Red Star vs Le Mans: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a very evenly matched contest between teams with similar form. Red Star sits 6th in the table and shows inconsistent home form (36% wins, 36% draws), averaging 1.18 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per home match. Le Mans, placed 4th, is characterized by effectiveness in away matches (averaging 1.73 goals per game) and a high away draw rate (45%). A key factor is the identical form of both teams in the last 5 matches (PPG = 1.0) and similar xG values. Le Mans' high shot conversion (18% vs 9% Red Star) may be neutralized by the hosts' possession advantage (54% vs 43%). Considering Le Mans' tendency for away draws and the balanced strength of both sides, a sharing of points is the most probable scenario, though a slight edge for Red Star stems from the home field factor.
Red Star vs Le Mans: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Red Star played Le Mans in Ligue 2 (France). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Red Star: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Le Mans: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Red Star scores 1.25 and concedes 1.04 goals per match. Le Mans scores 1.25 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.45 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Red Star 46%, Le Mans 54%. Over 2.5: Red Star 54%, Le Mans 33%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Red Star has higher xG: 1.27 vs 1.26. Red Star: 11.5 shots per match, Le Mans: 10.6.
Match halves
Red Star: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.67. Le Mans: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Red Star: 76-90+ (8 goals). Le Mans: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 2: 2.45 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a very evenly matched contest between teams with similar form. Red Star sits 6th in the table and shows inconsistent home form (36% wins, 36% draws), averaging 1.18 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per home match. Le Mans, placed 4th, is characterized by effectiveness in away matches (averaging 1.73 goals per game) and a high away draw rate (45%). A key factor is the identical form of both teams in the last 5 matches (PPG = 1.0) and similar xG values. Le Mans' high shot conversion (18% vs 9% Red Star) may be neutralized by the hosts' possession advantage (54% vs 43%). Considering Le Mans' tendency for away draws and the balanced strength of both sides, a sharing of points is the most probable scenario, though a slight edge for Red Star stems from the home field factor.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Red Star | Le Mans | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Le Mans is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Red Star · 1.6 pts / match - Le Mans
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Red Star scores in 75% of matches (18 of 24 matches), while Le Mans keeps a clean sheet in 38% (9 of 24 matches).
Le Mans scores in 83% of matches (20 of 24 matches), while Red Star keeps a clean sheet in 42% (10 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Red Star
Over / Under - Le Mans
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Le Mans is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Red Star · 1.63 pts / match - Le Mans
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Red Star - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Le Mans - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Red Star
Le Mans
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 2).
Teams vs league
| Red Star | Liga | Le Mans | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.29 | 2.45 | ▼ 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 51% | ▲ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 47% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 30% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 65% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | • 71% | 72% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Red Star 0 - 1 - 0 Le Mans. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Red Star vs Le Mans?
The Ligue 2 match finished Red Star 0:0 Le Mans. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Red Star vs Le Mans?
Red Star score 1.25 goals per game on average and Le Mans 1.25. The Ligue 2 average is 2.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Red Star's matches and 54% of Le Mans's.
What form are Red Star and Le Mans in?
Over the last 5 games Red Star have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Le Mans 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Red Star vs Le Mans?
The statistical background for Red Star vs Le Mans — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.