+ (18 goals). Novi Pazar: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
SuperLiga: 2.71 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Red Star Belgrad is the clear favorite for this match, sitting top of the table with an impressive 80% win rate at home. The hosts are in dominant home form with a ten-match unbeaten streak (wwwwwwdwlw), averaging 3.5 goals scored per match while conceding just 0.6. Novi Pazar, despite a decent fifth place, has significantly weaker away statistics – only a 30% win rate on the road, 40% of matches without scoring, and an away goal difference of zero. Red Star's massive advantage in possession (64% vs 45%), shots on target (9 vs 4.2), and expected goals (2.5 vs 1.62 xG) further confirms their dominance. The 29-goal difference in the hosts' home matches compared to the visitors' zero goal difference away unequivocally points to a certain victory for the league leaders.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Red Star Belgrade | Novi Pazar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Red Star Belgrade is 134% better for: goals scored per match.
2.9 goals / match - Red Star Belgrade · 1.24 goals / match - Novi Pazar
Red Star Belgrade is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.9 goals / match - Red Star Belgrade · 1.19 goals / match - Novi Pazar
Red Star Belgrade scores in 81% of matches (17 of 21 matches), while Novi Pazar keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).
Novi Pazar scores in 81% of matches (17 of 21 matches), while Red Star Belgrade keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Red Star Belgrade
Over / Under - Novi Pazar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Red Star Belgrade is 92% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.29 pts / match - Red Star Belgrade · 1.19 pts / match - Novi Pazar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Red Star Belgrade - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Novi Pazar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +13 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Red Star Belgrade
Novi Pazar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (SuperLiga).
Teams vs league
| Red Star Belgrade | Liga | Novi Pazar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.81 | 2.71 | ▼ 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 55% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 48% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 27% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 71% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 75% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Red Star Belgrade 1 - 0 - 0 Novi Pazar. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Red Star Belgrade vs Novi Pazar?
The SuperLiga match finished Red Star Belgrade 5:0 Novi Pazar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Red Star Belgrade vs Novi Pazar?
Red Star Belgrade score 2.90 goals per game on average and Novi Pazar 1.24. The SuperLiga average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Red Star Belgrade's matches and 52% of Novi Pazar's.
What form are Red Star Belgrade and Novi Pazar in?
Over the last 5 games Red Star Belgrade have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Novi Pazar 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Red Star Belgrade vs Novi Pazar?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Red Star Belgrade vs Novi Pazar: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.