Red Star vs Nancy: match statistics
Red Star presents solid home form with a 30% win rate and only 20% of matches without scoring a goal at their own stadium. The hosts record an advantage in xG (1.42 vs 1.07), indicating better quality of created chances. Nancy faces serious problems in away matches—with as many as 45% losses and 45% of games without scoring, alongside a poor average possession (38%). The visitors concede an average of 1.45 goals per away match and hold a negative goal difference (-5). The form of both teams in the last five matches is similar (1 point/match each); however, Red Star's advantage in home play and Nancy's clear weaknesses on the road speak for a home victory. A close match is expected with a slight edge for Red Star.
Red Star vs Nancy: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Red Star played Nancy in Ligue 2 (France). The match was played on 13 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Red Star: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Nancy: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Red Star scores 1.23 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Nancy scores 0.91 and concedes 1.36. League average: 2.46 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Red Star 41%, Nancy 41%. Over 2.5: Red Star 50%, Nancy 50%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Red Star has higher xG: 1.27 vs 1.26. Red Star: 11.3 shots per match, Nancy: 11.6.
Match halves
Red Star: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.64. Nancy: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.36.
Goals by minute
Red Star: 0-15 (6 goals). Nancy: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 2: 2.46 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Red Star presents solid home form with a 30% win rate and only 20% of matches without scoring a goal at their own stadium. The hosts record an advantage in xG (1.42 vs 1.07), indicating better quality of created chances. Nancy faces serious problems in away matches—with as many as 45% losses and 45% of games without scoring, alongside a poor average possession (38%). The visitors concede an average of 1.45 goals per away match and hold a negative goal difference (-5). The form of both teams in the last five matches is similar (1 point/match each); however, Red Star's advantage in home play and Nancy's clear weaknesses on the road speak for a home victory. A close match is expected with a slight edge for Red Star.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Red Star | Nancy | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nancy is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Red Star · 1.4 pts / match - Nancy
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Red Star is 35% better for: goals scored per match.
1.23 goals / match - Red Star · 0.91 goals / match - Nancy
Red Star is 36% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Red Star · 1.36 goals / match - Nancy
Red Star scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while Nancy keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 matches).
Nancy scores in 55% of matches (12 of 22 matches), while Red Star keeps a clean sheet in 45% (10 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Red Star
Over / Under - Nancy
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Red Star - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nancy - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Red Star
Nancy
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 2).
Teams vs league
| Red Star | Liga | Nancy | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.23 | 2.46 | ▼ 2.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 50% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 45% | 29% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 66% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 73% | • 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Red Star 1 - 0 - 0 Nancy. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Red Star vs Nancy?
The Ligue 2 match finished Red Star 2:1 Nancy. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Red Star vs Nancy?
Red Star score 1.23 goals per game on average and Nancy 0.91. The Ligue 2 average is 2.46 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Red Star's matches and 41% of Nancy's.
What form are Red Star and Nancy in?
Over the last 5 games Red Star have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Nancy 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Red Star vs Nancy?
The statistical background for Red Star vs Nancy — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.